QPR vs MILLWALL HOME WIN SUREBET PREDICTION

A detailed QPR vs Millwall HOME WIN sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this �England, Championshipmatch on 07-Aug-2021

QPR

Millwall

DATE:

TIME:

5:00:00 PM

COUNTRY:

England

LEAGUE

Championship

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

45.75%

AVR. ODDS:

2.08

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

DRAW:

27.97%

AVR. ODDS:

3.33

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

26.21%

AVR. ODDS:

3.53

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible home win in this QPR vs Millwall match. Poisson prediction model shows there is a 43.42% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 45.68% chance for the same. Finally, 48.14% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in home win. 


This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a home win in this game. The odds for Home Win outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 2.08 with an implied bookmaker probability of 48.08%. Considering that the surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this QPR vs Millwall match is 45.75%, then this bet is not a value bet.If you play this bet then you lose expected value by -2.33%The expected value for a Home Win prediction is denoted as EV(Home Win) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing. 


By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a Home Win in this QPR vs Millwall match is 40.9 which is positive and therefore a good bet.Strong recent and past performances that QPR have demonstrated lead us to conclude that the prospects for a home win are quite high for this match. Expert football prediction sites have also supported this prediction by far and large. 


Millwall might not be able to record either a win or a draw in this match. It is however prudent to compare diffrent predictions to find the ones with the highest probabilities. True profits come from predictions with over 90% chance of coming true. Some of our tips are 100% sure and guaranteed but can only be accessed by VIP members. You can also become a VIP member once you subscribe. 


Note also that you do not always have to use the win-draw-win market. It might be popular but not necessarily the best or least risky. See all predictions today to see tips from other betting markets.

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

44.39%

AVR. ODDS:

1.93

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

55.54%

AVR. ODDS:

1.78

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.4

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

34.19%

AVR. ODDS:

2.96

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

39.34%

AVR. ODDS:

2.14

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

60.59%

AVR. ODDS:

1.63

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

19.45%

AVR. ODDS:

3.75

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

80.48%

AVR. ODDS:

1.22

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

QPR VS MILLWALL LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Qpr and Millwall have met 6 times recently since 19/09/18. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Qpr vs Millwall prediction.
17/03/21 - QPR [3 : 2] Millwall
12-Aug-2020 - Millwall [1 : 1] QPR
18/07/20 - QPR [4 : 3] Millwall
21/09/19 - Millwall [1 : 2] QPR
04-Oct-2019 - Millwall [0 : 0] QPR
19/09/18 - QPR [2 : 0] Millwall

QPR LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are QPR's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
QPR drew with Leicester (3-3) on 31/07/21
Then Cambridge lost to QPR (1-2) on 27/07/21
QPR won against Man Utd (4-2) on 24/07/21
Not surprisingly QPR won against Luton (3-1) on 05-Aug-2021
Stoke lost to QPR (0-2) on 05-Jan-2021
QPR lost to Norwich (1-3) on 24/04/21
Then Swansea lost to QPR (0-1) on 20/04/21
Middlesbrough lost to QPR (1-2) on 17/04/21
Rotherham won against QPR (3-1) on 13/04/21
In the earliest match listed here QPR won against Sheffield Wed (4-1) on 04-Oct-2021

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Millwall's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Gillingham drew with Millwall (1-1) on 27/07/21
Coventry won against Millwall (6-1) on 05-Aug-2021
Then Millwall won against Bristol City (4-1) on 05-Jan-2021
Watford won against Millwall (1-0) on 24/04/21
Millwall lost to Bournemouth (1-4) on 21/04/21
Then Brentford drew with Millwall (0-0) on 17/04/21
Millwall lost to Swansea (0-3) on 04-Oct-2021
Stoke lost to Millwall (1-2) on 04-May-2021
Once more Millwall won against Rotherham (1-0) on 04-Feb-2021
Millwall won against Middlesbrough (1-0) on 20/03/21

QPR'S POSITION

No position listed

MILLWALL'S POSITION

No position listed

QPR'S BEST PLAYERS

No notable players

MILLWALL'S BEST PLAYERS

No notable players

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