UMF GRINDAVIK vs THOR AKUREYRI GG SUREBET PREDICTION

A detailed Umf Grindavik vs Thor Akureyri GG sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this �Iceland, 1 deildmatch on 16-Jul-2021

Umf Grindavik

Thor Akureyri

DATE:

TIME:

9:00:00 PM

COUNTRY:

Iceland

LEAGUE

1 deild

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

63.70%

AVR. ODDS:

1.92

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

DRAW:

16.56%

AVR. ODDS:

3.54

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

15.32%

AVR. ODDS:

3.63

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

The expected value for a GG prediction is denoted as EV(GG) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing. By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a GG in this Umf Grindavik vs Thor Akureyri match is 29.78 which is positive and therefore a good bet.The odds for Gg outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 1.37 with an implied bookmaker probability of 72.99%.


Considering that the surebet probability for the GG outcome for this Umf Grindavik vs Thor Akureyri match is 54.76%, then this bet is not a value bet.


If you play this bet then you lose expected value by -18.23%.


Given historical data, head to head matches and results from similar past matches, Surebet prediction systems and expert opinion have all converged on the conclusion that both teams will be able to score in this match, therefore validating a GG prediction (BTTS). Both Umf Grindavik and Thor Akureyri have good strikers and have equally vulnerable defenses. It is quite unlikely that any of them will fail to score in this game. All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible gg in this Umf Grindavik vs Thor Akureyri match. Poisson prediction model shows there is a 50.10% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 59.14% chance for the same. Finally, 55.05% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in BTTS - YES.


This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a GG in this  game.


Get all GG/NG tips today and form a 90% sure GG bet with over 40 odds.


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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

54.76%

AVR. ODDS:

1.37

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

40.81%

AVR. ODDS:

2.85

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

0.91

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

14.65%

AVR. ODDS:

5

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

64.06%

AVR. ODDS:

1.39

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

31.52%

AVR. ODDS:

2.75

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

45.36%

AVR. ODDS:

2.44

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

50.21%

AVR. ODDS:

2.05

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

UMF GRINDAVIK VS THOR AKUREYRI LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Thor A and Grindavik have met 6 times recently since 16/03/19. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Thor A vs Grindavik prediction.
22/06/21 - Thor A [2 : 1] Grindavik
13/05/21 - Thor A [4 : 1] Grindavik
22/08/20 - Grindavik [1 : 0] Thor A
19/06/20 - Thor A [2 : 1] Grindavik
23/02/20 - Grindavik [0 : 5] Thor A
16/03/19 - Thor A [1 : 3] Grindavik

UMF GRINDAVIK LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Umf Grindavik's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Vikingur O drew with Grindavik (2-2) on 07-Sep-2021
Then Grindavik drew with Afturelding (3-3) on 07-May-2021
Fram R drew with Grindavik (2-2) on 07-Jan-2021
Not surprisingly Kordrengir drew with Grindavik (1-1) on 25/06/21
Thor A won against Grindavik (2-1) on 22/06/21
Grindavik won against Grotta (3-1) on 18/06/21
Then Throttur R lost to Grindavik (2-3) on 06-Oct-2021
Grindavik won against Selfoss (1-0) on 06-Mar-2021
IF Vestri lost to Grindavik (2-3) on 30/05/21
In the earliest match listed here Grindavik lost to Fjolnir (0-2) on 21/05/21

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Thor Akureyri's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Thor A won against Throttur R (5-1) on 07-Sep-2021
Selfoss drew with Thor A (1-1) on 07-May-2021
Then Thor A drew with IF Vestri (1-1) on 07-Jan-2021
Fjolnir lost to Thor A (0-3) on 26/06/21
Thor A won against Grindavik (2-1) on 22/06/21
Then Thor A lost to Kordrengir (0-1) on 18/06/21
Vestmannaeyjar won against Thor A (2-1) on 14/06/21
Vikingur O drew with Thor A (2-2) on 06-May-2021
Once more Thor A won against Afturelding (2-1) on 28/05/21
Fram R won against Thor A (4-1) on 21/05/21

UMF GRINDAVIK'S POSITION

Grindavik is in position 4 with 19 points from 11 matches. They are below Kordrengir who have 19 points and above Fjolnir who have 17 points.
have scored 22 goals and conceded 20 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 2 goals this season.

THOR AKUREYRI'S POSITION

No position Listed for this team.

UMF GRINDAVIK'S BEST PLAYERS

No notable players

THOR AKUREYRI'S BEST PLAYERS

No notable players

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