LOS ANDES vs DEP ARMENIO PREDICTION

A detailed Los Andes vs Dep Armenio sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Argentina, Primera B, Clausura match on 29-Aug-2021

Los Andes

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Dep Armenio

DATE:

29 August 2021, 22:30:00

TIME:

10:30 PM

COUNTRY:

Argentina

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LEAGUE

Primera B, Clausura

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

37%

AVR. ODDS:

2.44

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

DRAW:

28%

AVR. ODDS:

3.32

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

35%

AVR. ODDS:

2.86

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

After analysing all the data and compiling and comparing expert opinions on this Los Andes vs Dep Armenio match, we are well convinced that Los Andes is in better form, better motivated and has proven in the past their ability to dominate this game against Dep Armenio. The surebet prediction for this game is therefore a home win.


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We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a home win in this Los Andes vs Dep Armenio match.

The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 34.57% probability for a Home Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 37.18% probability for the same outccome.


The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 39.21% chance for a home win outcome.

This Los Andes vs Dep Armenio match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.



To find if the Home Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Home Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 2.44 with an implied bookmaker probability of 40.98%.


The calculated Surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Los Andes vs Dep Armenio match is 36.98%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -4.00%Expected Value, EV(Home Win), for a Home Win result for this Los Andes vs Dep Armenio match is calculated as follows:


Let P(Home Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;

P(Home Win) * 100* 2.44 where 2.44 are the decimal odds for this outcome.


Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Home Win for Los Andes vs Dep Armenio, EV(Home Win) to be 36.98% * 100 * 2.44, which translates to 27.22. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.

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LOS ANDES vs DEP ARMENIO PREDICTION

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

49%

AVR. ODDS:

2.24

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

NO GOAL:

51%

AVR. ODDS:

1.58

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.7

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

31%

AVR. ODDS:

2.62

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

43%

AVR. ODDS:

2.6

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

57%

AVR. ODDS:

1.44

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

23%

AVR. ODDS:

4.56

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

77%

AVR. ODDS:

1.07

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

LOS ANDES VS DEP ARMENIO LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Dep. Armenio and Atletico Los Andes have met 6 times recently since 25/11/13. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Dep. Armenio vs Atletico Los Andes prediction.
17/04/21 - Dep. Armenio [1 : 0] Atletico Los Andes
20/10/19 - Atletico Los Andes [1 : 2] Dep. Armenio
10-Nov-2014 - Dep. Armenio [0 : 2] Atletico Los Andes
22/08/14 - Atletico Los Andes [4 : 0] Dep. Armenio
13/05/14 - Atletico Los Andes [1 : 1] Dep. Armenio
25/11/13 - Dep. Armenio [2 : 0] Atletico Los Andes

LOS ANDES LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Los Andes's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
San Carlos drew with Atletico Los Andes (1-1) on 24/08/21
Then Atletico Los Andes won against CA Defensores Unidos (1-0) on 14/08/21
Atletico Fenix drew with Atletico Los Andes (0-0) on 08-Jul-2021
Not surprisingly Atletico Los Andes won against Colegiales (2-0) on 08-Jan-2021
A. de Quilmes drew with Atletico Los Andes (2-2) on 17/07/21
Justo Jose de Urq. lost to Atletico Los Andes (0-1) on 07-Sep-2021
Then Atletico Los Andes drew with Sacachispas (0-0) on 07-Feb-2021
Acassuso won against Atletico Los Andes (1-0) on 26/06/21
Atletico Los Andes won against Canuelas FC (3-1) on 22/06/21
In the earliest match listed here Flandria lost to Atletico Los Andes (0-2) on 15/06/21

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Dep Armenio's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Dep. Armenio drew with A. de Quilmes (1-1) on 21/08/21
Justo Jose de Urq. lost to Dep. Armenio (0-2) on 16/08/21
Then Dep. Armenio drew with Sacachispas (0-0) on 08-Jul-2021
Acassuso drew with Dep. Armenio (0-0) on 31/07/21
Dep. Armenio won against Canuelas FC (2-1) on 24/07/21
Then Flandria won against Dep. Armenio (4-0) on 18/07/21
Dep. Merlo won against Dep. Armenio (1-0) on 07-Sep-2021
Dep. Armenio drew with San Miguel (1-1) on 07-Mar-2021
Once more Talleres Remedios won against Dep. Armenio (1-0) on 26/06/21
Dep. Armenio won against CD UAI Urquiza (2-1) on 22/06/21

LOS ANDES'S POSITION

No position listed

DEP ARMENIO'S POSITION

No position listed

LOS ANDES'S BEST PLAYERS

No notable players

DEP ARMENIO'S BEST PLAYERS

No notable players

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