Ado Den Haag vs Excelsior Prediction

Ado Den Haag vs Excelsior Predictionwith match analysis, statistics and betting tips. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Ado Den Haag vs Excelsior are playing on �Netherlands

Ado Den Haag

Lecce logo.jpg

Excelsior

DATE:

29 May 2022, 19:00:00

TIME:

7:00 PM

COUNTRY:

Netherlands

Brescia logo.png

LEAGUE

Eredivisie, Relegation/Promotion Playoffs

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

53%

AVR. ODDS:

2.11

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

DRAW:

22%

AVR. ODDS:

3.54

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

25%

AVR. ODDS:

3.24

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

HOME WIN TIPS

After analysing all the data and compiling and comparing expert opinions on this Ado Den Haag vs Excelsior match, we are well convinced that Ado Den Haag is in better form, better motivated and has proven in the past their ability to dominate this game against Excelsior. The surebet prediction for this game is therefore a home win.


Note that there might be even better tips you can bet on today if you can be bold enough to subscribe for VIP tips. Besides, you might want to check out the GG/NG tips given their ability to increase betting profits for many punters.


We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a home win in this Ado Den Haag vs Excelsior match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 63.00% probability for a Home Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 63.23% probability for the same outccome.


The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 61.82% chance for a home win outcome. This Ado Den Haag vs Excelsior match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Home Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Home Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same.


The odds for this outcome are averagely 4.84 with an implied bookmaker probability of 20.66%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Ado Den Haag vs Excelsior match is 62.68%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 42.02%.


Expected Value, EV(Home Win), for a Home Win result for this Ado Den Haag vs Excelsior match is calculated as follows: Let P(Home Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;


P(Home Win) * 100* 4.84 where 4.84 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Home Win for Ado Den Haag vs Excelsior, EV(Home Win) to be 62.68% * 100 * 4.84, which translates to 266.06. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.

Ado Den Haag vs Excelsior Prediction

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

59%

AVR. ODDS:

1.63

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

41%

AVR. ODDS:

2.14

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.16

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

18%

AVR. ODDS:

3.16

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

60%

AVR. ODDS:

1.74

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.76

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

38%

AVR. ODDS:

3.05

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

61%

AVR. ODDS:

1.31

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

ADO DEN HAAG VS EXCELSIOR PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

LIETAVA JONAVA VS VILNIAUS RITERIAI LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Riteriai and Jonava have met 6 times recently since 25/10/17. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Riteriai vs Jonava prediction.
04-Jan-2022 - Riteriai [5 : 0] Jonava
08-Dec-2018 - Jonava [1 : 3] Riteriai
20/05/18 - Riteriai [1 : 0] Jonava
16/05/18 - Jonava [0 : 0] Riteriai
04-Dec-2018 - Riteriai [1 : 1] Jonava
25/10/17 - Riteriai [2 : 1] Jonava

ADO DEN HAAG'S LAST 10 MATCHES

LIETAVA JONAVA LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Lietava Jonava's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
FK Transinvest lost to Jonava (1-2) on 25/05/22
Then FK Banga drew with Jonava (1-1) on 14/05/22
Atmosfera lost to Jonava (0-3) on 05-Jul-2022
Not surprisingly Jonava lost to Siauliai (0-3) on 05-Mar-2022
Hegelmann Kaunas won against Jonava (4-0) on 30/04/22
Jonava lost to Zalgiris Vilnius (0-5) on 27/04/22
Then Suduva Marijampole won against Jonava (2-0) on 24/04/22
Jonava lost to Dziugas (0-1) on 16/04/22
Panevezys won against Jonava (4-0) on 04-Sep-2022
In the earliest match listed here Jonava lost to Kauno (0-2) on 04-May-2022

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

LIETAVA JONAVA LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Lietava Jonava's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
FK Ataka lost to Riteriai (1-5) on 24/05/22
Then Riteriai lost to Zalgiris Vilnius (0-1) on 14/05/22
Riteriai won against Siauliai (2-1) on 05-Sep-2022
Not surprisingly Suduva Marijampole drew with Riteriai (1-1) on 05-Apr-2022
Riteriai won against Dziugas (3-0) on 05-Jan-2022
Panevezys won against Riteriai (3-0) on 27/04/22
Then Kauno lost to Riteriai (0-1) on 22/04/22
Hegelmann Kaunas drew with Riteriai (1-1) on 16/04/22
Riteriai won against FK Banga (1-0) on 04-Oct-2022
In the earliest match listed here Siauliai won against Riteriai (1-0) on 04-Jun-2022

ADO DEN HAAG POSITION

LIETAVA JONAVA'S POSITION
Jonava is in position 10 with 1 points from 13 matches. They are below Dziugas who have 8 points and above who have points.
Lietava Jonava have scored 3 goals and conceded 43 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -40 goals this season.

EXCELSIOR POSITION

VILNIAUS RITERIAI'S POSITION
Riteriai is in position 5 with 21 points from 13 matches. They are below Suduva Marijampole who have 23 points and above Kauno who have 18 points.
Vilniaus Riteriai have scored 15 goals and conceded 9 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 6 goals this season.

ADO DEN HAAG BEST PLAYERS

LIETAVA JONAVA'S BEST PLAYERS
Sure bet prediction, tips and even fixed matches all depend on the form of players. Below are Lietava Jonava's players that have the potential of shaping the predictions and results for this game:

Vladyslav Khamelyuk - The Ukraine National Vladyslav Khamelyuk has scored 1 goals in 5 games and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.2.

Marius Ganusauskas - The Lithuania National Marius Ganusauskas has scored 1 goals in 6 games and shot 0 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.17.

Tadas Eliosius - The Lithuania National Tadas Eliosius has scored 1 goals in 7 games and shot 0 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.14.

- The National has scored goals in games and shot foul kicks. He has scored penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is .

- The National has scored goals in games and shot foul kicks. He has scored penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is .

- The National has scored goals in games and shot foul kicks. He has scored penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is .

EXCELSIOR BEST PLAYERS

VILNIAUS RITERIAI'S BEST PLAYERS
Sure bet prediction, tips and even fixed matches all depend on the form of players. Below are Vilniaus Riteriai's players that have the potential of shaping the predictions and results for this game:

Gytis Paulauskas - The Lithuania National Gytis Paulauskas has scored 4 goals in 12 games and shot 2 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.33.

Dmytro Bilonoh - The Ukraine National Dmytro Bilonoh has scored 3 goals in 10 games and shot 2 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.3.

Artur Dolznikov - The Lithuania National Artur Dolznikov has scored 2 goals in 11 games and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.18.

Dominykas Barauskas - The Lithuania National Dominykas Barauskas has scored 1 goals in 4 games and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The defender's average goals per match is 0.25.

Mindaugas Grigaravicius - The Lithuania National Mindaugas Grigaravicius has scored 1 goals in 8 games and shot 0 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.13.

Felipe Bezerra Brisola - The Brazil National Felipe Bezerra Brisola has scored 1 goals in 8 games and shot 0 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.13.

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