Fbc Melgar vs Universitario Prediction

Fbc Melgar vs Universitario Predictionwith match analysis, statistics and betting tips. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Fbc Melgar vs Universitario are playing on Peru

Fbc Melgar

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Universitario

DATE:

29 May 2022, 23:30:00

TIME:

11:30 PM

COUNTRY:

Peru

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LEAGUE

Primera Division, Apertura

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

49%

AVR. ODDS:

1.61

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

DRAW:

25%

AVR. ODDS:

4.07

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

26%

AVR. ODDS:

4.96

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

HOME WIN TIPS DRAW TIPS AWAY WIN TIPS GG TIPS Historical data, H2H matches and results from similar and related past matches, Surebet GG prediction systems have all agreed that both teams will be able to score in this match. Both Fbc Melgar and Universitario have good striking and have equally vulnerable defenses. I do not forsee a NG outcome for this game. The GG rediction for this game is both teams to score at leat one goal in this game. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a gg in this Fbc Melgar vs Universitario match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 57.66% probability for a GG outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 60.39% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 62.29% chance for a gg outcome. This Fbc Melgar vs Universitario match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Gg bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied GG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.88 with an implied bookmaker probability of 53.19%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Gg outcome for this Fbc Melgar vs Universitario match is 60.11%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 6.92%. Expected Value, EV(GG), for a GG result for this Fbc Melgar vs Universitario match is calculated as follows: Let P(GG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(GG) * 100* 1.88 where 1.88 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a GG for Fbc Melgar vs Universitario, EV(GG) to be 60.11% * 100 * 1.88, which translates to 73.12. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically. NG TIPS OVER 1.5 TIPS Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Fbc Melgar vs Universitario. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this Fbc Melgar vs Universitario match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 78.15% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 80.06% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 81.74% chance for a over 1.5 outcome. This Fbc Melgar vs Universitario match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.37333333333333 with an implied bookmaker probability of 72.82%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Fbc Melgar vs Universitario match is 79.98%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 7.17%. Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Fbc Melgar vs Universitario match is calculated as follows: Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.37333333333333 where 1.37333333333333 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Fbc Melgar vs Universitario, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 79.98% * 100 * 1.37, which translates to 89.82. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
Fbc Melgar vs Universitario Prediction

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

53%

AVR. ODDS:

1.77

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

47%

AVR. ODDS:

1.95

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.15

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

25%

AVR. ODDS:

3.13

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

51%

AVR. ODDS:

1.72

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

49%

AVR. ODDS:

1.76

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

29%

AVR. ODDS:

3.02

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

71%

AVR. ODDS:

1.31

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

FBC MELGAR VS UNIVERSITARIO PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

0

FBC MELGAR'S LAST 10 MATCHES

ESTUDIANTES RIO CUARTO LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Estudiantes Rio Cuarto's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Gimnasia Mendoza won against Rio Cuarto (2-0) on 22/05/22
Then Rio Cuarto won against San Telmo (2-1) on 15/05/22
Chaco For Ever won against Rio Cuarto (3-0) on 05-Aug-2022
Not surprisingly Rio Cuarto won against San Martin (3-1) on 30/04/22
Atletico Atlanta drew with Rio Cuarto (0-0) on 23/04/22
Rio Cuarto won against CA Estudiantes (2-1) on 18/04/22
Then Santamarina Tand. drew with Rio Cuarto (1-1) on 04-Dec-2022
Rio Cuarto drew with Atletico Rafaela (0-0) on 04-Feb-2022
Guillermo Brown lost to Rio Cuarto (0-1) on 27/03/22
In the earliest match listed here Rio Cuarto won against Chacarita Jrs (2-0) on 23/03/22

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

ESTUDIANTES RIO CUARTO LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Estudiantes Rio Cuarto's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
All Boys drew with Deportivo Madryn (1-1) on 21/05/22
Then Dep. Moron drew with All Boys (0-0) on 17/05/22
All Boys won against Temperley (2-0) on 05-Oct-2022
Not surprisingly Flandria lost to All Boys (0-1) on 30/04/22
All Boys won against Gimnasia Jujuy (2-0) on 24/04/22
Almirante Brown drew with All Boys (2-2) on 17/04/22
Then All Boys drew with Villa Dalmine (2-2) on 04-Sep-2022
Belgrano won against All Boys (2-1) on 04-Feb-2022
All Boys drew with Dep. Riestra (1-1) on 27/03/22
In the earliest match listed here Guemes lost to All Boys (0-2) on 24/03/22

FBC MELGAR POSITION

ESTUDIANTES RIO CUARTO'S POSITION
Rio Cuarto is in position 12 with 24 points from 16 matches. They are below Instituto Atletico who have 24 points and above Guillermo Brown who have 23 points.
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto have scored 15 goals and conceded 16 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -1 goals this season.

UNIVERSITARIO POSITION

ALL BOYS'S POSITION
All Boys is in position 6 with 26 points from 15 matches. They are below Chacarita Jrs who have 26 points and above Gimnasia Mendoza who have 25 points.
All Boys have scored 20 goals and conceded 12 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 8 goals this season.

FBC MELGAR BEST PLAYERS

No player analysis.

UNIVERSITARIO BEST PLAYERS

No player analysis.

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