TOULOUSE vs AC AJACCIO OVER 1.5 SUREBET PREDICTION

A detailed Toulouse vs Ac Ajaccio OVER 1.5 sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this �France, Ligue 2match on 24-Jul-2021

Toulouse

Ac Ajaccio

DATE:

TIME:

8:00:00 PM

COUNTRY:

France

LEAGUE

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

32.63%

AVR. ODDS:

2.02

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

DRAW:

26.64%

AVR. ODDS:

3.21

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

40.51%

AVR. ODDS:

4.01

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

Given the historical matches of these teams, it is almost clear that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Toulouse vs Ac Ajaccio. The over/under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals. All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible over 1.5 in this Toulouse vs Ac Ajaccio match. Poisson prediction model shows there is a 62.51% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 69.78% chance for the same. Finally, 75.54% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in over 1.5. This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a over 1.5 in this game. The odds for Over 1.5 outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 1.42483660130719 with an implied bookmaker probability of 70.18%. Considering that the surebet probability for the OVER 1.5 outcome for this Toulouse vs Ac Ajaccio match is 69.28%, then this bet is not a value bet.If you play this bet then you lose expected value by -0.91%The expected value for a OVER 1.5 prediction is denoted as EV(OVER 1.5) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing. By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 in this Toulouse vs Ac Ajaccio match is 67.98 which is positive and therefore a good bet.

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

47.51%

AVR. ODDS:

1.95

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

52.27%

AVR. ODDS:

1.76

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.42

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

30.50%

AVR. ODDS:

2.93

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

43.57%

AVR. ODDS:

2.18

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

56.21%

AVR. ODDS:

1.61

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

22.81%

AVR. ODDS:

3.82

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

76.97%

AVR. ODDS:

1.2

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

TOULOUSE VS AC AJACCIO LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Toulouse and Ac Ajaccio have met 6 times recently since 17/07/15. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Toulouse vs Ac Ajaccio prediction.
15/02/21 - Toulouse [3 : 0] AC Ajaccio
17/10/20 - AC Ajaccio [0 : 1] Toulouse
13/07/19 - AC Ajaccio [0 : 1] Toulouse
27/05/18 - Toulouse [1 : 0] AC Ajaccio
23/05/18 - AC Ajaccio [0 : 3] Toulouse
17/07/15 - Toulouse [2 : 0] AC Ajaccio

TOULOUSE LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Toulouse's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Nantes lost to Toulouse (0-1) on 30/05/21
Then Toulouse lost to Nantes (1-2) on 27/05/21
Toulouse won against Grenoble (3-0) on 21/05/21
Not surprisingly Dunkerque drew with Toulouse (3-3) on 15/05/21
Toulouse drew with Pau (2-2) on 05-Dec-2021
Toulouse won against Caen (3-0) on 05-Aug-2021
Then Le Havre lost to Toulouse (0-1) on 05-Apr-2021
Paris won against Toulouse (3-1) on 05-Jan-2021
Vallieres won against Toulouse (2-0) on 20/04/21
In the earliest match listed here Toulouse won against Chateauroux (1-0) on 17/04/21

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Ac Ajaccio's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Nimes won against AC Ajaccio (1-0) on 17/07/21
Caen drew with AC Ajaccio (0-0) on 07-Oct-2021
Then Lavallois Mayenne lost to AC Ajaccio (1-2) on 07-Jul-2021
Chateauroux drew with AC Ajaccio (0-0) on 15/05/21
AC Ajaccio drew with Paris (1-1) on 05-Aug-2021
Then Pau drew with AC Ajaccio (0-0) on 05-Jan-2021
AC Ajaccio drew with Amiens (2-2) on 24/04/21
Nancy-Lorraine won against AC Ajaccio (2-0) on 20/04/21
Once more AC Ajaccio won against Niort (3-0) on 17/04/21
Le Havre drew with AC Ajaccio (1-1) on 04-Oct-2021

TOULOUSE'S POSITION

No position listed

AC AJACCIO'S POSITION

No position listed

TOULOUSE'S BEST PLAYERS

No notable players

AC AJACCIO'S BEST PLAYERS

No notable players

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