RUSSIA vs CROATIA GG SUREBET PREDICTION

A detailed Russia vs Croatia GG sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this International, World Cup Qualification, UEFAmatch on 01-Sep-2021

Russia

Croatia

DATE:

TIME:

9:45:00 PM

COUNTRY:

International

LEAGUE

World Cup Qualification, UEFA

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

36.67%

AVR. ODDS:

2.8

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

DRAW:

19.01%

AVR. ODDS:

3.21

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

41.62%

AVR. ODDS:

2.55

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

Given historical data, head to head matches and results from similar past matches, Surebet prediction systems and expert opinion have all converged on the conclusion that both teams will be able to score in this match, therefore validating a GG prediction (BTTS). 



Both Russia and Croatia have good strikers and have equally vulnerable defenses. It is quite unlikely that any of them will fail to score in this game. All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible gg in this Russia vs Croatia match. Poisson prediction model shows there is a 69.77% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 76.88% chance for the same. 



Finally, 77.48% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in gg. This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a gg in this game. The odds for Gg outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 1.83 with an implied bookmaker probability of 54.64%. Considering that the surebet probability for the GG outcome for this Russia vs Croatia match is 74.71%, then this bet is a value bet. 



If you play this bet then you you gain expected value by 20.07%The expected value for a GG prediction is denoted as EV(GG) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing. 



By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a GG in this Russia vs Croatia match is 111.43 which is positive and therefore a good bet.

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

74.71%

AVR. ODDS:

1.83

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

NO GOAL:

22.59%

AVR. ODDS:

1.87

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.37

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

7.30%

AVR. ODDS:

3.02

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

77.70%

AVR. ODDS:

2.09

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

19.60%

AVR. ODDS:

1.66

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

60.29%

AVR. ODDS:

3.67

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

37.01%

AVR. ODDS:

1.24

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

RUSSIA VS CROATIA LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Curently no head to head

RUSSIA LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Russia's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Russia lost to Denmark (1-4) on 21/06/21
Then Finland lost to Russia (0-1) on 16/06/21
Belgium won against Russia (3-0) on 06-Dec-2021
Not surprisingly Russia won against Bulgaria (1-0) on 06-May-2021
Poland drew with Russia (1-1) on 06-Jan-2021
Slovakia won against Russia (2-1) on 30/03/21
Then Russia won against Slovenia (2-1) on 27/03/21
Malta lost to Russia (1-3) on 24/03/21
Serbia won against Russia (5-0) on 18/11/20
In the earliest match listed here Turkey won against Russia (3-2) on 15/11/20

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Croatia's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Croatia lost to Spain (3-5) on 28/06/21
Croatia won against Scotland (3-1) on 22/06/21
Then Croatia drew with Czech Republic (1-1) on 18/06/21
England won against Croatia (1-0) on 13/06/21
Belgium won against Croatia (1-0) on 06-Jun-2021
Then Croatia drew with Armenia (1-1) on 06-Jan-2021
Croatia won against Malta (3-0) on 30/03/21
Croatia won against Cyprus (1-0) on 27/03/21
Once more Slovenia won against Croatia (1-0) on 24/03/21
Croatia lost to Portugal (2-3) on 17/11/20

RUSSIA'S POSITION

Russia is in position 2 with 6 points from 3 matches. They are below who have points and above Slovakia who have 5 points.
have scored 6 goals and conceded 4 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 2 goals this season.

CROATIA'S POSITION

Croatia is in position 1 with 6 points from 3 matches. They are below who have points and above Russia who have 6 points.
Croatia have scored 4 goals and conceded 1 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 3 goals this season.

RUSSIA'S BEST PLAYERS

Sure bet prediction, tips and even fixed matches all depend on the form of players. Below are Russia's players that have the potential of shaping the predictions and results for this game:

Artem Dzyuba - The Russia National Artem Dzyuba has scored 3 goals in 3 matches and shot 2 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The 0.19's average goals per match is 1.

Mario Fernandes - The Russia National Mario Fernandes has scored 2 goals in 3 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The 0.15's average goals per match is 0.67.

Aleksandr Sobolev - The Russia National Aleksandr Sobolev has scored 1 goals in 2 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The 0.33's average goals per match is 0.5.


CROATIA'S BEST PLAYERS

The following Croatia players are crucial in determining the results of this game:

Josip Brekalo - The Croatia National Josip Brekalo has scored 1 goals in 2 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.5.

Mario Pasalic - The Croatia National Mario Pasalic has scored 1 goals in 3 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.33.

Luka Modric - The Croatia National Luka Modric has scored 1 goals in 3 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored 1 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.33.

Ivan Perisic - The Croatia National Ivan Perisic has scored 1 goals in 3 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.33.



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