MVO WANDERERS vs RIVER PLATE (URU) SURE PREDICTION

A detailed Mvo Wanderers vs River Plate (Uru) sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Brazil Serie A match on 08-Jul-2021

Mvo Wanderers

River Plate (Uru)

DATE:

TIME:

11:15:00 PM

COUNTRY:

Uruguay

LEAGUE

Primera Division, Apertura

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

58.0%

AVR. ODDS:

2.35

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

DRAW:

23.7%

AVR. ODDS:

3.32

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

16.9%

AVR. ODDS:

2.92

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

After analysing all the data and compiling and comparing expert opinions on this Mvo Wanderers vs River Plate (Uru) match, we are well convinced that Mvo Wanderers is in better form, better motivated and has proven in the past their ability to dominate this game against River Plate (Uru). The surebet prediction for this game is therefore a home win. Note that there might be even better tips you can bet on today if you can be bold enough to subscribe for VIP tips. Besides, you might want to check out the GG/NG tips given their ability to increase betting profits for many punters. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a home win in this Mvo Wanderers vs River Plate (Uru) match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 46.98% probability for a Home Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 61.06% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 66.08% chance for a home win outcome. This Mvo Wanderers vs River Plate (Uru) match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Home Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Home Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 2.35 with an implied bookmaker probability of 42.55%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Mvo Wanderers vs River Plate (Uru) match is 58.04%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 15.49%Expected Value, EV(Home Win), for a Home Win result for this Mvo Wanderers vs River Plate (Uru) match is calculated as follows: Let P(Home Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(Home Win) * 100* 2.35 where 2.35 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Home Win for Mvo Wanderers vs River Plate (Uru), EV(Home Win) to be 58.04% * 100 * 2.35, which translates to 94.43. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

49.1%

AVR. ODDS:

1.8

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

49.6%

AVR. ODDS:

1.91

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.31

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

27.6%

AVR. ODDS:

3.13

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

51.2%

AVR. ODDS:

2.01

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

47.5%

AVR. ODDS:

1.72

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

33.8%

AVR. ODDS:

3.53

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

64.9%

AVR. ODDS:

1.28

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

MVO WANDERERS VS RIVER PLATE (URU) LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

River Plate and Wanderers have met 6 times recently since 21/04/18. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the River Plate vs Wanderers prediction.
27/02/21 - River Plate [1 : 1] Wanderers
09-May-2020 - Wanderers [0 : 2] River Plate
14/09/19 - River Plate [3 : 1] Wanderers
17/02/19 - Wanderers [1 : 1] River Plate
21/10/18 - River Plate [0 : 5] Wanderers
21/04/18 - Wanderers [0 : 3] River Plate

MVO WANDERERS LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Mvo Wanderers's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Liverpool M won against Wanderers (2-1) on 07-Jun-2021
Then Wanderers won against Cerrito (1-0) on 29/06/21
Nacional won against Wanderers (3-0) on 24/06/21
Not surprisingly Wanderers won against Villa Espanola (3-0) on 19/06/21
Montevideo City won against Wanderers (2-1) on 06-Nov-2021
Wanderers drew with Penarol (0-0) on 06-Jul-2021
Then Rentistas lost to Wanderers (0-1) on 31/05/21
Wanderers drew with Dep Maldonado (0-0) on 23/05/21
Wanderers won against Boston River (1-0) on 15/05/21
In the earliest match listed here Nacional won against Wanderers (2-0) on 05-Mar-2021

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are River Plate (Uru)'s last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
River Plate drew with Boston River (1-1) on 07-Mar-2021
Fenix Montevideo lost to River Plate (3-4) on 26/06/21
Then River Plate lost to Colonia (0-1) on 22/06/21
Sud America lost to River Plate (1-2) on 19/06/21
River Plate won against Progreso (4-0) on 06-Dec-2021
Then Cerro Largo lost to River Plate (2-4) on 06-Jun-2021
Dep Maldonado drew with River Plate (0-0) on 30/05/21
River Plate won against Liverpool M (3-2) on 24/05/21
Once more Cerrito won against River Plate (3-1) on 17/05/21
River Plate won against Progreso (3-2) on 29/03/21

MVO WANDERERS'S POSITION

Wanderers is in position 7 with 14 points from 9 matches. They are below Penarol who have 14 points and above Dep Maldonado who have 12 points.
have scored 8 goals and conceded 7 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 1 goals this season.

RIVER PLATE (URU)'S POSITION

No position Listed for this team.

MVO WANDERERS'S BEST PLAYERS

No notable players

RIVER PLATE (URU)'S BEST PLAYERS

No notable players

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