GUARANI SP vs CRUZEIRO HOME WIN SUREBET PREDICTION

A detailed Guarani Sp vs Cruzeiro HOME WIN sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Brazil,Serie B match on 30-Sep-2021

Guarani Sp

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Cruzeiro

DATE:

29 September 2021, 01:00:00

TIME:

1:00 AM

COUNTRY:

Brazil

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LEAGUE

Serie B

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

39%

AVR. ODDS:

2.42

VALUEBET?

No

DRAW:

24%

AVR. ODDS:

2.97

VALUEBET?

No

AWAY WIN:

36%

AVR. ODDS:

3.12

VALUEBET?

Yes

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible home win in this Guarani Sp vs Cruzeiro match. Poisson prediction model shows there is a 39.32% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 39.51% chance for the same. 


Finally, 39.20% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in home win. This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a home win in this game. The expected value for a Home Win prediction is denoted as EV(Home Win) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing. 


By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a Home Win in this Guarani Sp vs Cruzeiro match is 34.55 which is positive and therefore a good bet.


The odds for Home Win outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 2.42 with an implied bookmaker probability of 41.32%. Considering that the surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Guarani Sp vs Cruzeiro match is 39.34%, then this bet is not a value bet.


If you play this bet then you lose expected value by -1.98%Strong recent and past performances that Guarani Sp have demonstrated lead us to conclude that the prospects for a home win are quite high for this match. 


Expert football prediction sites have also supported this prediction by far and large. Cruzeiro might not be able to record either a win or a draw in this match. It is however prudent to compare diffrent predictions to find the ones with the highest probabilities. 


True profits come from predictions with over 90% chance of coming true. Some of our tips are 100% sure and guaranteed but can only be accessed by VIP members. You can also become a VIP member once you subscribe. Note also that you do not always have to use the win-draw-win market. 


It might be popular but not necessarily the best or least risky. See all predictions today to see tips from other betting markets.

GUARANI SP vs CRUZEIRO HOME WIN SUREBET PREDICTION

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

62%

AVR. ODDS:

2.13

VALUEBET?

Yes

NO GOAL:

37%

AVR. ODDS:

1.64

VALUEBET?

No

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.67

VALUEBET?

Yes

UNDER 1.5:

19%

AVR. ODDS:

2.64

VALUEBET?

No

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

60%

AVR. ODDS:

2.55

VALUEBET?

Yes

UNDER 2.5:

39%

AVR. ODDS:

1.45

VALUEBET?

No

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

39%

AVR. ODDS:

4.47

VALUEBET?

Yes

UNDER 3.5:

60%

AVR. ODDS:

1.08

VALUEBET?

No

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

GUARANI SP VS CRUZEIRO LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Cruzeiro and Guarani have met 6 times recently since 17/10/04. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Cruzeiro vs Guarani prediction.
07-Jan-2021 - Cruzeiro [3 : 3] Guarani
11-Oct-2020 - Cruzeiro [3 : 3] Guarani
08-Dec-2020 - Guarani [2 : 3] Cruzeiro
16/09/10 - Cruzeiro [4 : 2] Guarani
24/05/10 - Guarani [2 : 2] Cruzeiro
17/10/04 - Guarani [2 : 0] Cruzeiro

GUARANI SP LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Guarani Sp's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Coritiba won against Guarani (1-0) on 26/09/21
Then Guarani won against Clube do Remo (2-0) on 21/09/21
Ponte Preta drew with Guarani (0-0) on 18/09/21
Not surprisingly Guarani won against Alagoano (1-0) on 09-Jul-2021
Nautico drew with Guarani (1-1) on 09-Apr-2021
Guarani won against Operario Ferroviario (3-0) on 25/08/21
Then Vitoria won against Guarani (1-0) on 21/08/21
Guarani drew with Botafogo (1-1) on 19/08/21
Goias won against Guarani (2-1) on 14/08/21
In the earliest match listed here Avai lost to Guarani (0-1) on 08-Nov-2021

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Cruzeiro's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Cruzeiro lost to Alagoano (1-2) on 26/09/21
Vasco da Gama drew with Cruzeiro (1-1) on 19/09/21
Then Cruzeiro drew with Operario Ferroviario (1-1) on 17/09/21
Cruzeiro won against Ponte Preta (1-0) on 09-Nov-2021
Goias drew with Cruzeiro (1-1) on 09-Aug-2021
Then Brasil AL drew with Cruzeiro (0-0) on 29/08/21
Cruzeiro won against Confianca (1-0) on 21/08/21
Nautico lost to Cruzeiro (0-1) on 18/08/21
Once more Cruzeiro drew with Sampaio Correa (1-1) on 14/08/21
Cruzeiro drew with Vitoria (2-2) on 08-Dec-2021

GUARANI SP'S POSITION

Guarani is in position 6 with 41 points from 26 matches. They are below Avai who have 43 points and above Vasco da Gama who have 40 points.
have scored 36 goals and conceded 28 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 8 goals this season.

CRUZEIRO'S POSITION

Cruzeiro is in position 14 with 31 points from 26 matches. They are below Ponte Preta who have 32 points and above Vila Nova GO who have 30 points.
Cruzeiro have scored 30 goals and conceded 34 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -4 goals this season.

GUARANI SP'S BEST PLAYERS

Players not available

CRUZEIRO'S BEST PLAYERS

Players not available

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