Gomel vs Isloch Prediction

This is a detailed Gomel vs Isloch Prediction, match analysis, betting tips, H2H matches and sure bet tips.

Gomel

Isloch

DATE:

TIME:

4:45:00 PM

COUNTRY:

Belarus

LEAGUE

Vysshaya League

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

47.0%

AVR. ODDS:

1.56

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

DRAW:

24.7%

AVR. ODDS:

3.88

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

28.2%

AVR. ODDS:

5.97

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a home win in this Gomel vs Isloch match.


The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 46.18% probability for a Home Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 47.34% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 48.51% chance for a home win outcome.


This Gomel vs Isloch match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.


To find if the Home Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Home Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.56 with an implied bookmaker probability of 64.10%.


The calculated Surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Gomel vs Isloch match is 47.34%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -16.76%. 


Expected Value, EV(Home Win), for a Home Win result for this Gomel vs Isloch match is calculated as follows:


Let P(Home Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;

P(Home Win) * 100* 1.56 where 1.56 are the decimal odds for this outcome.


Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Home Win for Gomel vs Isloch, EV(Home Win) to be 47.34% * 100 * 1.56, which translates to 21.19. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.


After analysing all the data and compiling and comparing expert opinions on this Gomel vs Isloch match, we are well convinced that Gomel is in better form, better motivated and has proven in the past their ability to dominate this game against Isloch. The surebet prediction for this game is therefore a home win.


Note that there might be even better tips you can bet on today if you can be bold enough to subscribe for VIP tips. Besides, you might want to check out the GG/NG tips given their ability to increase betting profits for many punters.


Also see: Deportes Quindio vs Union Magdalena Sm Prediction

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

55.5%

AVR. ODDS:

2.08

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

44.3%

AVR. ODDS:

1.67

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.31

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

23.1%

AVR. ODDS:

3.15

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

52.9%

AVR. ODDS:

2

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

46.9%

AVR. ODDS:

1.73

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

30.6%

AVR. ODDS:

3.51

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

69.2%

AVR. ODDS:

1.29

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

GOMEL VS ISLOCH LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Gomel and Isloch have met 6 times recently since 18/08/17. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Gomel vs Isloch prediction.
31/08/19 - Gomel [2 : 2] Isloch
27/04/19 - Isloch [3 : 1] Gomel
09-Jan-2018 - Isloch [0 : 1] Gomel
08-Dec-2018 - Gomel [0 : 2] Isloch
27/04/18 - Gomel [1 : 2] Isloch
18/08/17 - Gomel [0 : 1] Isloch

GOMEL LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Gomel's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
BGU Minsk won against Gomel (3-2) on 06-Nov-2021
Then Gomel won against Minsk (5-0) on 30/05/21
Slavia Mozyr lost to Gomel (2-4) on 21/05/21
Not surprisingly Brest won against Gomel (1-0) on 16/05/21
Gomel won against Slutsk (4-1) on 05-Jul-2021
Vitebsk drew with Gomel (0-0) on 30/04/21
Then Gomel drew with Belaz Zhodino (1-1) on 25/04/21
Dinamo Minsk lost to Gomel (1-2) on 18/04/21
Gomel won against Grodno (2-0) on 04-Nov-2021
In the earliest match listed here Bate Borisov won against Gomel (3-2) on 04-Mar-2021

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Isloch's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Isloch drew with Brest (1-1) on 13/06/21
Slutsk won against Isloch (2-1) on 30/05/21
Then Bate Borisov won against Isloch (2-1) on 23/05/21
Isloch lost to Vitebsk (0-1) on 19/05/21
Belaz Zhodino drew with Isloch (3-3) on 15/05/21
Then Isloch lost to Dinamo Minsk (1-3) on 05-Sep-2021
Isloch won against Soligorsk (2-0) on 05-May-2021
Grodno lost to Isloch (1-2) on 05-Jan-2021
Once more Isloch lost to Bate Borisov (1-4) on 25/04/21
Soligorsk won against Isloch (1-0) on 21/04/21

GOMEL'S POSITION

Gomel is in position 5 with 21 points from 12 matches. They are below Dinamo Minsk who have 23 points and above Vitebsk who have 18 points.
have scored 25 goals and conceded 13 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 12 goals this season.

ISLOCH'S POSITION

Isloch is in position 11 with 14 points from 12 matches. They are below Belaz Zhodino who have 15 points and above Slutsk who have 11 points.
Isloch have scored 17 goals and conceded 21 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -4 goals this season.

GOMEL'S BEST PLAYERS

No notable players

ISLOCH'S BEST PLAYERS

No notable players

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