KAZAKHSTAN vs UKRAINE AWAY WIN SUREBET PREDICTION

A detailed Kazakhstan vs Ukraine AWAY WIN sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this International, World Cup Qualification, UEFAmatch on 01-Sep-2021

Kazakhstan

Ukraine

DATE:

TIME:

5:00:00 PM

COUNTRY:

International

LEAGUE

World Cup Qualification, UEFA

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

17.02%

AVR. ODDS:

7.22

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

DRAW:

19.34%

AVR. ODDS:

4.11

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

61.31%

AVR. ODDS:

1.47

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

Ukraine is clearly too strong for Kazakhstan. An away win prediction for this game may not be far-fetched after all. It seems like you might want to avoid a prediction for Kazakhstan's win in this game. I also advise you not to always stick to the 1X2 predictions or bets. 



Popularity does not always make something the best. Explore other betting options such as the GG/NG predictions, Asian handicaps predictions and half time predictions, all of which carry better odds and less risk. All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible away win in this Kazakhstan vs Ukraine match. 



Poisson prediction model shows there is a 47.90% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 63.72% chance for the same. Finally, 72.30% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in away win. This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a away win in this game. 



The odds for Away Win outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 1.47 with an implied bookmaker probability of 68.03%. Considering that the surebet probability for the Away Win outcome for this Kazakhstan vs Ukraine match is 61.31%, then this bet is not a value bet.



If you play this bet then you lose expected value by -6.72%The expected value for a Away Win prediction is denoted as EV(Away Win) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing. 



By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a Away Win in this Kazakhstan vs Ukraine match is 51.43 which is positive and therefore a good bet.

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

53.85%

AVR. ODDS:

2.27

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

NO GOAL:

43.82%

AVR. ODDS:

1.56

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.34

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

17.88%

AVR. ODDS:

3.07

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

59.62%

AVR. ODDS:

2.05

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

38.05%

AVR. ODDS:

1.69

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

38.56%

AVR. ODDS:

3.6

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

59.11%

AVR. ODDS:

1.26

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

KAZAKHSTAN VS UKRAINE LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Ukraine and Kazakhstan have met 5 times recently since 17/07/16. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Ukraine vs Kazakhstan prediction.
31/03/21 - Ukraine [1 : 1] Kazakhstan
06-Oct-2009 - Ukraine [2 : 1] Kazakhstan
09-Oct-2008 - Kazakhstan [1 : 3] Ukraine
06-Apr-2005 - Ukraine [2 : 0] Kazakhstan
09-Aug-2004 - Kazakhstan [1 : 2] Ukraine


KAZAKHSTAN LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Kazakhstan's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
North Macedonia won against Kazakhstan (4-0) on 06-Apr-2021
Then Ukraine drew with Kazakhstan (1-1) on 31/03/21
Kazakhstan lost to France (0-2) on 28/03/21
Not surprisingly Kazakhstan lost to Lithuania (1-2) on 18/11/20
Albania won against Kazakhstan (3-1) on 15/11/20
Montenegro drew with Kazakhstan (0-0) on 11-Nov-2020
Then Belarus won against Kazakhstan (2-0) on 14/10/20
Kazakhstan drew with Albania (0-0) on 10-Nov-2020
Kazakhstan lost to Belarus (1-2) on 09-Jul-2020
In the earliest match listed here Lithuania lost to Kazakhstan (0-2) on 09-Apr-2020

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Ukraine's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Ukraine lost to England (0-4) on 07-Mar-2021
Sweden lost to Ukraine (1-2) on 29/06/21
Then Ukraine lost to Austria (0-1) on 21/06/21
Ukraine won against North Macedonia (2-1) on 17/06/21
Netherlands won against Ukraine (3-2) on 13/06/21
Then Ukraine won against Cyprus (4-0) on 06-Jul-2021
Ukraine won against Northern Ireland (1-0) on 06-Mar-2021
Ukraine drew with Bahrain (1-1) on 23/05/21
Once more Ukraine drew with Kazakhstan (1-1) on 31/03/21
Ukraine drew with Finland (1-1) on 28/03/21

KAZAKHSTAN'S POSITION

Ukraine is in position 2 with 3 points from 3 matches. They are below France who have 7 points and above Finland who have 2 points.
have scored 3 goals and conceded 3 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 0 goals this season.

UKRAINE'S POSITION

Kazakhstan is in position 5 with 1 points from 2 matches. They are below Bosnia & Herzegovina who have 1 points and above who have points.
Ukraine have scored 1 goals and conceded 3 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -2 goals this season.

KAZAKHSTAN'S BEST PLAYERS

No notable players

UKRAINE'S BEST PLAYERS

No notable players

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