Belgium vs Russia Prediction

Belgium

Russia

DATE:

TIME:

10:00:00 PM

COUNTRY:

International

LEAGUE

European Championship

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

66.6%

AVR. ODDS:

1.68

VALUEBET?

Yes

DRAW:

18.2%

AVR. ODDS:

3.69

VALUEBET?

No

AWAY WIN:

14.1%

AVR. ODDS:

5.19

VALUEBET?

No

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

Belgium is expected to outperform Denmark in this match. Home advantage may not help Denmark in this game. With odds of 2.02 you stand to win a fairly good amount from this tip. This is the best sure bet prediction for this match.


Note that you should also consider other betting markets other than 1X2 predictions or bets. Asian handicaps and European handicaps, for instance, can make you better profits from a match like this.


We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a away win in this Denmark vs Belgium match.


The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 46.45% probability for a Away Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 49.68% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 52.52% chance for a away win outcome.

This Denmark vs Belgium match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.


To find if the Away Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Away Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 2.02 with an implied bookmaker probability of 49.50%.


The calculated Surebet probability for the Away Win outcome for this Denmark vs Belgium match is 49.55%, meaning this bet is a value bet.  In case you place this bet, you  may gain expected value by 0.05%Expected Value, EV(Away Win), for a Away Win result for this Denmark vs Belgium match is calculated as follows:


Let P(Away Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;

P(Away Win) * 100* 2.02 where 2.02 are the decimal odds for this outcome.


Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Away Win for Denmark vs Belgium, EV(Away Win) to be 49.55% * 100 * 2.02, which translates to 49.64. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

52.9%

AVR. ODDS:

1.93

VALUEBET?

Yes

NO GOAL:

45.9%

AVR. ODDS:

1.78

VALUEBET?

No

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.27

VALUEBET?

Yes

UNDER 1.5:

17.8%

AVR. ODDS:

3.22

VALUEBET?

No

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

61.1%

AVR. ODDS:

1.95

VALUEBET?

Yes

UNDER 2.5:

37.8%

AVR. ODDS:

1.77

VALUEBET?

No

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

40.2%

AVR. ODDS:

3.42

VALUEBET?

Yes

UNDER 3.5:

58.7%

AVR. ODDS:

1.32

VALUEBET?

No

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

BELGIUM VS RUSSIA LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Russia and Belgium have met 6 times recently since 14/06/02. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Russia vs Belgium prediction.
16/11/19 - Russia [1 : 4] Belgium
21/03/19 - Belgium [3 : 1] Russia
28/03/17 - Russia [3 : 3] Belgium
22/06/14 - Belgium [1 : 0] Russia
17/11/10 - Russia [0 : 2] Belgium
14/06/02 - Belgium [3 : 2] Russia

BELGIUM LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Belgium's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Belgium won against Croatia (1-0) on 06-Jun-2021
Then Belgium drew with Greece (1-1) on 06-Mar-2021
Belgium won against Belarus (8-0) on 30/03/21
Not surprisingly Czech Republic drew with Belgium (1-1) on 27/03/21
Belgium won against Wales (3-1) on 24/03/21
Belgium won against Denmark (4-2) on 18/11/20
Then Belgium won against England (2-0) on 15/11/20
Belgium won against Switzerland (2-1) on 11-Nov-2020
Iceland lost to Belgium (1-2) on 14/10/20
In the earliest match listed here England won against Belgium (2-1) on 10-Nov-2020

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Russia's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Russia won against Bulgaria (1-0) on 06-May-2021
Poland drew with Russia (1-1) on 06-Jan-2021
Then Slovakia won against Russia (2-1) on 30/03/21
Russia won against Slovenia (2-1) on 27/03/21
Malta lost to Russia (1-3) on 24/03/21
Then Serbia won against Russia (5-0) on 18/11/20
Turkey won against Russia (3-2) on 15/11/20
Moldova drew with Russia (0-0) on 11-Dec-2020
Once more Russia drew with Hungary (0-0) on 14/10/20
Russia drew with Turkey (1-1) on 10-Nov-2020

BELGIUM'S POSITION

No position listed

RUSSIA'S POSITION

No position listed

BELGIUM'S BEST PLAYERS

NO NOTIBLE PLAYERS

RUSSIA'S BEST PLAYERS

NO NOTIBLE PLAYERS

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