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NAUTICO PE vs CRB AL OVER 1.5 SUREBET PREDICTION

A detailed Nautico Pe vs Crb Al OVER 1.5 sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Brazil, Serie Bmatch on 29-Sep-2021

Nautico Pe

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DATE:

28 September 2021 at 01:00:00

Crb Al

COUNTRY:

Brazil

LEAGUE

Serie B

TIME:

1:00 AM

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1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

31%

AVR. ODDS:

2.48

VALUEBET?

No

DRAW:

26%

AVR. ODDS:

2.98

VALUEBET?

No

AWAY WIN:

43%

AVR. ODDS:

3.02

VALUEBET?

Yes

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

The odds for Over 1.5 outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 1.58169934640523 with an implied bookmaker probability of 63.22%. 


Considering that the surebet probability for the OVER 1.5 outcome for this Nautico Pe vs Crb Al match is 67.97%, then this bet is a value bet. 


If you play this bet then you you gain expected value by 4.74%The expected value for a OVER 1.5 prediction is denoted as EV(OVER 1.5) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing. 


By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 in this Nautico Pe vs Crb Al match is 75.47 which is positive and therefore a good bet.


All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible over 1.5 in this Nautico Pe vs Crb Al match. Poisson prediction model shows there is a 68.55% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 68.04% chance for the same. Finally, 67.31% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in over 1.5. 


This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a over 1.5 in this game. Given the historical matches of these teams, it is almost clear that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Nautico Pe vs Crb Al. 


The over/under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals.

NAUTICO PE vs CRB AL OVER 1.5 SUREBET PREDICTION

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

44%

AVR. ODDS:

2.04

VALUEBET?

No

NO GOAL:

AVR. ODDS:

55%

1.7

VALUEBET?

No

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.58

VALUEBET?

Yes

UNDER 1.5:

32%

AVR. ODDS:

2.73

VALUEBET?

No

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

42%

AVR. ODDS:

2.42

VALUEBET?

Yes

UNDER 2.5:

AVR. ODDS:

VALUEBET?

58%

1.5

No

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

21%

AVR. ODDS:

4.25

VALUEBET?

No

UNDER 3.5:

79%

AVR. ODDS:

1.12

VALUEBET?

No

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

NAUTICO PE VS CRB AL LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Brasil Al and Nautico have met 6 times recently since 18/10/17. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Brasil Al vs Nautico prediction.
30/06/21 - Brasil AL [1 : 1] Nautico
22/11/20 - Brasil AL [2 : 1] Nautico
16/08/20 - Nautico [1 : 1] Brasil AL
03-May-2020 - Brasil AL [2 : 3] Nautico
15/03/19 - Brasil AL [1 : 2] Nautico
18/10/17 - Brasil AL [2 : 2] Nautico

NAUTICO PE LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Nautico Pe's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Clube do Remo won against Nautico (1-0) on 25/09/21
Then Nautico lost to Londrina PR (1-2) on 22/09/21
Botafogo won against Nautico (3-1) on 18/09/21
Not surprisingly Vila Nova GO won against Nautico (1-0) on 09-Nov-2021
Nautico drew with Guarani (1-1) on 09-Apr-2021
Nautico drew with Vitoria (1-1) on 29/08/21
Then Alagoano lost to Nautico (0-1) on 25/08/21
Nautico lost to Cruzeiro (0-1) on 18/08/21
Avai won against Nautico (2-0) on 15/08/21
In the earliest match listed here Sampaio Correa won against Nautico (2-0) on 08-Dec-2021

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Crb Al's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Brasil AL lost to Avai (1-2) on 26/09/21
Gremio Esportivo lost to Brasil AL (0-1) on 22/09/21
Then Brasil AL drew with Vasco da Gama (1-1) on 17/09/21
Brasil AL lost to Goias (0-1) on 09-Dec-2021
Confianca lost to Brasil AL (1-2) on 09-Feb-2021
Then Brasil AL drew with Cruzeiro (0-0) on 29/08/21
Clube do Remo lost to Brasil AL (1-2) on 22/08/21
Brasil AL drew with Operario Ferroviario (0-0) on 19/08/21
Once more Vitoria drew with Brasil AL (1-1) on 15/08/21
Brasil AL won against Brusque (3-0) on 13/08/21

NAUTICO PE'S POSITION

Nautico is in position 11 with 35 points from 26 matches. They are below Sampaio Correa who have 36 points and above Operario Ferroviario who have 34 points.
have scored 29 goals and conceded 29 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 0 goals this season.

CRB AL'S POSITION

Brasil AL is in position 4 with 44 points from 26 matches. They are below Goias who have 45 points and above Avai who have 43 points.
Crb Al have scored 35 goals and conceded 28 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 7 goals this season.

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