River Plate (Uru) vs Ca Penarol Prediction

River Plate (Uru) vs Ca Penarol Predictionwith match analysis, statistics and betting tips. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. River Plate (Uru) vs Ca Penarol are playing on �Uruguay

River Plate (Uru)

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Ca Penarol

DATE:

29 May 2022, 21:00:00

TIME:

9:00 PM

COUNTRY:

Uruguay

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LEAGUE

Primera Division, Apertura

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

23%

AVR. ODDS:

4.07

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

DRAW:

23%

AVR. ODDS:

3.53

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

53%

AVR. ODDS:

1.85

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

HOME WIN TIPS After analysing all the data and compiling and comparing expert opinions on this River Plate (Uru) vs Ca Penarol match, we are well convinced that River Plate (Uru) is in better form, better motivated and has proven in the past their ability to dominate this game against Ca Penarol. The surebet prediction for this game is therefore a home win. Note that there might be even better tips you can bet on today if you can be bold enough to subscribe for VIP tips. Besides, you might want to check out the GG/NG tips given their ability to increase betting profits for many punters. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a home win in this River Plate (Uru) vs Ca Penarol match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 37.57% probability for a Home Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 41.88% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 46.07% chance for a home win outcome. This River Plate (Uru) vs Ca Penarol match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Home Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Home Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 2.3 with an implied bookmaker probability of 43.48%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this River Plate (Uru) vs Ca Penarol match is 41.84%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -1.64%. Expected Value, EV(Home Win), for a Home Win result for this River Plate (Uru) vs Ca Penarol match is calculated as follows: Let P(Home Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(Home Win) * 100* 2.3 where 2.3 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Home Win for River Plate (Uru) vs Ca Penarol, EV(Home Win) to be 41.84% * 100 * 2.3, which translates to 38.06. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically. DRAW TIPS AWAY WIN TIPS GG TIPS NG TIPS River Plate (Uru) and Ca Penarol will probably not score each other in this game. It may be much wiser if you steered clear of a goal-goal prediction and stuck with no-goal (NG prediction). If recent outcomes for mathes played by these teams both at home and away is anything to go by, then both River Plate (Uru) and Ca Penarol have no chance scoring each other. This is going to be a low scoring match and one team will walk away goalless. The GG/NG tips for this game is therefore No-goal. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a ng in this River Plate (Uru) vs Ca Penarol match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 59.97% probability for a NG outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 58.27% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 56.95% chance for a ng outcome. This River Plate (Uru) vs Ca Penarol match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Ng bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied NG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.72 with an implied bookmaker probability of 58.14%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Ng outcome for this River Plate (Uru) vs Ca Penarol match is 58.40%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 0.26%. Expected Value, EV(NG), for a NG result for this River Plate (Uru) vs Ca Penarol match is calculated as follows: Let P(NG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(NG) * 100* 1.72 where 1.72 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a NG for River Plate (Uru) vs Ca Penarol, EV(NG) to be 58.40% * 100 * 1.72, which translates to 58.84. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically. OVER 1.5 TIPS Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for River Plate (Uru) vs Ca Penarol. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this River Plate (Uru) vs Ca Penarol match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 59.58% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 62.06% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 64.42% chance for a over 1.5 outcome. This River Plate (Uru) vs Ca Penarol match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.58 with an implied bookmaker probability of 63.29%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this River Plate (Uru) vs Ca Penarol match is 62.02%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -1.27%. Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this River Plate (Uru) vs Ca Penarol match is calculated as follows: Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.58 where 1.58 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for River Plate (Uru) vs Ca Penarol, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 62.02% * 100 * 1.58, which translates to 60.01. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
River Plate (Uru) vs Ca Penarol Prediction

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

54%

AVR. ODDS:

1.9

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

NO GOAL:

44%

AVR. ODDS:

1.8

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.34

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

22%

AVR. ODDS:

3.65

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

55%

AVR. ODDS:

2.01

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

44%

AVR. ODDS:

1.76

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

35%

AVR. ODDS:

3.53

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

64%

AVR. ODDS:

1.31

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

RIVER PLATE (URU) VS CA PENAROL PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

0

RIVER PLATE (URU)'S LAST 10 MATCHES

DEPORTIVO MADRYN LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Deportivo Madryn's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Huracan lost to Deportivo Madryn (3-4) on 24/05/22
Then All Boys drew with Deportivo Madryn (1-1) on 21/05/22
Deportivo Madryn won against Gimnasia Mendoza (2-0) on 14/05/22
Not surprisingly San Telmo won against Deportivo Madryn (2-1) on 05-Jun-2022
Deportivo Madryn won against Chaco For Ever (3-2) on 30/04/22
San Martin won against Deportivo Madryn (3-2) on 23/04/22
Then Deportivo Madryn won against Atletico Atlanta (4-1) on 16/04/22
CA Estudiantes drew with Deportivo Madryn (0-0) on 04-Oct-2022
Deportivo Madryn drew with Santamarina Tand. (1-1) on 04-Mar-2022
In the earliest match listed here Atletico Rafaela drew with Deportivo Madryn (1-1) on 29/03/22

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

DEPORTIVO MADRYN LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Deportivo Madryn's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Guemes drew with Dep. Moron (0-0) on 23/05/22
Then Temperley won against Guemes (1-0) on 15/05/22
Guemes drew with Flandria (0-0) on 05-Sep-2022
Not surprisingly Gimnasia Jujuy lost to Guemes (0-2) on 05-Jan-2022
Guemes won against Almirante Brown (2-1) on 25/04/22
Villa Dalmine drew with Guemes (0-0) on 16/04/22
Then Guemes lost to Belgrano (0-1) on 04-Dec-2022
Dep. Riestra won against Guemes (1-0) on 04-Apr-2022
Guemes lost to All Boys (0-2) on 24/03/22
In the earliest match listed here Gimnasia Mendoza drew with Guemes (1-1) on 19/03/22

RIVER PLATE (URU) POSITION

DEPORTIVO MADRYN'S POSITION
Deportivo Madryn is in position 10 with 24 points from 16 matches. They are below Chaco For Ever who have 24 points and above Instituto Atletico who have 24 points.
Deportivo Madryn have scored 23 goals and conceded 17 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 6 goals this season.

CA PENAROL POSITION

CLUB ATLETICO GUEMES'S POSITION
Guemes is in position 34 with 13 points from 15 matches. They are below Villa Dalmine who have 14 points and above Flandria who have 12 points.
Club Atletico Guemes have scored 8 goals and conceded 13 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -5 goals this season.

RIVER PLATE (URU) BEST PLAYERS

No player analysis.

CA PENAROL BEST PLAYERS

No player analysis.

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