ALL BOYS vs DEFENSORES BELGRANO NG SUREBET PREDICTION

A detailed All Boys vs Defensores Belgrano NG sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Argentina, Primera B Nacional, Group Bmatch on 29-Sep-2021

All Boys

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Defensores Belgrano

DATE:

29 September 2021, 03:10:00

TIME:

3:10 AM

COUNTRY:

Argentina

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LEAGUE

Primera B Nacional, Group B

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

39%

AVR. ODDS:

2.73

VALUEBET?

Yes

DRAW:

33%

AVR. ODDS:

2.58

VALUEBET?

No

AWAY WIN:

27%

AVR. ODDS:

3.17

VALUEBET?

No

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible ng in this All Boys vs Defensores Belgrano match. Poisson prediction model shows there is a 57.03% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 65.85% chance for the same. 


Finally, 75.15% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in ng. This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a ng in this game. 


The odds for Ng outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 1.61 with an implied bookmaker probability of 62.11%. Considering that the surebet probability for the Ng outcome for this All Boys vs Defensores Belgrano match is 66.01%, then this bet is a value bet. 


If you play this bet then you you gain expected value by 3.90%The expected value for a NG prediction is denoted as EV(NG) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing. 


By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a NG in this All Boys vs Defensores Belgrano match is 72.28 which is positive and therefore a good bet.


All Boys and Defensores Belgrano might find it hard to score each other in this game. It may be much wiser if you steered clear of a goal-goal prediction and stuck with no-goal (NG prediction). 


This is informed by the fact that both All Boys and Defensores Belgrano have good defenses and at least one of them have demonstrated in the recent past weak defense that may see them goal-less by the end of this duel.

ALL BOYS vs DEFENSORES BELGRANO NG SUREBET PREDICTION

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

34%

AVR. ODDS:

2.18

VALUEBET?

No

NO GOAL:

66%

AVR. ODDS:

1.61

VALUEBET?

Yes

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.83

VALUEBET?

No

UNDER 1.5:

48%

AVR. ODDS:

2.51

VALUEBET?

Yes

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

26%

AVR. ODDS:

2.8

VALUEBET?

No

UNDER 2.5:

74%

AVR. ODDS:

1.38

VALUEBET?

Yes

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

11%

AVR. ODDS:

4.91

VALUEBET?

No

UNDER 3.5:

89%

AVR. ODDS:

1.03

VALUEBET?

No

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

ALL BOYS VS DEFENSORES BELGRANO LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Currently no head to head

ALL BOYS LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are All Boys's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Instituto Atletico lost to All Boys (1-2) on 20/09/21
Then All Boys won against San Telmo (3-0) on 13/09/21
Gimnasia Jujuy won against All Boys (1-0) on 09-Apr-2021
Not surprisingly All Boys drew with Villa Dalmine (0-0) on 28/08/21
Tristan Suarez lost to All Boys (0-2) on 21/08/21
All Boys lost to San Martin (0-1) on 15/08/21
Then Ferro Carri drew with All Boys (0-0) on 08-Nov-2021
All Boys drew with Brown de Adrogue (1-1) on 31/07/21
Dep. Moron won against All Boys (3-0) on 25/07/21
In the earliest match listed here All Boys won against Guillermo Brown (3-0) on 17/07/21

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Defensores Belgrano's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
San Telmo drew with Defensores (0-0) on 19/09/21
Defensores won against Villa Dalmine (2-0) on 09-Oct-2021
Then San Martin won against Defensores (1-0) on 09-Mar-2021
Defensores lost to Brown de Adrogue (0-3) on 28/08/21
Guillermo Brown drew with Defensores (1-1) on 21/08/21
Then Defensores won against Atletico Rafaela (2-0) on 15/08/21
Independiente Riv. drew with Defensores (1-1) on 08-Aug-2021
Defensores drew with Barracas (0-0) on 31/07/21
Once more Instituto Atletico lost to Defensores (0-2) on 25/07/21
Gimnasia Jujuy lost to Defensores (1-3) on 17/07/21

ALL BOYS'S POSITION

All Boys is in position 11 with 33 points from 26 matches. They are below Independiente Riv. who have 37 points and above San Telmo who have 33 points.
have scored 24 goals and conceded 22 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 2 goals this season.

DEFENSORES BELGRANO'S POSITION

Defensores is in position 8 with 37 points from 26 matches. They are below Tristan Suarez who have 37 points and above Almagro who have 37 points.
Defensores Belgrano have scored 26 goals and conceded 22 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 4 goals this season.

ALL BOYS'S BEST PLAYERS

Players not available

DEFENSORES BELGRANO'S BEST PLAYERS

Players not available

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