SAN LORENZO vs CENTRAL CORDOBA SURE PREDICTION

A detailed San Lorenzo vs Central Cordoba sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Argentina, Primera Division, Torneo Inicial match on 24-Jul-2021

San Lorenzo

Central Cordoba

DATE:

TIME:

9:45:00 PM

COUNTRY:

Argentina

LEAGUE

Primera Division, Torneo Inicial

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

41.19%

AVR. ODDS:

2.18

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

DRAW:

24.76%

AVR. ODDS:

3.19

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

33.69%

AVR. ODDS:

3.59

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for San Lorenzo vs Central Cordoba. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this San Lorenzo vs Central Cordoba match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 85.65% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 78.00% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 65.93% chance for a over 1.5 outcome. This San Lorenzo vs Central Cordoba match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.4640522875817 with an implied bookmaker probability of 68.30%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this San Lorenzo vs Central Cordoba match is 76.53%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 8.22%Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this San Lorenzo vs Central Cordoba match is calculated as follows: Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.4640522875817 where 1.4640522875817 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for San Lorenzo vs Central Cordoba, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 76.53% * 100 * 1.46, which translates to 88.56. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

56.26%

AVR. ODDS:

1.96

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

NO GOAL:

43.39%

AVR. ODDS:

1.75

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.46

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

23.12%

AVR. ODDS:

2.87

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

53.72%

AVR. ODDS:

2.24

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

45.92%

AVR. ODDS:

1.58

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

32.38%

AVR. ODDS:

3.93

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

67.26%

AVR. ODDS:

1.18

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

SAN LORENZO VS CENTRAL CORDOBA LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Curently no head to head

SAN LORENZO LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are San Lorenzo's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Arsenal drew with San Lorenzo (1-1) on 18/07/21
Then Huachipato lost to San Lorenzo (0-3) on 27/05/21
12 de Octubre lost to San Lorenzo (0-2) on 21/05/21
Not surprisingly San Lorenzo lost to Rosario Central (1-2) on 13/05/21
Racing won against San Lorenzo (2-0) on 05-Sep-2021
San Lorenzo drew with 12 de Octubre (1-1) on 05-Jul-2021
Then San Lorenzo won against Godoy Cruz (1-0) on 05-Feb-2021
Rosario Central won against San Lorenzo (2-0) on 29/04/21
River Plate lost to San Lorenzo (1-2) on 26/04/21
In the earliest match listed here San Lorenzo lost to Huachipato (0-1) on 22/04/21

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Central Cordoba's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Central Cordoba drew with Banfield (1-1) on 20/07/21
Arsenal drew with Central Cordoba (1-1) on 05-Sep-2021
Then Central Cordoba won against Racing (1-0) on 05-Mar-2021
Godoy Cruz won against Central Cordoba (1-0) on 24/04/21
Central Cordoba lost to River Plate (0-5) on 17/04/21
Then Argentinos Juniors drew with Central Cordoba (0-0) on 04-Nov-2021
Central Cordoba lost to Platense (0-1) on 04-Mar-2021
Rosario Central drew with Central Cordoba (2-2) on 28/03/21
Once more Central Cordoba drew with Estudiantes La Plata (1-1) on 20/03/21
Aldosivi lost to Central Cordoba (1-2) on 13/03/21

SAN LORENZO'S POSITION

No position listed

CENTRAL CORDOBA'S POSITION

No position listed

SAN LORENZO'S BEST PLAYERS

No notable players

CENTRAL CORDOBA'S BEST PLAYERS

No notable players

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