Cd Villa Espanola vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction

A detailed Cd Villa Espanola vs Deportivo Maldonado GG-NG sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Uruguay, Arpeturamatch on 10-Jul-2021

Cd Villa Espanola

Deportivo Maldonado

DATE:

TIME:

6:45:00 PM

COUNTRY:

Uruguay

LEAGUE

Primera Division, Apertura

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

29.0%

AVR. ODDS:

2.82

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

DRAW:

28.5%

AVR. ODDS:

3.56

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

42.4%

AVR. ODDS:

2.3

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible ng in this Cd Villa Espanola vs Deportivo Maldonado match. Poisson prediction model shows there is a 60.96% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 60.22% chance for the same. Finally, 69.38% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in ng. This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a ng in this game. The odds for Ng outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 1.96 with an implied bookmaker probability of 51.02%. Considering that the surebet probability for the Ng outcome for this Cd Villa Espanola vs Deportivo Maldonado match is 63.52%, then this bet is a value bet. If you play this bet then you you gain expected value by 12.50%The expected value for a NG prediction is denoted as EV(NG) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing. By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a NG in this Cd Villa Espanola vs Deportivo Maldonado match is 88.01 which is positive and therefore a good bet.Cd Villa Espanola and Deportivo Maldonado might find it hard to score each other in this game. It may be much wiser if you steered clear of a goal-goal prediction and stuck with no-goal (NG prediction). This is informed by the fact that both Cd Villa Espanola and Deportivo Maldonado have good defenses and at least one of them have demonstrated in the recent past weak defense that may see them goal-less by the end of this duel.

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

36.4%

AVR. ODDS:

1.75

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

63.5%

AVR. ODDS:

1.96

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.24

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

40.0%

AVR. ODDS:

3.29

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

32.8%

AVR. ODDS:

1.9

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

67.1%

AVR. ODDS:

1.81

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

14.6%

AVR. ODDS:

3.33

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

85.3%

AVR. ODDS:

1.35

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

CD VILLA ESPANOLA VS DEPORTIVO MALDONADO LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Villa Espanola and Dep Maldonado have met 6 times recently since 13/05/17. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Villa Espanola vs Dep Maldonado prediction.
15/10/19 - Villa Espanola [4 : 3] Dep Maldonado
07-Jun-2019 - Dep Maldonado [1 : 1] Villa Espanola
14/10/18 - Villa Espanola [2 : 0] Dep Maldonado
19/05/18 - Dep Maldonado [1 : 0] Villa Espanola
23/09/17 - Dep Maldonado [2 : 0] Villa Espanola
13/05/17 - Villa Espanola [1 : 1] Dep Maldonado

CD VILLA ESPANOLA LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Cd Villa Espanola's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Villa Espanola lost to Montevideo City (2-3) on 07-Mar-2021
Then Penarol drew with Villa Espanola (1-1) on 27/06/21
Villa Espanola lost to Rentistas (0-1) on 23/06/21
Not surprisingly Wanderers won against Villa Espanola (3-0) on 19/06/21
Villa Espanola drew with Boston River (2-2) on 14/06/21
Fenix Montevideo won against Villa Espanola (1-0) on 06-Jul-2021
Then Villa Espanola lost to Colonia (1-3) on 29/05/21
Sud America won against Villa Espanola (2-1) on 24/05/21
Villa Espanola drew with Progreso (0-0) on 15/05/21
In the earliest match listed here Villa Espanola won against Tacuarembo (3-2) on 28/11/20

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Deportivo Maldonado's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Dep Maldonado lost to Sud America (1-3) on 07-Apr-2021
Montevideo City lost to Dep Maldonado (2-3) on 28/06/21
Then Dep Maldonado drew with Progreso (1-1) on 24/06/21
Penarol won against Dep Maldonado (4-0) on 20/06/21
Dep Maldonado won against Cerro Largo (2-1) on 13/06/21
Then Rentistas lost to Dep Maldonado (0-2) on 06-Jun-2021
Dep Maldonado drew with River Plate (0-0) on 30/05/21
Wanderers drew with Dep Maldonado (0-0) on 23/05/21
Once more Dep Maldonado lost to Liverpool M (2-4) on 16/05/21
Dep Maldonado lost to Nacional (1-2) on 29/03/21

CD VILLA ESPANOLA'S POSITION

Villa Espanola is in position 16 with 3 points from 9 matches. They are below Boston River who have 4 points and above who have points.
have scored 7 goals and conceded 16 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -9 goals this season.

DEPORTIVO MALDONADO'S POSITION

No position Listed for this team.

CD VILLA ESPANOLA'S BEST PLAYERS

No notable players

DEPORTIVO MALDONADO'S BEST PLAYERS

No notable players

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