ZARAGOZA vs PONFERRADINA HOME WINS SUREBET PREDICTION
A detailed Zaragoza vs Ponferradina HOME WINS sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Spain, Segunda Divisionmatch on 21-Oct-2021
Zaragoza
Ponferradina
DATE:
21 October 2021 at 20:00:00
TIME:
8:00 PM
COUNTRY:
Spain
LEAGUE
Segunda Division
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
65%
AVR. ODDS:
2.13
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
DRAW:
20%
AVR. ODDS:
3.04
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
14%
AVR. ODDS:
3.74
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
The odds for Home Win outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 2.13 with an implied bookmaker probability of 46.95%. Considering that the surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Zaragoza vs Ponferradina match is 65.47%, then this bet is a value bet.
If you play this bet then you gain expected value by 18.52%The expected value for a Home Win prediction is denoted as EV(Home Win) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing.
By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a Home Win in this Zaragoza vs Ponferradina match is 104.92 which is positive and therefore a good bet.
All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible home win in this Zaragoza vs Ponferradina match. Poisson prediction model shows there is a 51.30% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 67.32% chance for the same. Finally, 77.79% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in home win.
This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a home win in this game. Strong recent and past performances that Zaragoza have demonstrated lead us to conclude that the prospects for a home win are quite high for this match. Expert football prediction sites have also supported this prediction by far and large.
Ponferradina might not be able to record either a win or a draw in this match. It is however prudent to compare diffrent predictions to find the ones with the highest probabilities. True profits come from predictions with over 90% chance of coming true.
Some of our tips are 100% sure and guaranteed but can only be accessed by VIP members. You can also become a VIP member once you subscribe. Note also that you do not always have to use the win-draw-win market. It might be popular but not necessarily the best or least risky. See all predictions today to see tips from other betting markets.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
44%
AVR. ODDS:
1.98
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
NO GOAL:
55%
AVR. ODDS:
1.74
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.48
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
25%
AVR. ODDS:
2.84
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
51%
AVR. ODDS:
2.27
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
48%
AVR. ODDS:
1.56
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
30%
AVR. ODDS:
3.98
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
69%
AVR. ODDS:
1.16
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
ZARAGOZA VS PONFERRADINA LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Zaragoza and Ponferradina have met 6 times recently since 29/11/15. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Zaragoza vs Ponferradina prediction.
29/01/21 - Zaragoza [1 : 0] Ponferradina
22/11/20 - Ponferradina [2 : 1] Zaragoza
20/07/20 - Zaragoza [2 : 1] Ponferradina
25/08/19 - Ponferradina [1 : 1] Zaragoza
05-Jan-2016 - Ponferradina [1 : 1] Zaragoza
29/11/15 - Zaragoza [2 : 0] Ponferradina
ZARAGOZA LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Zaragoza's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Malaga drew with Zaragoza (1-1) on 16/10/21
Then Zaragoza drew with Huesca (0-0) on 10-Nov-2021
Zaragoza drew with Oviedo (0-0) on 10-Feb-2021
Not surprisingly Lugo drew with Zaragoza (1-1) on 26/09/21
Zaragoza drew with Real Sociedad B (1-1) on 18/09/21
Fuenlabrada drew with Zaragoza (1-1) on 09-Dec-2021
Then Alcorcon lost to Zaragoza (1-2) on 09-May-2021
Zaragoza lost to Cartagena (0-1) on 30/08/21
Valladolid won against Zaragoza (2-0) on 20/08/21
In the earliest match listed here Zaragoza drew with Ibiza (0-0) on 13/08/21
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Below are Ponferradina's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Ponferradina drew with Fuenlabrada (0-0) on 17/10/21
Real Sociedad B drew with Ponferradina (1-1) on 10-Oct-2021
Then Ponferradina drew with Valladolid (2-2) on 10-Jan-2021
Las Palmas won against Ponferradina (2-1) on 25/09/21
Ponferradina won against Malaga (4-0) on 19/09/21
Then Ponferradina won against Almeria (1-0) on 09-Dec-2021
Tenerife won against Ponferradina (2-0) on 09-Apr-2021
Ponferradina won against Girona (2-1) on 28/08/21
Once more Eibar lost to Ponferradina (0-1) on 22/08/21
Ponferradina won against Alcorcon (1-0) on 14/08/21
ZARAGOZA'S POSITION
Zaragoza is in position 18 with 10 points from 10 matches. They are below Burgos who have 10 points and above Leganes who have 9 points.
have scored 6 goals and conceded 8 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -2 goals this season.
PONFERRADINA'S POSITION
Ponferradina is in position 3 with 18 points from 10 matches. They are below Almeria who have 19 points and above Eibar who have 18 points.
Ponferradina have scored 13 goals and conceded 8 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 5 goals this season.
ZARAGOZA'S BEST PLAYERS
Sure bet prediction, tips and even fixed matches all depend on the form of players. Below are Zaragoza's players that have the potential of shaping the predictions and results for this game:
Valentin Vada - The Argentina National Valentin Vada has scored 2 goals in 7 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored 1 penalties. The 0.19's average goals per match is 0.29.
Juan Jose Narvaez - The Colombia National Juan Jose Narvaez has scored 2 goals in 10 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The 0.15's average goals per match is 0.2.
Borja Sainz - The Spain National Borja Sainz has scored 1 goals in 8 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored 1 penalties. The 0.33's average goals per match is 0.13.
Eguaras - The Spain National Eguaras has scored 1 goals in 10 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.1.
PONFERRADINA'S BEST PLAYERS
The following Ponferradina players are crucial in determining the results of this game:
Yuri - The Brazil National Yuri has scored 5 goals in 9 matches and shot 3 foul kicks. He has scored 3 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.56.
Jose Naranjo - The Spain National Jose Naranjo has scored 3 goals in 9 matches and shot 2 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.33.
Agustin Medina - The Spain National Agustin Medina has scored 2 goals in 10 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The defender's average goals per match is 0.2.
Daniel Ojeda - The Spain National Daniel Ojeda has scored 2 goals in 10 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.2.
Paris Adot - The Spain National Paris Adot has scored 1 goals in 9 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The defender's average goals per match is 0.11.
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