RAITH ROVERS vs DUNFERMLINE 12 SUREBET PREDICTION

A detailed Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline 12 sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Scotland, Championshipmatch on 29-Sep-2021

Raith Rovers

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Dunfermline

DATE:

29 September 2021, 21:05:00

TIME:

9:05 PM

COUNTRY:

Scotland

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LEAGUE

Championship

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

36%

AVR. ODDS:

2.19

VALUEBET?

No

DRAW:

26%

AVR. ODDS:

3.29

VALUEBET?

No

AWAY WIN:

38%

AVR. ODDS:

3.29

VALUEBET?

Yes

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

Do not even think of a draw in the prediction of this match. The best double chance prediction is 12 meaning either a win for Raith Rovers or a win for Dunfermline ignore the fact that odds are really small. 


Remember you can use sure multibets to raise your total odds. All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible 12 in this Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline match. 


Poisson prediction model shows there is a 74.00% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 73.80% chance for the same. Finally, 73.64% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in 12. 


This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a 12 in this game. The odds for 12 outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 1.34 with an implied bookmaker probability of 74.63%. Considering that the surebet probability for the 12 outcome for this Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline match is 73.81%, then this bet is not a value bet.


If you play this bet then you lose expected value by -0.81%The expected value for a 12 prediction is denoted as EV(12) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing. 


By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a 12 in this Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline match is 72.72 which is positive and therefore a good bet.

RAITH ROVERS vs DUNFERMLINE 12 SUREBET PREDICTION

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

54%

AVR. ODDS:

1.81

VALUEBET?

No

NO GOAL:

46%

AVR. ODDS:

1.9

VALUEBET?

No

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.31

VALUEBET?

No

UNDER 1.5:

26%

AVR. ODDS:

3.13

VALUEBET?

No

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

49%

AVR. ODDS:

2

VALUEBET?

No

UNDER 2.5:

50%

AVR. ODDS:

1.72

VALUEBET?

No

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

28%

AVR. ODDS:

3.51

VALUEBET?

No

UNDER 3.5:

72%

AVR. ODDS:

1.28

VALUEBET?

No

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

RAITH ROVERS VS DUNFERMLINE LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Raith Rovers and Dunfermline Athletic have met 6 times recently since 19/01/19. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline Athletic prediction.
05-Aug-2021 - Raith Rovers [2 : 0] Dunfermline Athletic
05-Apr-2021 - Dunfermline Athletic [0 : 0] Raith Rovers
30/03/21 - Raith Rovers [5 : 1] Dunfermline Athletic
02-Mar-2021 - Dunfermline Athletic [4 : 1] Raith Rovers
12-May-2020 - Raith Rovers [2 : 2] Dunfermline Athletic
19/01/19 - Raith Rovers [3 : 0] Dunfermline Athletic

RAITH ROVERS LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Raith Rovers's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Raith Rovers won against Partick Thistle (3-2) on 26/09/21
Then Celtic won against Raith Rovers (3-0) on 23/09/21
Greenock lost to Raith Rovers (0-1) on 18/09/21
Not surprisingly Raith Rovers lost to Queen of The South (0-1) on 09-Nov-2021
Ayr United lost to Raith Rovers (0-2) on 09-Jul-2021
Raith Rovers won against Forfar (1-0) on 09-Apr-2021
Then Raith Rovers won against Aberdeen (2-1) on 15/08/21
Inverness CT won against Raith Rovers (1-0) on 08-Jul-2021
Raith Rovers drew with Hamilton (4-4) on 31/07/21
In the earliest match listed here Raith Rovers won against Alloa Athletic (5-4) on 24/07/21

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Dunfermline's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Dunfermline Athletic drew with Hamilton (0-0) on 25/09/21
Dunfermline Athletic drew with Inverness CT (0-0) on 18/09/21
Then Ayr United won against Dunfermline Athletic (3-1) on 09-Nov-2021
Elgin City won against 0 (?-Dunfermline Athletic) on 09-Apr-2021
: lost to 5 ((FT)-Rangers) on 03-Jan-1900
Then : lost to 0 ((FT)-Dunfermline Athletic) on 00-Jan-1900
: lost to 2 ((FT)-Greenock) on 03-Jan-1900
: lost to 4 ((FT)-Dunfermline Athletic) on 02-Jan-1900
Once more : lost to 5 ((FT)-Dunfermline Athletic) on 01-Jan-1900
: lost to 1 ((FT)-St. Mirren) on 01-Jan-1900

RAITH ROVERS'S POSITION

Raith Rovers is in position 4 with 10 points from 6 matches. They are below Arbroath who have 14 points and above Partick Thistle who have 9 points.
have scored 10 goals and conceded 8 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 2 goals this season.

DUNFERMLINE'S POSITION

Dunfermline Athletic is in position 10 with 3 points from 6 matches. They are below Hamilton who have 5 points and above who have points.
Dunfermline have scored 3 goals and conceded 11 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -8 goals this season.

RAITH ROVERS'S BEST PLAYERS

Players not available

DUNFERMLINE'S BEST PLAYERS

Players not available

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