CADIZ CF vs OSASUNA PREDICTION

Cadiz Cf and Osasuna might find it hard to score each other in this game. It may be much wiser if you steered clear of a goal-goal prediction and stuck with no-goal (NG prediction). This is informed by the fact that both Cadiz Cf and Osasuna have good defenses and at least one of them have demonstrated in the recent past weak defense that may see them goal-less by the end of this duel. 

All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible ng in this Cadiz Cf vs Osasuna match. Poisson prediction model shows there is a 57.59% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 70.56% chance for the same. Finally, 99.99% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in ng. This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a ng in this game. 

The odds for Ng outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 1.67 with an implied bookmaker probability of 59.88%. Considering that the surebet probability for the Ng outcome for this Cadiz Cf vs Osasuna match is 76.05%, then this bet is a value bet. 

If you play this bet then you you gain expected value by 16.17%The expected value for a NG prediction is denoted as EV(NG) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing. 

By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a NG in this Cadiz Cf vs Osasuna match is 103.05 which is positive and therefore a good bet.

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