Sagamihara vs Kataller Toyama Prediction

Sagamihara vs Kataller Toyama Predictionwith match analysis, statistics and betting tips. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Sagamihara vs Kataller Toyama are playing on �Japan

Sagamihara

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Kataller Toyama

DATE:

29 May 2022, 07:00:00

TIME:

7:00 AM

COUNTRY:

Japan

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LEAGUE

J-League 3

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

45%

AVR. ODDS:

2.54

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

DRAW:

21%

AVR. ODDS:

3.42

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

34%

AVR. ODDS:

2.54

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

AWAY WIN TIPS

Kataller Toyama is expected to outperform Sagamihara in this match. Home advantage may not help Sagamihara in this game. With odds of 1.14 you stand to win a fairly good amount from this tip.


This is the best sure bet prediction for this match. Note that you should also consider other betting markets other than 1X2 predictions or bets.


Asian handicaps and European handicaps, for instance, can make you better profits from a match like this. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a away win in this Sagamihara vs Kataller Toyama match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 76.56% probability for a Away Win outcome.


The ELO Ratings model came through with a 80.84% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 81.43% chance for a away win outcome. This Sagamihara vs Kataller Toyama match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.


To find if the Away Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Away Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.14 with an implied bookmaker probability of 87.72%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Away Win outcome for this Sagamihara vs Kataller Toyama match is 79.61%, meaning this bet is not a value bet.


In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -8.11%. Expected Value, EV(Away Win), for a Away Win result for this Sagamihara vs Kataller Toyama match is calculated as follows: Let P(Away Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet.


Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(Away Win) * 100* 1.14 where 1.14 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Away Win for Sagamihara vs Kataller Toyama, EV(Away Win) to be 79.61% * 100 * 1.14, which translates to 70.36.


This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically. GG TIPS NG TIPS OVER 1.5 TIPS Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Sagamihara vs Kataller Toyama.


The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this Sagamihara vs Kataller Toyama match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 84.20% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome.


The ELO Ratings model came through with a 81.93% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 78.81% chance for a over 1.5 outcome. This Sagamihara vs Kataller Toyama match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.


To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.08 with an implied bookmaker probability of 92.59%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Sagamihara vs Kataller Toyama match is 81.65%, meaning this bet is not a value bet.


In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -10.95%. Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Sagamihara vs Kataller Toyama match is calculated as follows: Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet.


Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.08 where 1.08 are the decimal odds for this outcome.


Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Sagamihara vs Kataller Toyama, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 81.65% * 100 * 1.08, which translates to 69.82. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.

Sagamihara vs Kataller Toyama Prediction

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

62%

AVR. ODDS:

1.67

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

NO GOAL:

38%

AVR. ODDS:

2.07

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.21

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

16%

AVR. ODDS:

3.31

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

64%

AVR. ODDS:

1.82

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

35%

AVR. ODDS:

1.76

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

42%

AVR. ODDS:

3.19

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

57%

AVR. ODDS:

1.31

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

SAGAMIHARA VS KATALLER TOYAMA PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

0

SAGAMIHARA'S LAST 10 MATCHES

0

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

0

SAGAMIHARA POSITION

TBA

KATALLER TOYAMA POSITION

TBA

SAGAMIHARA BEST PLAYERS

No player analysis.

KATALLER TOYAMA BEST PLAYERS

No player analysis.

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