Sydney Fc vs Adelaide United Prediction

This is a detailed Sydney Fc vs Adelaide United Prediction, match analysis, betting tips, H2H matches and sure bet tips.

Sydney Fc

Adelaide United

DATE:

TIME:

12:05:00 PM

COUNTRY:

Australia

LEAGUE

A-League Playoffs

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

46.9%

AVR. ODDS:

1.56

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

DRAW:

25.1%

AVR. ODDS:

3.88

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

27.8%

AVR. ODDS:

5.97

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

After analysing all the data and compiling and comparing expert opinions on this Sydney Fc vs Adelaide United match, we are well convinced that Sydney Fc is in better form, better motivated and has proven in the past their ability to dominate this game against Adelaide United. The surebet prediction for this game is therefore a home win.


Note that there might be even better tips you can bet on today if you can be bold enough to subscribe for VIP tips. Besides, you might want to check out the GG/NG tips given their ability to increase betting profits for many punters.


We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a home win in this Sydney Fc vs Adelaide United match.


The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 51.74% probability for a Home Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 46.97% probability for the same outccome.


The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 41.94% chance for a home win outcome.


This Sydney Fc vs Adelaide United match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.


To find if the Home Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Home Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.56 with an implied bookmaker probability of 64.10%.


The calculated Surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Sydney Fc vs Adelaide United match is 46.89%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -17.22%Expected Value, EV(Home Win), for a Home Win result for this Sydney Fc vs Adelaide United match is calculated as follows:


Let P(Home Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;


P(Home Win) * 100* 1.56 where 1.56 are the decimal odds for this outcome.


Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Home Win for Sydney Fc vs Adelaide United, EV(Home Win) to be 46.89% * 100 * 1.56, which translates to 20.03. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.


Interestingly, Sydney is expected to win in both halfs. This also means that the Half time/Full time tips for this match is 1/1.


Check out more Halftime/Fulltime tips and see how profitable that betting market is.

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

53.4%

AVR. ODDS:

2.08

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

46.4%

AVR. ODDS:

1.67

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.31

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

24.9%

AVR. ODDS:

3.15

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

50.5%

AVR. ODDS:

2

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

49.4%

AVR. ODDS:

1.73

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

28.5%

AVR. ODDS:

3.51

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

71.4%

AVR. ODDS:

1.29

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

SYDNEY FC VS ADELAIDE UNITED LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Adelaide and Sydney have met 6 times recently since 10-Nov-2019. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Adelaide vs Sydney prediction.
29/05/21 - Adelaide [1 : 4] Sydney
18/04/21 - Sydney [2 : 2] Adelaide
28/03/21 - Adelaide [1 : 0] Sydney
08-Jun-2020 - Adelaide [1 : 1] Sydney
01-Apr-2020 - Sydney [2 : 1] Adelaide
10-Nov-2019 - Adelaide [2 : 3] Sydney

SYDNEY FC LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Sydney Fc's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Brisbane lost to Sydney (0-2) on 06-May-2021
Then Adelaide lost to Sydney (1-4) on 29/05/21
Sydney won against W. Sydney (1-0) on 23/05/21
Not surprisingly Sydney won against Melbourne Victory (2-0) on 19/05/21
Western United lost to Sydney (0-1) on 15/05/21
Newcastle drew with Sydney (1-1) on 05-Aug-2021
Then W. Sydney won against Sydney (3-2) on 05-Jan-2021
Sydney won against Melbourne Victory (1-0) on 27/04/21
Central Coast drew with Sydney (2-2) on 24/04/21
In the earliest match listed here Sydney drew with Adelaide (2-2) on 18/04/21

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Adelaide United's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Brisbane lost to Adelaide (1-2) on 13/06/21
Adelaide drew with W. Sydney (2-2) on 06-Mar-2021
Then Adelaide lost to Sydney (1-4) on 29/05/21
Melbourne Victory lost to Adelaide (0-1) on 23/05/21
Perth won against Adelaide (2-1) on 19/05/21
Then Adelaide won against Brisbane (1-0) on 16/05/21
Melbourne City won against Adelaide (4-1) on 13/05/21
Adelaide drew with Wellington (0-0) on 05-Jul-2021
Once more Adelaide drew with Western United (0-0) on 30/04/21
Wellington won against Adelaide (2-1) on 25/04/21

SYDNEY FC'S POSITION

Sydney is in position 2 with 47 points from 26 matches. They are below Melbourne City who have 49 points and above Central Coast who have 42 points.
have scored 39 goals and conceded 23 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 16 goals this season.

ADELAIDE UNITED'S POSITION

Adelaide is in position 5 with 39 points from 26 matches. They are below Brisbane who have 40 points and above Macarthur FC who have 39 points.
Adelaide United have scored 39 goals and conceded 41 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -2 goals this season.

SYDNEY FC'S BEST PLAYERS

Sure bet prediction, tips and even fixed matches all depend on the form of players. Below are Sydney Fc's players that have the potential of shaping the predictions and results for this game:

Bobo - The Brazil National Bobo has scored 11 goals in 21 matches and shot 6 foul kicks. He has scored 1 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.52.

Kosta Barbarouses - The New Zealand National Kosta Barbarouses has scored 8 goals in 25 matches and shot 5 foul kicks. He has scored 1 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.32.

Patrick Wood - The Australia National Patrick Wood has scored 4 goals in 19 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The defender's average goals per match is 0.21.

Milos Ninkovic - The Serbia National Milos Ninkovic has scored 4 goals in 26 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.15.

Adam Le Fondre - The England National Adam Le Fondre has scored 3 goals in 5 matches and shot 2 foul kicks. He has scored 1 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.6.

Alex Wilkinson - The Australia National Alex Wilkinson has scored 2 goals in 26 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The defender's average goals per match is 0.08.

ADELAIDE UNITED'S BEST PLAYERS

The following Adelaide United players are crucial in determining the results of this game:

Tomi Juric - The Australia National Tomi Juric has scored 9 goals in 17 matches and shot 4 foul kicks. He has scored 3 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.53.

Craig Goodwin - The Australia National Craig Goodwin has scored 8 goals in 18 matches and shot 4 foul kicks. He has scored 3 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.44.

Stefan Mauk - The Australia National Stefan Mauk has scored 7 goals in 24 matches and shot 2 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.29.

Kusini Yengi - The Australia National Kusini Yengi has scored 4 goals in 16 matches and shot 3 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.25.

Ben Halloran - The Australia National Ben Halloran has scored 4 goals in 27 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.15.

Mohamed Toure - The Australia National Mohamed Toure has scored 3 goals in 13 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.23.

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