CAEN vs RODEZ AVEYRON NG SUREBET PREDICTION

A detailed Caen vs Rodez Aveyron NG sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this �France, Ligue 2match on 24-Jul-2021

Caen

Rodez Aveyron

DATE:

TIME:

8:00:00 PM

COUNTRY:

France

LEAGUE

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

33.12%

AVR. ODDS:

2.6

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

DRAW:

27.61%

AVR. ODDS:

3.01

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

39.14%

AVR. ODDS:

2.96

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

Caen and Rodez Aveyron might find it hard to score each other in this game. It may be much wiser if you steered clear of a goal-goal prediction and stuck with no-goal (NG prediction). This is informed by the fact that both Caen and Rodez Aveyron have good defenses and at least one of them have demonstrated in the recent past weak defense that may see them goal-less by the end of this duel. All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible ng in this Caen vs Rodez Aveyron match. Poisson prediction model shows there is a 56.02% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 52.39% chance for the same. Finally, 50.86% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in ng. This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a ng in this game. The odds for Ng outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 1.69 with an implied bookmaker probability of 59.17%. Considering that the surebet probability for the Ng outcome for this Caen vs Rodez Aveyron match is 53.09%, then this bet is not a value bet.If you play this bet then you lose expected value by -6.08%The expected value for a NG prediction is denoted as EV(NG) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing. By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a NG in this Caen vs Rodez Aveyron match is 42.8 which is positive and therefore a good bet.

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

46.78%

AVR. ODDS:

2.04

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

53.09%

AVR. ODDS:

1.69

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.6

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

32.09%

AVR. ODDS:

2.71

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

41.51%

AVR. ODDS:

2.45

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

58.36%

AVR. ODDS:

1.49

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

20.97%

AVR. ODDS:

4.3

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

78.91%

AVR. ODDS:

1.11

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

CAEN VS RODEZ AVEYRON LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Curently no head to head

CAEN LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Caen's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Bordeaux won against Caen (2-1) on 18/07/21
Then Nantes lost to Caen (0-1) on 17/07/21
Orleans lost to Caen (1-3) on 14/07/21
Not surprisingly Caen drew with AC Ajaccio (0-0) on 07-Oct-2021
Caen drew with Guingamp (1-1) on 07-Jul-2021
Caen won against Beauvais (2-0) on 07-Mar-2021
Then Caen won against Clermont Foot (2-1) on 15/05/21
Toulouse won against Caen (3-0) on 05-Aug-2021
Caen drew with Auxerre (0-0) on 05-Jan-2021
In the earliest match listed here Sochaux-Montbeliard won against Caen (1-0) on 24/04/21

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Rodez Aveyron's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Clermont Foot drew with Rodez (2-2) on 07-Oct-2021
Grenoble won against Rodez (1-0) on 15/05/21
Then Rodez drew with Nancy-Lorraine (1-1) on 05-Aug-2021
Niort drew with Rodez (1-1) on 05-Jan-2021
Rodez drew with Le Havre (1-1) on 24/04/21
Then Chateauroux drew with Rodez (1-1) on 20/04/21
Rodez drew with Paris (2-2) on 17/04/21
Amiens won against Rodez (1-0) on 04-Nov-2021
Once more Rodez drew with Chambly (2-2) on 04-Mar-2021
Guingamp drew with Rodez (1-1) on 20/03/21

CAEN'S POSITION

No position listed

RODEZ AVEYRON'S POSITION

No position listed

CAEN'S BEST PLAYERS

No notable players

RODEZ AVEYRON'S BEST PLAYERS

No notable players

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