UNION SAN FELIPE vs DEPORTES TEMUCO SURE PREDICTION
A detailed Union San Felipe vs Deportes Temuco sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Chile, Primera B, Torneo Transicion match on 01-Sep-2021
Union San Felipe
DATE:
1 September 2021 at 21:00:00
Deportes Temuco
COUNTRY:
Chile
LEAGUE
Primera B, Torneo Transicion
TIME:
9:00 PM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
36%
AVR. ODDS:
2.49
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
DRAW:
27%
AVR. ODDS:
3.02
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
37%
AVR. ODDS:
2.68
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Union San Felipe vs Deportes Temuco.
The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this Union San Felipe vs Deportes Temuco match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 59.36% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 74.20% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 83.83% chance for a over 1.5 outcome.
This Union San Felipe vs Deportes Temuco match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same.
The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.3921568627451 with an implied bookmaker probability of 71.83%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Union San Felipe vs Deportes Temuco match is 72.46%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 0.63%Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Union San Felipe vs Deportes Temuco match is calculated as follows: Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet.
Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.3921568627451 where 1.3921568627451 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Union San Felipe vs Deportes Temuco, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 72.46% * 100 * 1.39, which translates to 73.34. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
53%
AVR. ODDS:
1.86
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
47%
1.85
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.39
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
27%
AVR. ODDS:
2.98
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
49%
AVR. ODDS:
2.13
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
51%
1.64
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
28%
AVR. ODDS:
3.74
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
72%
AVR. ODDS:
1.22
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
UNION SAN FELIPE VS DEPORTES TEMUCO LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Temuco and San Felipe have met 6 times recently since 24/08/17. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Temuco vs San Felipe prediction.
26/04/21 - Temuco [3 : 0] San Felipe
20/11/20 - Temuco [1 : 0] San Felipe
09-Aug-2020 - San Felipe [1 : 1] Temuco
05-Apr-2019 - San Felipe [2 : 3] Temuco
31/08/17 - San Felipe [1 : 0] Temuco
24/08/17 - Temuco [0 : 0] San Felipe
UNION SAN FELIPE LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Union San Felipe's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Puerto Montt lost to San Felipe (0-1) on 28/08/21
Then San Felipe won against Rangers (2-1) on 23/08/21
Magallanes won against San Felipe (2-1) on 16/08/21
Not surprisingly San Felipe drew with Coquimbo (1-1) on 08-Sep-2021
San Felipe lost to Santiago Morn. (0-2) on 08-Jan-2021
Copiapo won against San Felipe (1-0) on 22/07/21
Then San Felipe won against Deportes Iquique (3-1) on 16/07/21
San Antonio Unido won against San Felipe (2-0) on 16/06/21
San Felipe lost to Barnechea (2-4) on 06-Jun-2021
In the earliest match listed here Arica won against San Felipe (3-1) on 06-Jan-2021
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Below are Deportes Temuco's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Temuco drew with Copiapo (1-1) on 28/08/21
SL de Quillota drew with Temuco (1-1) on 23/08/21
Then Temuco lost to Santiago Morn. (0-2) on 15/08/21
Deportes Iquique drew with Temuco (2-2) on 08-Jul-2021
Temuco won against Cobreloa Calama (1-0) on 31/07/21
Then Arturo Fernandez Vial won against Temuco (1-0) on 22/07/21
Temuco drew with Coquimbo (1-1) on 15/07/21
Temuco drew with Rangers (2-2) on 07-Oct-2021
Once more Huachipato won against Temuco (2-0) on 07-May-2021
Temuco drew with Huachipato (2-2) on 07-Jan-2021
UNION SAN FELIPE'S POSITION
San Felipe is in position 12 with 18 points from 16 matches. They are below Cobreloa Calama who have 19 points and above Barnechea who have 17 points.
have scored 17 goals and conceded 25 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -8 goals this season.
DEPORTES TEMUCO'S POSITION
Temuco is in position 8 with 22 points from 17 matches. They are below Rangers who have 22 points and above U de Concepcion who have 22 points.
Deportes Temuco have scored 22 goals and conceded 19 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 3 goals this season.
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