ST. ETIENNE vs ANGERS SURE PREDICTION

A detailed St. Etienne vs Angers sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this France, Ligue 1 match on 22-Oct-21

St. Etienne

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Angers

DATE:

22 October 2021, 19:00:00

TIME:

10:00:00 PM

COUNTRY:

France

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LEAGUE

Ligue 1

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

52.07%

AVR. ODDS:

2.55

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

DRAW:

23.43%

AVR. ODDS:

3.35

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

24.18%

AVR. ODDS:

2.7

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

To find if the Gg bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied GG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.8 with an implied bookmaker probability of 55.56%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Gg outcome for this 



St. Etienne vs Angers match is 55.99%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 0.44%Expected Value, EV(GG), for a GG result for this St. Etienne vs Angers match is calculated as follows: Let P(GG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. 



Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(GG) * 100* 1.8 where 1.8 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a GG for St. Etienne vs Angers, EV(GG) to be 55.99% * 100 * 1.8, which translates to 56.77. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.



We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a gg in this St. Etienne vs Angers match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 61.30% probability for a GG outcome. 



The ELO Ratings model came through with a 56.23% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 50.45% chance for a gg outcome. This St. Etienne vs Angers match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. 



Keep reading to find them all. Historical data, H2H matches and results from similar and related past matches, Surebet GG prediction systems have all agreed that both teams will be able to score in this match. 



Both St. Etienne and Angers have good striking and have equally vulnerable defenses. I do not forsee a NG outcome for this game. The GG rediction for this game is both teams to score at leat one goal in this game.

ST. ETIENNE vs ANGERS SURE PREDICTION

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

55.99%

AVR. ODDS:

1.8

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

NO GOAL:

43.69%

AVR. ODDS:

1.91

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.31

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

21.60%

AVR. ODDS:

3.13

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

55.18%

AVR. ODDS:

2.01

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

44.51%

AVR. ODDS:

1.72

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

33.09%

AVR. ODDS:

3.53

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

66.59%

AVR. ODDS:

1.28

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

ST. ETIENNE VS ANGERS LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Angers and Saint-Etienne have met 6 times recently since 11-Apr-2018. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Angers vs Saint-Etienne prediction.
13/03/21 - Angers [0 : 1] Saint-Etienne
12-Nov-2020 - Saint-Etienne [0 : 0] Angers
15/08/20 - Angers [1 : 0] Saint-Etienne
22/09/19 - Angers [4 : 1] Saint-Etienne
24/05/19 - Angers [1 : 1] Saint-Etienne
11-Apr-2018 - Saint-Etienne [4 : 3] Angers

ST. ETIENNE LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are St. Etienne's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Strasbourg Alsace won against Saint-Etienne (5-1) on 17/10/21
Then Saint-Etienne drew with Lyon (1-1) on 10-Mar-2021
Saint-Etienne lost to Nice (0-3) on 25/09/21
Not surprisingly Monaco won against Saint-Etienne (3-1) on 22/09/21
Saint-Etienne lost to Bordeaux (1-2) on 18/09/21
Montpellier won against Saint-Etienne (2-0) on 09-Dec-2021
Then Marseille won against Saint-Etienne (3-1) on 28/08/21
Saint-Etienne drew with Lille (1-1) on 21/08/21
Lens drew with Saint-Etienne (2-2) on 15/08/21
In the earliest match listed here Saint-Etienne drew with Lorient (1-1) on 08-Aug-2021

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Angers's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
PSG won against Angers (2-1) on 15/10/21
Angers won against Metz (3-2) on 10-Mar-2021
Then Troyes drew with Angers (1-1) on 26/09/21
Angers drew with Marseille (0-0) on 22/09/21
Angers lost to Nantes (1-4) on 19/09/21
Then Stade Brest 29 drew with Angers (1-1) on 09-Dec-2021
Angers won against Stade Rennes (2-0) on 29/08/21
Bordeaux drew with Angers (1-1) on 22/08/21
Once more Angers won against Lyon (3-0) on 15/08/21
Strasbourg Alsace lost to Angers (0-2) on 08-Aug-2021

ST. ETIENNE'S POSITION

Saint-Etienne is in position 20 with 4 points from 10 matches. They are below Stade Brest 29 who have 5 points and above who have points.
have scored 9 goals and conceded 23 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -14 goals this season.

ANGERS'S POSITION

Angers is in position 5 with 16 points from 10 matches. They are below Nice who have 16 points and above Lyon who have 16 points.
Angers have scored 15 goals and conceded 11 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 4 goals this season.

ST. ETIENNE'S BEST PLAYERS

Sure bet prediction, tips and even fixed matches all depend on the form of players. Below are St. Etienne's players that have the potential of shaping the predictions and results for this game:

TunisiaWahbi Khazri - The Tunisia National TunisiaWahbi Khazri has scored 5 goals in 10 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 3 penalties. The 0.19's average goals per match is 0.5.

Denis Bouanga - The Gabon National Denis Bouanga has scored 2 goals in 10 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The 0.15's average goals per match is 0.2.

Saidou Sow - The Guinea National Saidou Sow has scored 1 goals in 6 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The 0.33's average goals per match is 0.17.

Kolo - The France National Kolo has scored 1 goals in 9 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The defender's average goals per match is 0.11.



ANGERS'S BEST PLAYERS

The following Angers players are crucial in determining the results of this game:

Thomas Mangani - The France National Thomas Mangani has scored 3 goals in 10 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored 2 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.3.

Sofiane Boufal - The Morocco National Sofiane Boufal has scored 2 goals in 9 matches and shot 2 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.22.

Stephane Bahoken - The Cameroon National Stephane Bahoken has scored 2 goals in 10 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.2.

Mohamed-Ali Cho - The France National Mohamed-Ali Cho has scored 2 goals in 10 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.2.

CoastIsmael Traore - The Ivory National CoastIsmael Traore has scored 2 goals in 10 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The defender's average goals per match is 0.2.

Azzedine Ounahi - The Morocco National Azzedine Ounahi has scored 1 goals in 9 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.11.

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