NAJRAN SC vs ALSHOULLA SURE PREDICTION

A detailed Najran Sc vs Alshoulla sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Saudi Arabia, Division 1 match on 29-Sep-2021

Najran Sc

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Alshoulla

DATE:

29 September 2021, 20:10:00

TIME:

8:10 PM

COUNTRY:

Saudi Arabia

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LEAGUE

Division 1

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

36%

AVR. ODDS:

2.36

VALUEBET?

No

DRAW:

26%

AVR. ODDS:

3.06

VALUEBET?

No

AWAY WIN:

38%

AVR. ODDS:

2.82

VALUEBET?

Yes

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

Najran Sc and Alshoulla will probably not score each other in this game. It may be much wiser if you steered clear of a goal-goal prediction and stuck with no-goal (NG prediction). 


If recent outcomes for mathes played by these teams both at home and away is anything to go by, then both Najran Sc and Alshoulla have no chance scoring each other. 


This is going to be a low scoring match and one team will walk away goalless. The GG/NG tips for this game is therefore No-goal. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a ng in this Najran Sc vs Alshoulla match. 


The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 60.45% probability for a NG outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 52.63% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 53.40% chance for a ng outcome. This Najran Sc vs Alshoulla match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. 


To find if the Ng bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied NG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. 


The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.7 with an implied bookmaker probability of 58.82%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Ng outcome for this Najran Sc vs Alshoulla match is 55.49%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. 


In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -3.33%Expected Value, EV(NG), for a NG result for this Najran Sc vs Alshoulla match is calculated as follows: Let P(NG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. 


Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(NG) * 100* 1.7 where 1.7 are the decimal odds for this outcome. 


Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a NG for Najran Sc vs Alshoulla, EV(NG) to be 55.49% * 100 * 1.7, which translates to 49.82. 


This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.

NAJRAN SC vs ALSHOULLA SURE PREDICTION

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

54%

AVR. ODDS:

1.95

VALUEBET?

Yes

NO GOAL:

46%

AVR. ODDS:

1.76

VALUEBET?

No

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.47

VALUEBET?

Yes

UNDER 1.5:

26%

AVR. ODDS:

2.85

VALUEBET?

No

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

49%

AVR. ODDS:

2.25

VALUEBET?

Yes

UNDER 2.5:

50%

AVR. ODDS:

1.57

VALUEBET?

No

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

28%

AVR. ODDS:

3.95

VALUEBET?

Yes

UNDER 3.5:

72%

AVR. ODDS:

1.17

VALUEBET?

No

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

RAITH ROVERS VS DUNFERMLINE LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Raith Rovers and Dunfermline Athletic have met 6 times recently since 19/01/19. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline Athletic prediction.
05-Aug-2021 - Raith Rovers [2 : 0] Dunfermline Athletic
05-Apr-2021 - Dunfermline Athletic [0 : 0] Raith Rovers
30/03/21 - Raith Rovers [5 : 1] Dunfermline Athletic
02-Mar-2021 - Dunfermline Athletic [4 : 1] Raith Rovers
12-May-2020 - Raith Rovers [2 : 2] Dunfermline Athletic
19/01/19 - Raith Rovers [3 : 0] Dunfermline Athletic

RAITH ROVERS LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Raith Rovers's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Raith Rovers won against Partick Thistle (3-2) on 26/09/21
Then Celtic won against Raith Rovers (3-0) on 23/09/21
Greenock lost to Raith Rovers (0-1) on 18/09/21
Not surprisingly Raith Rovers lost to Queen of The South (0-1) on 09-Nov-2021
Ayr United lost to Raith Rovers (0-2) on 09-Jul-2021
Raith Rovers won against Forfar (1-0) on 09-Apr-2021
Then Raith Rovers won against Aberdeen (2-1) on 15/08/21
Inverness CT won against Raith Rovers (1-0) on 08-Jul-2021
Raith Rovers drew with Hamilton (4-4) on 31/07/21
In the earliest match listed here Raith Rovers won against Alloa Athletic (5-4) on 24/07/21

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Currently no recent matches

RAITH ROVERS'S POSITION

Raith Rovers is in position 4 with 10 points from 6 matches. They are below Arbroath who have 14 points and above Partick Thistle who have 9 points.
have scored 10 goals and conceded 8 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 2 goals this season.

DUNFERMLINE'S POSITION

Dunfermline Athletic is in position 10 with 3 points from 6 matches. They are below Hamilton who have 5 points and above who have points.
Dunfermline have scored 3 goals and conceded 11 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -8 goals this season.

RAITH ROVERS'S BEST PLAYERS

Players not available

DUNFERMLINE'S BEST PLAYERS

Players not available

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