Wexford Youths vs Shelbourne Prediction

This is a detailed Wexford Youths vs Shelbourne Prediction, match analysis, betting tips, H2H matches and sure bet tips.

Wexford Youths

Shelbourne

DATE:

TIME:

10:00:00 PM

COUNTRY:

Ireland

LEAGUE

First Division

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

49.1%

AVR. ODDS:

9.6

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

DRAW:

26.9%

AVR. ODDS:

5.6

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

23.8%

AVR. ODDS:

1.29

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

Shelbourne is expected to outperform Wexford Youths in this match. Home advantage may not help Wexford Youths in this game. With odds of 1.98 you stand to win a fairly good amount from this tip. This is the best sure bet prediction for this match.


Note that you should also consider other betting markets other than 1X2 predictions or bets. Asian handicaps and European handicaps, for instance, can make you better profits from a match like this.


We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a away win in this Wexford Youths vs Shelbourne match.

The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 52.61% probability for a Away Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 52.98% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 53.04% chance for a away win outcome.


This Wexford Youths vs Shelbourne match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.


To find if the Away Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Away Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.98 with an implied bookmaker probability of 50.51%.


The calculated Surebet probability for the Away Win outcome for this Wexford Youths vs Shelbourne match is 52.88%, meaning this bet is a value bet.  In case you place this bet, you  may gain expected value by 2.37%Expected Value, EV(Away Win), for a Away Win result for this Wexford Youths vs Shelbourne match is calculated as follows:


Let P(Away Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;


P(Away Win) * 100* 1.98 where 1.98 are the decimal odds for this outcome.


Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Away Win for Wexford Youths vs Shelbourne, EV(Away Win) to be 52.88% * 100 * 1.98, which translates to 57.57. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.


EUROPEAN HANDICAP PREDICTIONS

1(2:0)

This European handicap prediction means you win if Wexford Youths wins with any number of goals, if the match ends in a draw or if Shelbourne wins with only 1 goal. You lose only if Shelbourne wins the game with more than 2 goals difference.

X(0:1)

This sure handicap prediction means you win if Wexford Youths wins the match with exactly 1 goal more than Shelbourne. You however lose if Wexford Youths wins with more than 1 goal advantage, if the match ends in a draw or if Shelbourne wins the game

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

44.8%

AVR. ODDS:

2.01

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

55.0%

AVR. ODDS:

1.72

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.03

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

32.9%

AVR. ODDS:

4.07

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

41.9%

AVR. ODDS:

1.58

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

57.9%

AVR. ODDS:

2.24

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

22.2%

AVR. ODDS:

2.77

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

77.6%

AVR. ODDS:

1.67

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

WEXFORD YOUTHS VS SHELBOURNE LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Shelbourne and Wexford have met 6 times recently since 00-Jan-1900. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Shelbourne vs Wexford prediction.
FD - Shelbourne [1 : 0] Wexford
00-Jan-1900 - Shelbourne [5 : 2] Wexford
00-Jan-1900 - Wexford [1 : 2] Shelbourne
09-Jan-1900 - Shelbourne [3 : 0] Wexford
00-Jan-1900 - Wexford [1 : 2] Shelbourne
00-Jan-1900 - Shelbourne [4 : 1] Wexford

WEXFORD YOUTHS LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Wexford Youths's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Wexford lost to Treaty United (1-2) on 06-Nov-2021
Then Cabinteely FC lost to Wexford (0-2) on 28/05/21
Wexford lost to Bray Wanderers (0-1) on 21/05/21
Not surprisingly Galway Utd won against Wexford (1-0) on 14/05/21
Cork City won against Wexford (5-0) on 05-Jul-2021
Wexford lost to UC Dublin (0-6) on 30/04/21
Then Athlone Town won against Wexford (3-0) on 23/04/21
Wexford lost to Cobh Ramblers (1-2) on 16/04/21
Shelbourne won against Wexford (1-0) on 04-Sep-2021
In the earliest match listed here Treaty United won against Wexford (1-0) on 04-Feb-2021

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Shelbourne's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Bray Wanderers lost to Shelbourne (1-4) on 06-Nov-2021
Shelbourne won against Galway Utd (4-0) on 28/05/21
Then Shelbourne won against UC Dublin (3-1) on 21/05/21
Cobh Ramblers lost to Shelbourne (1-2) on 15/05/21
Shelbourne won against Athlone Town (1-0) on 05-Jul-2021
Then Shelbourne drew with Treaty United (2-2) on 30/04/21
Cabinteely FC lost to Shelbourne (1-3) on 23/04/21
Cork City lost to Shelbourne (1-3) on 16/04/21
Once more Shelbourne won against Wexford (1-0) on 04-Sep-2021
Shelbourne drew with Bray Wanderers (3-3) on 04-Feb-2021

WEXFORD YOUTHS'S POSITION

Wexford is in position 10 with 3 points from 11 matches. They are below Cork City who have 9 points and above who have points.
have scored 5 goals and conceded 24 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -19 goals this season.

SHELBOURNE'S POSITION

Shelbourne is in position 1 with 27 points from 11 matches. They are below who have points and above UC Dublin who have 19 points.
Shelbourne have scored 26 goals and conceded 10 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 16 goals this season.

WEXFORD YOUTHS'S BEST PLAYERS

NO NOTIBLE PLAYERS

SHELBOURNE'S BEST PLAYERS

NO NOTIBLE PLAYERS

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