SEVILLA FC vs VALENCIA SURE PREDICTION
A detailed Sevilla Fc vs Valencia sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Spain, Primera Division match on 22-Sep-2021
Sevilla Fc
DATE:
22 September 2021 at 20:30:00
Valencia
COUNTRY:
Spain
LEAGUE
Primera Division
TIME:
8:30 PM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
28%
AVR. ODDS:
1.71
VALUEBET?
No
DRAW:
24%
AVR. ODDS:
3.71
VALUEBET?
No
AWAY WIN:
48%
AVR. ODDS:
5.02
VALUEBET?
Yes
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
Expected Value, EV(GG), for a GG result for this Sevilla Fc vs Valencia match is calculated as follows: Let P(GG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(GG) * 100* 1.97 where 1.97 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a GG for Sevilla Fc vs Valencia, EV(GG) to be 53.91% * 100 * 1.97, which translates to 60.12. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.To find if the Gg bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied GG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.97 with an implied bookmaker probability of 50.76%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Gg outcome for this Sevilla Fc vs Valencia match is 53.91%, meaning this bet is a value bet.
In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 3.15%We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a gg in this Sevilla Fc vs Valencia match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 53.92% probability for a GG outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 55.09% probability for the same outccome.
The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 52.73% chance for a gg outcome. This Sevilla Fc vs Valencia match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. Historical data, H2H matches and results from similar and related past matches, Surebet GG prediction systems have all agreed that both teams will be able to score in this match.
Both Sevilla Fc and Valencia have good striking and have equally vulnerable defenses. I do not forsee a NG outcome for this game. The GG rediction for this game is both teams to score at leat one goal in this game.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
54%
AVR. ODDS:
1.97
VALUEBET?
Yes
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
46%
1.75
VALUEBET?
No
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.31
VALUEBET?
No
UNDER 1.5:
23%
AVR. ODDS:
3.15
VALUEBET?
No
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
52%
AVR. ODDS:
2
VALUEBET?
Yes
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
47%
1.73
No
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
30%
AVR. ODDS:
3.51
VALUEBET?
Yes
UNDER 3.5:
69%
AVR. ODDS:
1.29
VALUEBET?
No
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
SEVILLA FC VS VALENCIA LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Sevilla and Valencia have met 6 times recently since 31/03/19. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Sevilla vs Valencia prediction.
05-Dec-2021 - Sevilla [1 : 0] Valencia
27/01/21 - Sevilla [3 : 0] Valencia
22/12/20 - Valencia [0 : 1] Sevilla
19/07/20 - Sevilla [1 : 0] Valencia
30/10/19 - Valencia [1 : 1] Sevilla
31/03/19 - Sevilla [0 : 1] Valencia
SEVILLA FC LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Sevilla Fc's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Real Sociedad drew with Sevilla (0-0) on 19/09/21
Then Sevilla drew with Salzburg (1-1) on 14/09/21
Sevilla won against Alaves (1-0) on 09-Sep-2021
Not surprisingly Elche drew with Sevilla (1-1) on 28/08/21
Getafe lost to Sevilla (0-1) on 23/08/21
Sevilla won against Vallecano (3-0) on 15/08/21
Then Roma drew with Sevilla (0-0) on 31/07/21
Sevilla drew with PSG (2-2) on 27/07/21
Sevilla won against Las Palmas (1-0) on 22/07/21
In the earliest match listed here Sevilla won against Coventry (4-0) on 17/07/21
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Below are Valencia's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Valencia lost to Real Madrid (1-2) on 19/09/21
Osasuna lost to Valencia (1-4) on 09-Dec-2021
Then Valencia won against Alaves (3-0) on 27/08/21
Granada drew with Valencia (1-1) on 21/08/21
Valencia won against Getafe (1-0) on 13/08/21
Then Brentford won against Valencia (2-1) on 08-Jul-2021
Valencia won against Milan (5-3) on 08-Apr-2021
Valencia won against Levante (1-0) on 30/07/21
Once more Valencia lost to Zaragoza (0-2) on 28/07/21
Valencia won against Cartagena (3-2) on 24/07/21
SEVILLA FC'S POSITION
Sevilla is in position 6 with 8 points from 4 matches. They are below Bilbao who have 9 points and above Osasuna who have 8 points.
have scored 5 goals and conceded 1 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 4 goals this season.
VALENCIA'S POSITION
Valencia is in position 3 with 10 points from 5 matches. They are below Atletico who have 11 points and above Real Sociedad who have 10 points.
Valencia have scored 10 goals and conceded 4 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 6 goals this season.
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