Moreirense vs Gd Chaves Prediction

Moreirense vs Gd Chaves Predictionwith match analysis, statistics and betting tips. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Moreirense vs Gd Chaves are playing on �Portugal

Moreirense

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Gd Chaves

DATE:

29 May 2022, 21:30:00

TIME:

9:30 PM

COUNTRY:

Portugal

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LEAGUE

final

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

52%

AVR. ODDS:

1.85

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

DRAW:

25%

AVR. ODDS:

3.38

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

23%

AVR. ODDS:

4.38

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

HOME WIN TIPS After analysing all the data and compiling and comparing expert opinions on this Moreirense vs Gd Chaves match, we are well convinced that Moreirense is in better form, better motivated and has proven in the past their ability to dominate this game against Gd Chaves. The surebet prediction for this game is therefore a home win. Note that there might be even better tips you can bet on today if you can be bold enough to subscribe for VIP tips. Besides, you might want to check out the GG/NG tips given their ability to increase betting profits for many punters. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a home win in this Moreirense vs Gd Chaves match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 45.35% probability for a Home Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 49.15% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 52.36% chance for a home win outcome. This Moreirense vs Gd Chaves match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Home Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Home Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.61 with an implied bookmaker probability of 62.11%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Moreirense vs Gd Chaves match is 48.96%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -13.16%. Expected Value, EV(Home Win), for a Home Win result for this Moreirense vs Gd Chaves match is calculated as follows: Let P(Home Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(Home Win) * 100* 1.61 where 1.61 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Home Win for Moreirense vs Gd Chaves, EV(Home Win) to be 48.96% * 100 * 1.61, which translates to 27.77. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically. DRAW TIPS AWAY WIN TIPS GG TIPS NG TIPS OVER 1.5 TIPS Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Moreirense vs Gd Chaves. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this Moreirense vs Gd Chaves match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 68.34% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 75.31% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 80.78% chance for a over 1.5 outcome. This Moreirense vs Gd Chaves match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.14666666666667 with an implied bookmaker probability of 87.21%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Moreirense vs Gd Chaves match is 74.81%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -12.40%. Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Moreirense vs Gd Chaves match is calculated as follows: Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.14666666666667 where 1.14666666666667 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Moreirense vs Gd Chaves, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 74.81% * 100 * 1.14, which translates to 60.58. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
Moreirense vs Gd Chaves Prediction

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

46%

AVR. ODDS:

1.9

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

53%

AVR. ODDS:

1.8

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.36

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

30%

AVR. ODDS:

3.71

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

44%

AVR. ODDS:

2.04

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

56%

AVR. ODDS:

1.76

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

23%

AVR. ODDS:

3.58

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

77%

AVR. ODDS:

1.31

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

MOREIRENSE VS GD CHAVES PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

RIVER PLATE (URU) VS CA PENAROL LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
River Plate and Penarol have met 6 times recently since 11-Oct-2019. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the River Plate vs Penarol prediction.
14/11/21 - River Plate [1 : 1] Penarol
08-Feb-2021 - Penarol [2 : 0] River Plate
03-Jul-2021 - Penarol [2 : 0] River Plate
18/10/20 - Penarol [1 : 2] River Plate
09-Sep-2020 - River Plate [0 : 0] Penarol
11-Oct-2019 - Penarol [1 : 0] River Plate

MOREIRENSE'S LAST 10 MATCHES

RIVER PLATE (URU) LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are River Plate (Uru)'s last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Liverpool M won against River Plate (2-1) on 22/05/22
Then River Plate lost to Cuiaba (1-2) on 19/05/22
River Plate won against Rentistas (1-0) on 13/05/22
Not surprisingly Dep Maldonado won against River Plate (2-1) on 05-Aug-2022
River Plate lost to Melgar (1-2) on 05-Apr-2022
Cuiaba lost to River Plate (1-2) on 28/04/22
Then River Plate drew with Danubio (0-0) on 23/04/22
Nacional drew with River Plate (1-1) on 18/04/22
Melgar won against River Plate (2-0) on 14/04/22
In the earliest match listed here River Plate won against Albion (4-1) on 04-Oct-2022

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

RIVER PLATE (URU) LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are River Plate (Uru)'s last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Penarol won against Colon Santa Fe (2-1) on 26/05/22
Then Penarol won against Boston River (1-0) on 22/05/22
Penarol drew with Cerro Porteno (0-0) on 18/05/22
Not surprisingly Colonia lost to Penarol (0-1) on 14/05/22
Penarol won against Wanderers (1-0) on 05-Sep-2022
Olimpia won against Penarol (1-0) on 05-May-2022
Then Cerro Porteno won against Penarol (1-0) on 28/04/22
Montevideo City lost to Penarol (0-1) on 24/04/22
Cerrito drew with Penarol (0-0) on 17/04/22
In the earliest match listed here Penarol won against Olimpia (2-1) on 13/04/22

MOREIRENSE POSITION

RIVER PLATE (URU)'S POSITION
River Plate is in position 8 with 19 points from 13 matches. They are below Fenix Montevideo who have 20 points and above Defensor who have 19 points.
River Plate (Uru) have scored 20 goals and conceded 15 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 5 goals this season.

GD CHAVES POSITION

CA PENAROL'S POSITION
Penarol is in position 4 with 25 points from 13 matches. They are below Dep Maldonado who have 25 points and above Wanderers who have 21 points.
Ca Penarol have scored 10 goals and conceded 5 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 5 goals this season.

MOREIRENSE BEST PLAYERS

No player analysis.

GD CHAVES BEST PLAYERS

No player analysis.

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