SPVGG HANKOFEN-HAILING vs SV PULLACH SURE PREDICTION
A detailed Spvgg Hankofen-Hailing vs Sv Pullach sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Germany Amateur, Bayernliga South match on 01-Sep-2021
Spvgg Hankofen-Hailing
DATE:
1 September 2021 at 18:45:00
Sv Pullach
COUNTRY:
Germany Amateur
LEAGUE
Bayernliga South
TIME:
6:45 PM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
23%
AVR. ODDS:
1.58
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
DRAW:
22%
AVR. ODDS:
4.11
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
54%
AVR. ODDS:
4.4
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
Sv Pullach is expected to outperform Spvgg Hankofen-Hailing in this match. Home advantage may not help Spvgg Hankofen-Hailing in this game. With odds of 4.4 you stand to win a fairly good amount from this tip. This is the best sure bet prediction for this match.
Note that you should also consider other betting markets other than 1X2 predictions or bets. Asian handicaps and European handicaps, for instance, can make you better profits from a match like this. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a away win in this Spvgg Hankofen-Hailing vs Sv Pullach match.
The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 59.67% probability for a Away Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 54.37% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 49.09% chance for a away win outcome.
This Spvgg Hankofen-Hailing vs Sv Pullach match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Away Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Away Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 4.4 with an implied bookmaker probability of 22.73%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Away Win outcome for this Spvgg Hankofen-Hailing vs Sv Pullach match is 54.38%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 31.65%Expected Value, EV(Away Win), for a Away Win result for this Spvgg Hankofen-Hailing vs Sv Pullach match is calculated as follows: Let P(Away Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet.
Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(Away Win) * 100* 4.4 where 4.4 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Away Win for Spvgg Hankofen-Hailing vs Sv Pullach, EV(Away Win) to be 54.38% * 100 * 4.4, which translates to 193.64. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
57%
AVR. ODDS:
1.55
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
42%
2.29
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
0.98
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
19%
AVR. ODDS:
4.4
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
58%
AVR. ODDS:
1.5
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
41%
2.42
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
36%
AVR. ODDS:
2.63
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
63%
AVR. ODDS:
1.81
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
SPVGG HANKOFEN-HAILING VS SV PULLACH LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Pullach and Hankofen-Hailing have met 6 times recently since 20/05/17. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Pullach vs Hankofen-Hailing prediction.
10-Dec-2019 - Pullach [1 : 1] Hankofen-Hailing
27/04/19 - Hankofen-Hailing [1 : 0] Pullach
12-Jan-2018 - Pullach [4 : 2] Hankofen-Hailing
05-Jan-2018 - Hankofen-Hailing [1 : 5] Pullach
16/09/17 - Pullach [4 : 2] Hankofen-Hailing
20/05/17 - Pullach [1 : 0] Hankofen-Hailing
SPVGG HANKOFEN-HAILING LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Spvgg Hankofen-Hailing's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Gundelfingen lost to Hankofen-Hailing (0-2) on 28/08/21
Then Hankofen-Hailing won against Kottern (3-1) on 21/08/21
Dachau drew with Hankofen-Hailing (0-0) on 14/08/21
Not surprisingly Hankofen-Hailing won against VFB Hallbergmoos (2-1) on 08-Jul-2021
TSV 1880 Wasserburg won against Hankofen-Hailing (3-2) on 08-Apr-2021
Hankofen-Hailing won against Turkspor Augsburg (2-1) on 31/07/21
Then SV Donaustauf lost to Hankofen-Hailing (1-3) on 28/07/21
Hankofen-Hailing won against Schwabmunchen (3-0) on 24/07/21
Ingolstadt II drew with Hankofen-Hailing (1-1) on 31/10/20
In the earliest match listed here Hankofen-Hailing won against Schwabmunchen (1-0) on 24/10/20
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Currently no previous matches
SPVGG HANKOFEN-HAILING'S POSITION
Hankofen-Hailing is in position 1 with 19 points from 8 matches. They are below who have points and above Landsberg am Lech who have 16 points.
have scored 17 goals and conceded 7 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 10 goals this season.
SV PULLACH'S POSITION
Pullach is in position 6 with 13 points from 9 matches. They are below FC Deisenhofen who have 14 points and above Ismaning who have 13 points.
Sv Pullach have scored 17 goals and conceded 16 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 1 goals this season.
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