Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction

Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado Predictionwith match analysis, statistics and betting tips. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado are playing on �Uruguay

Defensor Sporting

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Deportivo Maldonado

DATE:

29 May 2022, 23:30:00

TIME:

11:30 PM

COUNTRY:

Uruguay

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LEAGUE

Primera Division, Apertura

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

39%

AVR. ODDS:

2.02

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

DRAW:

24%

AVR. ODDS:

3.36

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

36%

AVR. ODDS:

3.61

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

HOME WIN TIPS DRAW TIPS AWAY WIN TIPS GG TIPS NG TIPS OVER 1.5 TIPS Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 66.72% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 77.30% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 84.28% chance for a over 1.5 outcome. This Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.16 with an implied bookmaker probability of 86.21%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado match is 76.10%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -10.11%. Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado match is calculated as follows: Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.16 where 1.16 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 76.10% * 100 * 1.16, which translates to 64.37. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

60%

AVR. ODDS:

1.88

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

NO GOAL:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.82

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.37

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

20%

AVR. ODDS:

3.75

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

58%

AVR. ODDS:

2.06

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

42%

AVR. ODDS:

1.76

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

35%

AVR. ODDS:

3.61

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

64%

AVR. ODDS:

1.31

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

DEFENSOR SPORTING VS DEPORTIVO MALDONADO PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

CARLOS MANNUCCI VS ATLETICO GRAU LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Mannucci and Atletico Grau have met 6 times recently since 07-Jan-2018. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Mannucci vs Atletico Grau prediction.
07-Apr-2021 - Mannucci [5 : 3] Atletico Grau
14/09/20 - Mannucci [0 : 2] Atletico Grau
11-Apr-2018 - Mannucci [5 : 2] Atletico Grau
11-Jan-2018 - Atletico Grau [1 : 1] Mannucci
14/10/18 - Atletico Grau [2 : 0] Mannucci
07-Jan-2018 - Mannucci [4 : 1] Atletico Grau

DEFENSOR SPORTING'S LAST 10 MATCHES

CARLOS MANNUCCI LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Carlos Mannucci's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Sport Boys lost to Mannucci (1-4) on 22/05/22
Then Mannucci drew with Universitario (0-0) on 15/05/22
Ayacucho drew with Mannucci (2-2) on 05-Aug-2022
Not surprisingly Mannucci drew with Asociacion Deportiva Tarma (1-1) on 05-Jan-2022
Binacio won against Mannucci (2-1) on 24/04/22
Mannucci lost to Cienciano (0-2) on 16/04/22
Then Deportivo Municipal won against Mannucci (1-0) on 04-Sep-2022
Mannucci drew with U. Cesar Vallejo (0-0) on 04-Apr-2022
San Martin lost to Mannucci (1-3) on 22/03/22
In the earliest match listed here Mannucci won against Carlos Stein (1-0) on 03-Dec-2022

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

CARLOS MANNUCCI LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Carlos Mannucci's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Atletico Grau lost to Alianza Atletico (1-2) on 22/05/22
Then Carlos Stein drew with Atletico Grau (1-1) on 16/05/22
Sport Boys won against Atletico Grau (2-1) on 05-Jul-2022
Not surprisingly Atletico Grau lost to Universitario (0-1) on 05-Jan-2022
Ayacucho lost to Atletico Grau (1-2) on 22/04/22
Atletico Grau won against Asociacion Deportiva Tarma (4-1) on 16/04/22
Then Binacio drew with Atletico Grau (1-1) on 04-Sep-2022
Atletico Grau lost to Cienciano (1-2) on 04-Mar-2022
Deportivo Municipal drew with Atletico Grau (1-1) on 20/03/22
In the earliest match listed here Atletico Grau drew with U. Cesar Vallejo (1-1) on 13/03/22

DEFENSOR SPORTING POSITION

CARLOS MANNUCCI'S POSITION
Mannucci is in position 15 with 13 points from 14 matches. They are below Cajamarca who have 14 points and above Carlos Stein who have 12 points.
Carlos Mannucci have scored 15 goals and conceded 18 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -3 goals this season.

DEPORTIVO MALDONADO POSITION

ATLETICO GRAU'S POSITION
Atletico Grau is in position 10 with 18 points from 15 matches. They are below Deportivo Municipal who have 20 points and above U. Cesar Vallejo who have 18 points.
Atletico Grau have scored 20 goals and conceded 19 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 1 goals this season.

DEFENSOR SPORTING BEST PLAYERS

CARLOS MANNUCCI'S BEST PLAYERS
Sure bet prediction, tips and even fixed matches all depend on the form of players. Below are Carlos Mannucci's players that have the potential of shaping the predictions and results for this game:

Javier Eduardo Nunez - The Peru National Javier Eduardo Nunez has scored 6 goals in 26 games and shot 2 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.23.

Relly Henry Fernandez Manzanares - The Peru National Relly Henry Fernandez Manzanares has scored 6 goals in 26 games and shot 0 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.23.

Jose Daniel Rivera Martinez - The Peru National Jose Daniel Rivera Martinez has scored 6 goals in 26 games and shot 2 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.23.

Yuriel Dario Celi Guerrero - The Peru National Yuriel Dario Celi Guerrero has scored 6 goals in 28 games and shot 2 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.21.

Diego Chavez - The Mexico National Diego Chavez has scored 4 goals in 28 games and shot 2 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.14.

John Narvaez - The Ecuador National John Narvaez has scored 2 goals in 26 games and shot 2 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The defender's average goals per match is 0.08.

DEPORTIVO MALDONADO BEST PLAYERS

ATLETICO GRAU'S BEST PLAYERS
Sure bet prediction, tips and even fixed matches all depend on the form of players. Below are Atletico Grau's players that have the potential of shaping the predictions and results for this game:

Rodrigo Javier Salinas - The Argentina National Rodrigo Javier Salinas has scored 12 goals in 24 games and shot 8 foul kicks. He has scored 4 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.5.

Ray Anderson Sandoval Baylon - The Peru National Ray Anderson Sandoval Baylon has scored 10 goals in 26 games and shot 6 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.38.

Joel Brandon Lopez Pisano - The Argentina National Joel Brandon Lopez Pisano has scored 8 goals in 26 games and shot 0 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.31.

Elsar Rodas Mendoza - The Peru National Elsar Rodas Mendoza has scored 2 goals in 22 games and shot 2 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The defender's average goals per match is 0.09.

Mario Javier Ceballos Chau - The Peru National Mario Javier Ceballos Chau has scored 2 goals in 22 games and shot 2 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.09.

Arly Anderson Benites Torres - The Peru National Arly Anderson Benites Torres has scored 2 goals in 28 games and shot 0 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.07.

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