NUBLENSE vs ANTOFAGASTA AWAY WIN SUREBET PREDICTION
A detailed Nublense vs Antofagasta AWAY WIN sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Chile, Primera Divisionmatch on 24-Jul-2021
Nublense
DATE:
24 July 2021 at 22:00:00
Antofagasta
COUNTRY:
Chile
LEAGUE
Primera Division
TIME:
10:00 PM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
24%
AVR. ODDS:
1.83
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
DRAW:
22%
AVR. ODDS:
3.83
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
53%
AVR. ODDS:
3.36
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
Antofagasta is clearly too strong for Nublense. An away win prediction for this game may not be far-fetched after all. It seems like you might want to avoid a prediction for Nublense's win in this game.
I also advise you not to always stick to the 1X2 predictions or bets. Popularity does not always make something the best. Explore other betting options such as the GG/NG predictions, Asian handicaps predictions and half time predictions, all of which carry better odds and less risk. All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible away win in this Nublense vs Antofagasta match. Poisson prediction model shows there is a 46.13% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 52.93% chance for the same.
Finally, 59.67% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in away win. This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a away win in this game. The odds for Away Win outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 3.36 with an implied bookmaker probability of 29.76%. Considering that the surebet probability for the Away Win outcome for this Nublense vs Antofagasta match is 52.91%, then this bet is a value bet. If you play this bet then you you gain expected value by 23.15%The expected value for a Away Win prediction is denoted as EV(Away Win) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing.
By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a Away Win in this Nublense vs Antofagasta match is 130.68 which is positive and therefore a good bet.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
57%
AVR. ODDS:
1.56
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
42%
2.28
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.03
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
20%
AVR. ODDS:
4.05
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
58%
AVR. ODDS:
1.58
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
42%
2.23
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
35%
AVR. ODDS:
2.77
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
64%
AVR. ODDS:
1.66
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
NUBLENSE VS ANTOFAGASTA LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Nublense and Antofagasta have met 6 times recently since 31/08/08. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Nublense vs Antofagasta prediction.
03-Sep-2015 - Nublense [0 : 1] Antofagasta
10-May-2014 - Antofagasta [2 : 0] Nublense
04-May-2014 - Antofagasta [1 : 0] Nublense
11-Nov-2013 - Nublense [2 : 1] Antofagasta
02-Mar-2013 - Nublense [0 : 2] Antofagasta
31/08/08 - Nublense [2 : 0] Antofagasta
NUBLENSE LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Nublense's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Everton drew with Nublense (0-0) on 20/07/21
Then Nublense drew with Everton (1-1) on 07-Dec-2021
Everton won against Nublense (1-0) on 07-Sep-2021
Not surprisingly OHiggins lost to Nublense (2-3) on 07-May-2021
Nublense drew with OHiggins (1-1) on 07-Feb-2021
Nublense drew with Melipilla (0-0) on 27/06/21
Then Melipilla lost to Nublense (0-1) on 23/06/21
Nublense won against Audax (1-0) on 06-Aug-2021
Union La Calera won against Nublense (1-0) on 06-Jan-2021
In the earliest match listed here Nublense won against Curico (2-0) on 22/05/21
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Below are Antofagasta's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Antofagasta won against Santiago Wanderers (1-0) on 16/07/21
Coquimbo won against Antofagasta (1-0) on 26/06/21
Then Antofagasta drew with Coquimbo (0-0) on 22/06/21
Union Espanola drew with Antofagasta (1-1) on 06-Jun-2021
Antofagasta won against Huachipato (1-0) on 31/05/21
Then Melipilla drew with Antofagasta (1-1) on 23/05/21
Antofagasta lost to U de Chile (1-2) on 05-Sep-2021
Union La Calera won against Antofagasta (2-1) on 05-Jan-2021
Once more Antofagasta won against Cobresal (2-1) on 24/04/21
Curico drew with Antofagasta (1-1) on 13/04/21
NUBLENSE'S POSITION
Nublense is in position 5 with 17 points from 11 matches. They are below Deportes La Serena who have 18 points and above Colo-Colo who have 17 points.
have scored 17 goals and conceded 12 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 5 goals this season.
ANTOFAGASTA'S POSITION
Antofagasta is in position 9 with 15 points from 10 matches. They are below Union Espanola who have 15 points and above U de Chile who have 15 points.
Antofagasta have scored 14 goals and conceded 12 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 2 goals this season.
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