Pif Jalkapallo vs Japs Prediction

Pif Jalkapallo vs Japs Predictionwith match analysis, statistics and betting tips. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Pif Jalkapallo vs Japs are playing on �Finland

Pif Jalkapallo

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Japs

DATE:

29 May 2022, 18:30:00

TIME:

6:30 PM

COUNTRY:

Finland

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LEAGUE

Ykkonen

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

41%

AVR. ODDS:

2.44

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

DRAW:

19%

AVR. ODDS:

3.48

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

37%

AVR. ODDS:

2.68

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

HOME WIN TIPS

After analysing all the data and compiling and comparing expert opinions on this Pif Jalkapallo vs Japs match, we are well convinced that Pif Jalkapallo is in better form, better motivated and has proven in the past their ability to dominate this game against Japs.


The surebet prediction for this game is therefore a home win. Note that there might be even better tips you can bet on today if you can be bold enough to subscribe for VIP tips. Besides, you might want to check out the GG/NG tips given their ability to increase betting profits for many punters.


We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a home win in this Pif Jalkapallo vs Japs match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 63.00% probability for a Home Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 52.24% probability for the same outccome.


The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 42.78% chance for a home win outcome. This Pif Jalkapallo vs Japs match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.


To find if the Home Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Home Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same.


The odds for this outcome are averagely 2.11 with an implied bookmaker probability of 47.39%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Pif Jalkapallo vs Japs match is 52.67%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 5.28%.. Expected Value, EV(Home Win), for a Home Win result for this Pif Jalkapallo vs Japs match is calculated as follows:


Let P(Home Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(Home Win) * 100* 2.11 where 2.11 are the decimal odds for this outcome.


Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Home Win for Pif Jalkapallo vs Japs, EV(Home Win) to be 52.67% * 100 * 2.11, which translates to 63.81. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.


OVER 1.5 TIPS

Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Pif Jalkapallo vs Japs.


The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this Pif Jalkapallo vs Japs match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 74.78% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 81.80% probability for the same outccome.


The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 86.73% chance for a over 1.5 outcome. This Pif Jalkapallo vs Japs match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same.


The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.16 with an implied bookmaker probability of 86.21%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Pif Jalkapallo vs Japs match is 81.10%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -5.11%.


Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Pif Jalkapallo vs Japs match is calculated as follows: Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.16 where 1.16 are the decimal odds for this outcome.


Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Pif Jalkapallo vs Japs, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 81.10% * 100 * 1.16, which translates to 75.17. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.

Pif Jalkapallo vs Japs Prediction

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

79%

AVR. ODDS:

1.58

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

NO GOAL:

18%

AVR. ODDS:

2.23

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.13

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

5%

AVR. ODDS:

3.09

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

82%

AVR. ODDS:

1.7

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

15%

AVR. ODDS:

1.76

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

67%

AVR. ODDS:

2.98

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

30%

AVR. ODDS:

1.31

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

PIF JALKAPALLO VS JAPS PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

SAGAMIHARA VS KATALLER TOYAMA LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Sagamihara and Kataller T have met 6 times recently since 15/04/18. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Sagamihara vs Kataller T prediction.
27/09/20 - Sagamihara [3 : 2] Kataller T
08-Oct-2020 - Kataller T [3 : 0] Sagamihara
31/08/19 - Kataller T [2 : 1] Sagamihara
03-Oct-2019 - Sagamihara [0 : 0] Kataller T
10-Jul-2018 - Kataller T [3 : 2] Sagamihara
15/04/18 - Sagamihara [1 : 0] Kataller T

PIF JALKAPALLO'S LAST 10 MATCHES

SAGAMIHARA LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Sagamihara's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Sagamihara drew with Yokohama (0-0) on 19/05/22
Then Gifu won against Sagamihara (2-0) on 15/05/22
Fukushima U won against Sagamihara (1-0) on 17/04/22
Not surprisingly Ehime won against Sagamihara (2-1) on 04-Oct-2022
Sagamihara lost to Matsumoto (1-4) on 04-Mar-2022
Sagamihara won against Tegevajaro (2-1) on 26/03/22
Then Iwaki FC won against Sagamihara (1-0) on 20/03/22
Sagamihara won against AC Numazu (1-0) on 03-Dec-2022
Tokyo V won against Sagamihara (3-0) on 12-May-2021
In the earliest match listed here Sagamihara drew with Matsumoto (1-1) on 28/11/21

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

SAGAMIHARA LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Sagamihara's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Kataller T won against Fujieda (1-0) on 22/05/22
Then Kataller T won against Yokohama (5-1) on 15/05/22
Kagoshima Utd won against Kataller T (4-1) on 05-May-2022
Not surprisingly Kataller T won against Gainare T (3-2) on 29/04/22
Fujieda lost to Kataller T (0-2) on 17/04/22
Kataller T lost to Gifu (1-3) on 04-Oct-2022
Then Iwaki FC drew with Kataller T (1-1) on 04-Mar-2022
Kataller T lost to Giravanz K (1-2) on 27/03/22
Imabari won against Kataller T (2-1) on 20/03/22
In the earliest match listed here Ehime lost to Kataller T (1-2) on 13/03/22

PIF JALKAPALLO POSITION

SAGAMIHARA'S POSITION
Sagamihara is in position 15 with 7 points from 8 matches. They are below Giravanz K who have 9 points and above Vanraure Hachinohe who have 6 points.
Sagamihara have scored 5 goals and conceded 11 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -6 goals this season.

JAPS POSITION

KATALLER TOYAMA'S POSITION
Kataller T is in position 10 with 13 points from 9 matches. They are below Gifu who have 13 points and above AC Numazu who have 13 points.
Kataller Toyama have scored 17 goals and conceded 16 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 1 goals this season.

PIF JALKAPALLO BEST PLAYERS

No player analysis.

JAPS BEST PLAYERS

No player analysis.

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