Internacional vs Atletico Mineiro Prediction

This is a detailed Internacional vs Atletico Mineiro Prediction, match analysis, betting tips, H2H matches and sure bet tips.

Internacional

Atletico Mineiro

DATE:

TIME:

1:00:00 AM

COUNTRY:

Brazil

LEAGUE

Serie A

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

52.2%

AVR. ODDS:

2.65

VALUEBET?

Yes

DRAW:

25.2%

AVR. ODDS:

3.1

VALUEBET?

No

AWAY WIN:

22.5%

AVR. ODDS:

2.75

VALUEBET?

No

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

Historical data, H2H matches and results from similar and related past matches, Surebet GG prediction systems  have all agreed that both teams will be able to score in this match.


Both Internacional and Atletico Mineiro have good striking and have equally vulnerable defenses. I do not forsee a NG outcome for this game. The GG rediction for this game is both teams to score at leat one goal in this game.


We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a gg in this Internacional vs Atletico Mineiro match.

The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 68.25% probability for a GG outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 65.95% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 63.07% chance for a gg outcome.

This Internacional vs Atletico Mineiro match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.


To find if the Gg bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied GG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.82 with an implied bookmaker probability of 54.95%.


The calculated Surebet probability for the Gg outcome for this Internacional vs Atletico Mineiro match is 65.75%, meaning this bet is a value bet.  In case you place this bet, you  may gain expected value by 10.81%Expected Value, EV(GG), for a GG result for this Internacional vs Atletico Mineiro match is calculated as follows:


Let P(GG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;

P(GG) * 100* 1.82 where 1.82 are the decimal odds for this outcome.


Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a GG for Internacional vs Atletico Mineiro, EV(GG) to be 65.75% * 100 * 1.82, which translates to 85.42. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

47.9%

AVR. ODDS:

1.82

VALUEBET?

No

NO GOAL:

51.9%

AVR. ODDS:

1.89

VALUEBET?

No

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.37

VALUEBET?

No

UNDER 1.5:

28.5%

AVR. ODDS:

3.02

VALUEBET?

No

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

45.9%

AVR. ODDS:

2.09

VALUEBET?

No

UNDER 2.5:

53.9%

AVR. ODDS:

1.66

VALUEBET?

No

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

24.7%

AVR. ODDS:

3.67

VALUEBET?

No

UNDER 3.5:

75.2%

AVR. ODDS:

1.24

VALUEBET?

No

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

INTERNACIONAL VS ATLETICO MINEIRO LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Gardabaer and Hafnarfjordur have met 6 times recently since 29/09/18. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Gardabaer vs Hafnarfjordur prediction.
10-Jan-2020 - Gardabaer [1 : 1] Hafnarfjordur
09-Oct-2020 - Hafnarfjordur [3 : 0] Gardabaer
17/08/20 - Hafnarfjordur [1 : 2] Gardabaer
31/08/19 - Gardabaer [1 : 3] Hafnarfjordur
14/06/19 - Hafnarfjordur [2 : 2] Gardabaer
29/09/18 - Gardabaer [0 : 1] Hafnarfjordur

INTERNACIONAL LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Internacional's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Bahia lost to Internacional (0-1) on 14/06/21
Then Internacional lost to Vitoria (1-3) on 06-Nov-2021
Fortaleza won against Internacional (5-1) on 06-Jun-2021
Not surprisingly Vitoria lost to Internacional (0-1) on 06-Apr-2021
Internacional drew with Recife (2-2) on 31/05/21
Internacional drew with Always Ready (0-0) on 27/05/21
Then Gremio drew with Internacional (1-1) on 23/05/21
Olimpia lost to Internacional (0-1) on 21/05/21
Internacional lost to Gremio (1-2) on 16/05/21
In the earliest match listed here Tachira won against Internacional (2-1) on 05-Dec-2021

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Atletico Mineiro's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Atletico Mineiro won against Sao Paulo (1-0) on 13/06/21
Atletico Mineiro won against Clube Do Remo (2-1) on 06-Nov-2021
Then Recife lost to Atletico Mineiro (0-1) on 06-Jul-2021
Clube Do Remo lost to Atletico Mineiro (0-2) on 06-Mar-2021
Atletico Mineiro lost to Fortaleza (1-2) on 30/05/21
Then Atletico Mineiro won against La Guaira (4-0) on 26/05/21
Atletico Mineiro drew with America FC MG (0-0) on 22/05/21
Cerro Porteno lost to Atletico Mineiro (0-1) on 20/05/21
Once more America FC MG drew with Atletico Mineiro (0-0) on 16/05/21
America Cali lost to Atletico Mineiro (1-3) on 14/05/21

INTERNACIONAL'S POSITION

Internacional is in position 13 with 4 points from 3 matches. They are below Santos who have 4 points and above Juventude RS who have 2 points.
have scored 4 goals and conceded 7 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -3 goals this season.

ATLETICO MINEIRO'S POSITION

Atletico Mineiro is in position 5 with 6 points from 3 matches. They are below Flamengo who have 6 points and above Bragantino who have 5 points.
Atletico Mineiro have scored 3 goals and conceded 2 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 1 goals this season.

INTERNACIONAL'S BEST PLAYERS

Sure bet prediction, tips and even fixed matches all depend on the form of players. Below are Internacional's players that have the potential of shaping the predictions and results for this game:

Edenilson - The Brazil National Edenilson has scored 2 goals in 3 matches and shot 2 foul kicks. He has scored 2 penalties. The 0.19's average goals per match is 0.67.

Praxedes - The Brazil National Praxedes has scored 1 goals in 2 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The 0.15's average goals per match is 0.5.

Rodrigo Lindoso - The Brazil National Rodrigo Lindoso has scored 1 goals in 3 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The 0.33's average goals per match is 0.33.



ATLETICO MINEIRO'S BEST PLAYERS

The following Atletico Mineiro players are crucial in determining the results of this game:

Hulk - The Brazil National Hulk has scored 2 goals in 3 matches and shot 2 foul kicks. He has scored 1 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.67.

Jair - The Brazil National Jair has scored 1 goals in 2 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.5.



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