ARGENTINA vs BRAZIL SURE PREDICTION

A detailed Argentina vs Brazil sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this �International, Copa America match on 11-Jul-2021

Argentina

Brazil

DATE:

TIME:

3:00:00 AM

COUNTRY:

International

LEAGUE

Copa America

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

27.6%

AVR. ODDS:

3.62

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

DRAW:

22.0%

AVR. ODDS:

3.17

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

49.7%

AVR. ODDS:

2.16

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

Expected Value, EV(OVER 2.5), for a OVER 2.5 result for this Argentina vs Brazil match is calculated as follows: Let P(OVER 2.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(OVER 2.5) * 100* 2.43 where 2.43 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 2.5 for Argentina vs Brazil, EV(OVER 2.5) to be 61.81% * 100 * 2.43, which translates to 112. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.To find if the Over 2.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 2.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 2.43 with an implied bookmaker probability of 41.15%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 2.5 outcome for this Argentina vs Brazil match is 61.81%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 20.66%Surebet's experience, algorithms and expertise have all converged on a conclution that this will be a high scoring match. Matches with high expected goals, passes and shots on target usually end with over 2.5 goals. This match between Argentina and Brazil is one of those. The odds for over 2.5 are also relatively good at 2.43 This is an average bet with high Odds. Also check out Over/Under tips for half time on the half time tips page. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 2.5 in this Argentina vs Brazil match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 56.78% probability for a OVER 2.5 outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 61.99% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 66.66% chance for a over 2.5 outcome. This Argentina vs Brazil match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

61.1%

AVR. ODDS:

2.1

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

NO GOAL:

38.2%

AVR. ODDS:

1.65

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.59

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

16.8%

AVR. ODDS:

2.73

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

61.8%

AVR. ODDS:

2.43

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

37.4%

AVR. ODDS:

1.5

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

39.7%

AVR. ODDS:

4.26

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

59.5%

AVR. ODDS:

1.12

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

ARGENTINA VS BRAZIL LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Brazil and Argentina have met 6 times recently since 14/11/15. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Brazil vs Argentina prediction.
15/11/19 - Brazil [0 : 1] Argentina
07-Mar-2019 - Brazil [2 : 0] Argentina
16/10/18 - Brazil [1 : 0] Argentina
06-Sep-2017 - Argentina [1 : 0] Brazil
11-Nov-2016 - Brazil [3 : 0] Argentina
14/11/15 - Argentina [1 : 1] Brazil

ARGENTINA LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Argentina's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Argentina won against Colombia (3-2) on 07-Jul-2021
Then Argentina won against Ecuador (3-0) on 07-Apr-2021
Bolivia lost to Argentina (1-4) on 29/06/21
Not surprisingly Argentina won against Paraguay (1-0) on 22/06/21
Argentina won against Uruguay (1-0) on 19/06/21
Argentina drew with Chile (1-1) on 15/06/21
Then Colombia drew with Argentina (2-2) on 06-Sep-2021
Argentina drew with Chile (1-1) on 06-Apr-2021
Peru lost to Argentina (0-2) on 18/11/20
In the earliest match listed here Argentina drew with Paraguay (1-1) on 13/11/20

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Brazil's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Brazil won against Peru (1-0) on 07-Jun-2021
Brazil won against Chile (1-0) on 07-Mar-2021
Then Brazil drew with Ecuador (1-1) on 28/06/21
Brazil won against Colombia (2-1) on 24/06/21
Brazil won against Peru (4-0) on 18/06/21
Then Brazil won against Venezuela (3-0) on 14/06/21
Paraguay lost to Brazil (0-2) on 06-Sep-2021
Brazil won against Ecuador (2-0) on 06-May-2021
Once more Uruguay lost to Brazil (0-2) on 18/11/20
Brazil won against Venezuela (1-0) on 14/11/20

ARGENTINA'S POSITION

No position listed

BRAZIL'S POSITION

No position Listed for this team.

ARGENTINA'S BEST PLAYERS

Sure bet prediction, tips and even fixed matches all depend on the form of players. Below are Argentina's players that have the potential of shaping the predictions and results for this game:

Lionel Messi - The Argentina National Lionel Messi has scored 4 goals in 6 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 1 penalties. The 0.19's average goals per match is 0.67.

Lautaro Martinez - The Argentina National Lautaro Martinez has scored 3 goals in 5 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The 0.15's average goals per match is 0.6.

Papu Gomez - The Argentina National Papu Gomez has scored 2 goals in 2 matches and shot 2 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The 0.33's average goals per match is 1.

Guido Rodriguez - The Argentina National Guido Rodriguez has scored 1 goals in 5 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.2.

Rodrigo De Paul - The Argentina National Rodrigo De Paul has scored 1 goals in 5 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.2.



BRAZIL'S BEST PLAYERS

The following Brazil players are crucial in determining the results of this game:

Neymar - The Brazil National Neymar has scored 2 goals in 5 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored 1 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.4.

Lucas Paqueta - The Brazil National Lucas Paqueta has scored 2 goals in 5 matches and shot 2 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.4.

Alex Sandro - The Brazil National Alex Sandro has scored 1 goals in 3 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The defender's average goals per match is 0.33.

Roberto Firmino - The Brazil National Roberto Firmino has scored 1 goals in 4 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.25.

Gabriel Barbosa - The Brazil National Gabriel Barbosa has scored 1 goals in 4 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.25.

Everton Ribeiro - The Brazil National Everton Ribeiro has scored 1 goals in 5 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.2.

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