Columbus Crew vs Chicago Fire Prediction

This is a detailed Columbus Crew vs Chicago Fire Prediction, match analysis, betting tips, H2H matches and sure bet tips.

Columbus Crew

Chicago Fire

DATE:

TIME:

2:30:00 AM

COUNTRY:

USA

LEAGUE

Major League Soccer

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

55.3%

AVR. ODDS:

1.56

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

DRAW:

22.3%

AVR. ODDS:

3.88

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

22.0%

AVR. ODDS:

5.97

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

Surebet's experience has made us see ahead and recognize matches which will have quite some goals scored. This match between Columbus Crew and Chicago Fire is one of those. The odds for over 2.5 are also relatively good at 2 Take advantage.


All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible over 2.5 in this Columbus Crew vs Chicago Fire match.


Poisson prediction model shows there is a 65.06% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 72.41% chance for the same. Finally, 76.98% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in over 2.5.

This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a over 2.5 in this game.


The odds for Over 2.5 outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 2 with an implied bookmaker probability of 50.00%.

Considering that the surebet probability for the Over 2.5 outcome for this Columbus Crew vs Chicago Fire match is 71.48%, then this bet is a value bet. If you play this bet then you  you gain expected value by 21.48%.


The expected value for a OVER 2.5 prediction is denoted as EV(OVER 2.5) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing.


By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a OVER 2.5 in this Columbus Crew vs Chicago Fire match is 114.44 which is positive and therefore a good bet.

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

55.9%

AVR. ODDS:

2.08

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

43.7%

AVR. ODDS:

1.67

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.31

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

20.2%

AVR. ODDS:

3.15

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

56.8%

AVR. ODDS:

2

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

42.8%

AVR. ODDS:

1.73

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

34.4%

AVR. ODDS:

3.51

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

65.2%

AVR. ODDS:

1.29

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

COLUMBUS CREW VS CHICAGO FIRE LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Chicago and Columbus have met 6 times recently since 24/08/18. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Chicago vs Columbus prediction.
09-Dec-2020 - Chicago [2 : 2] Columbus
21/08/20 - Columbus [3 : 0] Chicago
09-Jan-2019 - Columbus [1 : 1] Chicago
18/07/19 - Chicago [2 : 2] Columbus
17/02/19 - Columbus [1 : 1] Chicago
24/08/18 - Chicago [1 : 1] Columbus

COLUMBUS CREW LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Columbus Crew's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Columbus won against Toronto (2-1) on 29/05/21
Then New York City lost to Columbus (1-2) on 23/05/21
New England won against Columbus (1-0) on 17/05/21
Not surprisingly Toronto won against Columbus (2-0) on 13/05/21
Columbus won against DC United (3-1) on 05-Aug-2021
Monterrey won against Columbus (3-0) on 05-Jun-2021
Then Montreal drew with Columbus (0-0) on 05-Jan-2021
Columbus drew with Monterrey (2-2) on 29/04/21
Columbus drew with Philadelphia (0-0) on 19/04/21
In the earliest match listed here Columbus won against Esteli (1-0) on 16/04/21

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Chicago Fire's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Chicago lost to Montreal (0-1) on 29/05/21
Chicago won against Miami (1-0) on 23/05/21
Then DC United won against Chicago (1-0) on 14/05/21
Chicago lost to Philadelphia (0-2) on 05-Aug-2021
New York won against Chicago (2-0) on 05-Jan-2021
Then Atlanta won against Chicago (3-1) on 25/04/21
Chicago drew with New England (2-2) on 18/04/21
Chicago lost to New York City (3-4) on 11-Aug-2020
Once more Minnesota drew with Chicago (2-2) on 11-May-2020
Nashville drew with Chicago (1-1) on 11-Jan-2020

COLUMBUS CREW'S POSITION

7 is in position 6 with points from 3 matches. They are below 8 who have points and above 7 who have points.
have scored 6 goals and conceded 1 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 11 goals this season.

CHICAGO FIRE'S POSITION

7 is in position 13 with points from 1 matches. They are below 7 who have points and above 6 who have points.
Chicago Fire have scored 11 goals and conceded -7 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 4 goals this season.

COLUMBUS CREW'S BEST PLAYERS

Sure bet prediction, tips and even fixed matches all depend on the form of players. Below are Columbus Crew's players that have the potential of shaping the predictions and results for this game:

Lucas Zelarrayan - The Argentina National Lucas Zelarrayan has scored 3 goals in 6 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.5.

Gyasi Zardes - The USA National Gyasi Zardes has scored 1 goals in 6 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.17.

Luis Diaz - The Costa Rica National Luis Diaz has scored 1 goals in 7 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.14.



CHICAGO FIRE'S BEST PLAYERS

The following Chicago Fire players are crucial in determining the results of this game:

Luka Stojanovic - The Serbia National Luka Stojanovic has scored 3 goals in 6 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.5.

Robert Beric - The Slovenia National Robert Beric has scored 1 goals in 7 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.14.

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