NK OSIJEK vs HNK SIBENIK SURE PREDICTION

A detailed Nk Osijek vs Hnk Sibenik sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this �Croatia, 1. HNL match on 16-Jul-2021

Nk Osijek

Hnk Sibenik

DATE:

TIME:

10:00:00 PM

COUNTRY:

Croatia

LEAGUE

1. HNL

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

54.93%

AVR. ODDS:

1.3

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

DRAW:

26.47%

AVR. ODDS:

4.97

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

18.51%

AVR. ODDS:

9.94

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

Nk Osijek and Hnk Sibenik will probably not score each other in this game. It may be much wiser if you steered clear of a goal-goal prediction and stuck with no-goal (NG prediction). If recent outcomes for mathes played by these teams both at home and away is anything to go by, then both Nk Osijek and Hnk Sibenik have no chance scoring each other.


This is going to be a low scoring match and one team will walk away goalless. The GG/NG tips for this game is therefore No-goal. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a ng in this Nk Osijek vs Hnk Sibenik match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 69.38% probability for a NG outcome.


The ELO Ratings model came through with a 60.58% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 53.81% chance for a ng outcome. This Nk Osijek vs Hnk Sibenik match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Ng bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied NG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.52 with an implied bookmaker probability of 65.79%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Ng outcome for this Nk Osijek vs Hnk Sibenik match is 61.25%, meaning this bet is not a value bet.


In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -4.54%Expected Value, EV(NG), for a NG result for this Nk Osijek vs Hnk Sibenik match is calculated as follows: Let P(NG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet.


Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(NG) * 100* 1.52 where 1.52 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a NG for Nk Osijek vs Hnk Sibenik, EV(NG) to be 61.25% * 100 * 1.52, which translates to 54.35. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.


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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

38.66%

AVR. ODDS:

2.38

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

61.25%

AVR. ODDS:

1.52

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.21

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

36.12%

AVR. ODDS:

3.38

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

37.05%

AVR. ODDS:

1.85

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

62.86%

AVR. ODDS:

1.86

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

17.64%

AVR. ODDS:

3.25

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

82.27%

AVR. ODDS:

1.39

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

NK OSIJEK VS HNK SIBENIK LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Osijek and Sibenik have met 6 times recently since 05-May-2012. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Osijek vs Sibenik prediction.
05-Nov-2021 - Osijek [3 : 0] Sibenik
14/03/21 - Sibenik [0 : 4] Osijek
19/12/20 - Osijek [1 : 0] Sibenik
10-Mar-2020 - Sibenik [0 : 2] Osijek
26/10/16 - Sibenik [1 : 2] Osijek
05-May-2012 - Sibenik [1 : 1] Osijek

NK OSIJEK LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Nk Osijek's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Osijek won against TSC Backa Topola (3-0) on 07-Oct-2021
Then Osijek drew with Fehervar Szekesfeh. (1-1) on 07-Jan-2021
Osijek lost to Slask Wroclaw (1-2) on 26/06/21
Not surprisingly NK Polet lost to Osijek (2-4) on 24/06/21
Osijek won against Cepin (4-0) on 19/06/21
Osijek won against Istra 1961 (2-1) on 22/05/21
Then Lokomotiva lost to Osijek (0-2) on 15/05/21
Osijek won against Sibenik (3-0) on 05-Nov-2021
Gorica won against Osijek (1-0) on 05-Jul-2021
In the earliest match listed here Osijek drew with Varazdin (1-1) on 05-Feb-2021

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Hnk Sibenik's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Spartak Moscow won against Sibenik (4-2) on 07-May-2021
Domzale won against Sibenik (2-1) on 07-Feb-2021
Then Sibenik won against Zrinjski Mostar (2-1) on 26/06/21
Zagora drew with Sibenik (3-3) on 19/06/21
Dinamo Zagreb won against Sibenik (1-0) on 22/05/21
Then Sibenik lost to Hajduk (0-2) on 16/05/21
Osijek won against Sibenik (3-0) on 05-Nov-2021
Sibenik won against Istra 1961 (1-0) on 05-Jul-2021
Once more Lokomotiva won against Sibenik (1-0) on 30/04/21
Sibenik won against Slaven (2-0) on 24/04/21

NK OSIJEK'S POSITION

No position listed

HNK SIBENIK'S POSITION

No position Listed for this team.

NK OSIJEK'S BEST PLAYERS

No notable players

HNK SIBENIK'S BEST PLAYERS

No notable players

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