Deportes Quindio vs Union Magdalena Sm Prediction

This is a detailed Deportes Quindio vs Union Magdalena Sm Prediction, match analysis, betting tips, H2H matches and sure bet tips.

Deportes Quindio

Union Magdalena Sm

DATE:

TIME:

11:00:00 PM

COUNTRY:

Colombia

LEAGUE

Primera B, Promotion, Gr B

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

37.1%

AVR. ODDS:

1.56

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

DRAW:

26.7%

AVR. ODDS:

3.88

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

36.0%

AVR. ODDS:

5.97

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

Strong recent and past performances that Deportes Quindio have demonstrated lead us to conclude that the prospects for a home win are quite high for this match. Expert football prediction sites have also supported this prediction by far and large. Union Magdalena Sm might not be able to record either a win or a draw in this match.


It is however prudent to compare diffrent predictions to find the ones with the highest probabilities. True profits come from predictions with over 90% chance of coming true. Some of our tips are 100% sure and guaranteed but can only be accessed by VIP members. You can also become a VIP member once you subscribe. Note also that you do not always have to use the win-draw-win market. It might be popular but not necessarily the best or least risky. See all predictions today to see tips from other betting markets.


All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible home win in this Deportes Quindio vs Union Magdalena Sm match.


Poisson prediction model shows there is a 41.94% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 46.97% chance for the same. Finally, 51.74% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in home win.


This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a home win in this game.


The odds for Home Win outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 1.68 with an implied bookmaker probability of 59.52%.


Considering that the surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Deportes Quindio vs Union Magdalena Sm match is 46.89%, then this bet is not a value bet.If you play this bet then you lose expected value by -12.64%.


The expected value for a Home Win prediction is denoted as EV(Home Win) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing.


By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a Home Win in this Deportes Quindio vs Union Magdalena Sm match is 25.65 which is positive and therefore a good bet.


Also see Sydney Fc vs Adelaide United Prediction

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

44.4%

AVR. ODDS:

2.08

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

NO GOAL:

55.4%

AVR. ODDS:

1.67

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.31

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

32.6%

AVR. ODDS:

3.15

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

41.3%

AVR. ODDS:

2

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

58.5%

AVR. ODDS:

1.73

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

21.2%

AVR. ODDS:

3.51

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

78.6%

AVR. ODDS:

1.29

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

DEPORTES QUINDIO VS UNION MAGDALENA SM LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Magdalena and Quindio have met 6 times recently since 11-Dec-2018. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Magdalena vs Quindio prediction.
21/04/21 - Magdalena [1 : 1] Quindio
02-Jan-2021 - Quindio [1 : 0] Magdalena
15/12/20 - Quindio [2 : 2] Magdalena
26/11/20 - Magdalena [0 : 1] Quindio
14/02/20 - Magdalena [1 : 1] Quindio
11-Dec-2018 - Magdalena [2 : 1] Quindio

DEPORTES QUINDIO LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Deportes Quindio's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Atletico lost to Quindio (0-1) on 15/06/21
Then Valledupar lost to Quindio (0-1) on 05-Jun-2021
Quindio won against Atletico (1-0) on 30/04/21
Not surprisingly Quindio won against Valledupar (2-1) on 27/04/21
Magdalena drew with Quindio (1-1) on 21/04/21
Barranquilla drew with Quindio (0-0) on 04-Sep-2021
Then Quindio won against Atletico (1-0) on 04-Mar-2021
Cortulua drew with Quindio (0-0) on 27/03/21
Quindio drew with Huila (0-0) on 22/03/21
In the earliest match listed here Quindio lost to Barranquilla (0-1) on 18/03/21

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Union Magdalena Sm's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Magdalena won against Atletico (5-1) on 05-Jul-2021
Valledupar drew with Magdalena (1-1) on 05-Feb-2021
Then Magdalena lost to Valledupar (0-1) on 30/04/21
Atletico drew with Magdalena (1-1) on 25/04/21
Magdalena drew with Quindio (1-1) on 21/04/21
Then Valledupar lost to Magdalena (1-2) on 04-Sep-2021
Magdalena won against Barranquilla (4-1) on 04-Apr-2021
Atletico lost to Magdalena (0-2) on 29/03/21
Once more Magdalena drew with Boca Juniors (1-1) on 26/03/21
Magdalena won against Cortulua (1-0) on 23/03/21

DEPORTES QUINDIO'S POSITION

No position listed

UNION MAGDALENA SM'S POSITION

No position listed

DEPORTES QUINDIO'S BEST PLAYERS

No notable players

UNION MAGDALENA SM'S BEST PLAYERS

No notable players

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