GANGWON vs POHANG STEELERS SURE PREDICTION

A detailed Gangwon vs Pohang Steelers sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this South Korea, K-League Classic match on 29-Sep-2021

Gangwon

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Pohang Steelers

DATE:

29 September 2021, 13:00:00

TIME:

1:00 PM

COUNTRY:

South Korea

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LEAGUE

K-League Classic

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

44%

AVR. ODDS:

2.75

VALUEBET?

Yes

DRAW:

20%

AVR. ODDS:

3.2

VALUEBET?

No

AWAY WIN:

34%

AVR. ODDS:

2.6

VALUEBET?

No

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Gangwon vs Pohang Steelers. 


The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this Gangwon vs Pohang Steelers match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 89.61% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome. 


The ELO Ratings model came through with a 90.18% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 90.59% chance for a over 1.5 outcome. 


This Gangwon vs Pohang Steelers match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. 


The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.37908496732026 with an implied bookmaker probability of 72.51%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Gangwon vs Pohang Steelers match is 90.13%, meaning this bet is a value bet. 


In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 17.62%Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Gangwon vs Pohang Steelers match is calculated as follows: Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. 


Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.37908496732026 where 1.37908496732026 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Gangwon vs Pohang Steelers, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 90.13% * 100 * 1.37, which translates to 114.42. 


This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.

GANGWON vs POHANG STEELERS SURE PREDICTION

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

74%

AVR. ODDS:

1.85

VALUEBET?

Yes

NO GOAL:

24%

AVR. ODDS:

1.85

VALUEBET?

No

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.38

VALUEBET?

Yes

UNDER 1.5:

9%

AVR. ODDS:

3

VALUEBET?

No

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

76%

AVR. ODDS:

2.11

VALUEBET?

Yes

UNDER 2.5:

23%

AVR. ODDS:

1.65

VALUEBET?

No

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

57%

AVR. ODDS:

3.7

VALUEBET?

Yes

UNDER 3.5:

42%

AVR. ODDS:

1.23

VALUEBET?

No

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

GANGWON VS POHANG STEELERS LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Pohang Steelers and Gangwon have met 6 times recently since 31/07/19. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Pohang Steelers vs Gangwon prediction.
05-Aug-2021 - Pohang Steelers [1 : 1] Gangwon
03-Jun-2021 - Gangwon [1 : 3] Pohang Steelers
13/09/20 - Gangwon [0 : 3] Pohang Steelers
20/06/20 - Pohang Steelers [2 : 0] Gangwon
11-Mar-2019 - Pohang Steelers [2 : 2] Gangwon
31/07/19 - Gangwon [2 : 1] Pohang Steelers

GANGWON LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Gangwon's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Seongnam won against Gangwon (2-0) on 26/09/21
Then Suwon Bluewings won against Gangwon (3-2) on 21/09/21
Suwon won against Gangwon (1-0) on 09-Dec-2021
Not surprisingly Gangwon won against Daegu (2-0) on 14/08/21
Gangwon won against Suwon Bluewings (2-0) on 08-Nov-2021
Ulsan Hyundai won against Gangwon (2-1) on 08-Jul-2021
Then Gangwon won against Suwon Bluewings (3-0) on 08-Jan-2021
Gangwon drew with Jeju Utd (2-2) on 25/07/21
Gwangju won against Gangwon (3-1) on 21/07/21
In the earliest match listed here Seongnam lost to Gangwon (1-2) on 26/06/21

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Pohang Steelers's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Pohang Steelers lost to Jeju Utd (2-4) on 25/09/21
Pohang Steelers lost to Ulsan Hyundai (1-2) on 21/09/21
Then Cerezo lost to Pohang Steelers (0-1) on 15/09/21
Pohang Steelers lost to Daegu (1-2) on 09-Oct-2021
Jeonbuk lost to Pohang Steelers (0-1) on 09-Jan-2021
Then Pohang Steelers drew with Suwon Bluewings (0-0) on 28/08/21
Jeonbuk won against Pohang Steelers (2-0) on 25/08/21
Seoul drew with Pohang Steelers (2-2) on 22/08/21
Once more Pohang Steelers won against Suwon (3-1) on 15/08/21
Jeonnam won against Pohang Steelers (1-0) on 08-Nov-2021

GANGWON'S POSITION

Gangwon is in position 12 with 27 points from 27 matches. They are below Gwangju who have 30 points and above who have points.
have scored 28 goals and conceded 35 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -7 goals this season.

POHANG STEELERS'S POSITION

Pohang Steelers is in position 6 with 39 points from 30 matches. They are below Suwon Bluewings who have 39 points and above Jeju Utd who have 38 points.
Pohang Steelers have scored 32 goals and conceded 36 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -4 goals this season.

GANGWON'S BEST PLAYERS

Players not available

POHANG STEELERS'S BEST PLAYERS

Players not available

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