LIBERTAD ASUNCION vs BRAGANTINO SP OVER 1.5 SUREBET PREDICTION

A detailed Libertad Asuncion vs Bragantino Sp OVER 1.5 sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this International Clubs, Copa Sudamericanamatch on 30-Sep-2021

Libertad Asuncion

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Bragantino Sp

DATE:

29 September 2021, 01:15:00

TIME:

1:15 AM

COUNTRY:

International Clubs

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LEAGUE

Copa Sudamericana

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

32%

AVR. ODDS:

2.29

VALUEBET?

No

DRAW:

25%

AVR. ODDS:

3.4

VALUEBET?

No

AWAY WIN:

43%

AVR. ODDS:

3.05

VALUEBET?

Yes

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

The odds for Over 1.5 outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 1.25490196078431 with an implied bookmaker probability of 79.69%. Considering that the surebet probability for the OVER 1.5 outcome for this Libertad Asuncion vs Bragantino Sp match is 74.04%, then this bet is not a value bet.


If you play this bet then you lose expected value by -5.65%The expected value for a OVER 1.5 prediction is denoted as EV(OVER 1.5) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing. 


By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 in this Libertad Asuncion vs Bragantino Sp match is 66.95 which is positive and therefore a good bet.Given the historical matches of these teams, it is almost clear that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. 

Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Libertad Asuncion vs Bragantino Sp. 


The over/under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals. All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible over 1.5 in this Libertad Asuncion vs Bragantino Sp match. 


Poisson prediction model shows there is a 68.35% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 74.60% chance for the same. Finally, 79.18% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in over 1.5. 

This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a over 1.5 in this game.

LIBERTAD ASUNCION vs BRAGANTINO SP OVER 1.5 SUREBET PREDICTION

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

52%

AVR. ODDS:

1.75

VALUEBET?

No

NO GOAL:

48%

AVR. ODDS:

1.97

VALUEBET?

No

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.25

VALUEBET?

No

UNDER 1.5:

26%

AVR. ODDS:

3.25

VALUEBET?

No

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

50%

AVR. ODDS:

1.92

VALUEBET?

No

UNDER 2.5:

50%

AVR. ODDS:

1.79

VALUEBET?

No

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

28%

AVR. ODDS:

3.37

VALUEBET?

No

UNDER 3.5:

72%

AVR. ODDS:

1.34

VALUEBET?

No

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

LIBERTAD ASUNCION VS BRAGANTINO SP LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Currently no head to head

LIBERTAD ASUNCION LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Libertad Asuncion's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Guairena won against Libertad (2-1) on 27/09/21
Then Bragantino won against Libertad (2-0) on 23/09/21
River Plate lost to Libertad (0-1) on 18/09/21
Not surprisingly Libertad lost to Olimpia (0-3) on 13/09/21
CA Juventud lost to Libertad (0-2) on 09-Feb-2021
Libertad won against Luqueno (5-0) on 30/08/21
Then Club Guarani drew with Libertad (2-2) on 24/08/21
Libertad won against Santos (1-0) on 20/08/21
Libertad drew with 12 de Octubre (3-3) on 16/08/21
In the earliest match listed here Santos won against Libertad (2-1) on 13/08/21

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Bragantino Sp's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Fluminense won against Bragantino (2-1) on 26/09/21
Bragantino won against Libertad (2-0) on 23/09/21
Then Bahia drew with Bragantino (1-1) on 19/09/21
Bragantino lost to Chapecoense (1-2) on 09-Dec-2021
Bragantino drew with Atletico Mineiro (1-1) on 30/08/21
Then America FC MG lost to Bragantino (0-2) on 24/08/21
Bragantino won against Rosario Central (1-0) on 18/08/21
Bragantino lost to Juventude RS (1-2) on 14/08/21
Once more Rosario Central lost to Bragantino (3-4) on 08-Nov-2021
Recife drew with Bragantino (0-0) on 08-Jul-2021

LIBERTAD ASUNCION'S POSITION

Currently no position listed

BRAGANTINO SP'S POSITION

Currently no position listed

LIBERTAD ASUNCION'S BEST PLAYERS

Sure bet prediction, tips and even fixed matches all depend on the form of players. Below are Libertad Asuncion's players that have the potential of shaping the predictions and results for this game:

Antonio Bareiro - The Paraguay National Antonio Bareiro has scored 2 goals in 5 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The 0.19's average goals per match is 0.4.

Daniel Bocanegra - The Colombia National Daniel Bocanegra has scored 2 goals in 6 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The 0.15's average goals per match is 0.33.

Sebastian Ferreira - The Paraguay National Sebastian Ferreira has scored 2 goals in 9 matches and shot 2 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The 0.33's average goals per match is 0.22.

Hector Villalba - The Paraguay National Hector Villalba has scored 2 goals in 10 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.2.

Hugo Martinez - The Paraguay National Hugo Martinez has scored 2 goals in 10 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.2.

Christian Javier Baez - The Paraguay National Christian Javier Baez has scored 1 goals in 3 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored 1 penalties. The defender's average goals per match is 0.33.

BRAGANTINO SP'S BEST PLAYERS

The following Bragantino Sp players are crucial in determining the results of this game:

Artur - The Brazil National Artur has scored 6 goals in 11 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 2 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.55.

Ytalo - The Brazil National Ytalo has scored 3 goals in 11 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.27.

Fabricio Bruno - The Brazil National Fabricio Bruno has scored 2 goals in 11 matches and shot 2 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The defender's average goals per match is 0.18.

Praxedes - The Brazil National Praxedes has scored 1 goals in 5 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.2.

Helinho - The Brazil National Helinho has scored 1 goals in 8 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.13.

Lucas Evangelista - The Brazil National Lucas Evangelista has scored 1 goals in 9 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.11.

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