LIBERTAD ASUNCION vs BRAGANTINO SP OVER 1.5 SUREBET PREDICTION
A detailed Libertad Asuncion vs Bragantino Sp OVER 1.5 sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this International Clubs, Copa Sudamericanamatch on 30-Sep-2021
Libertad Asuncion
DATE:
29 September 2021 at 01:15:00
Bragantino Sp
COUNTRY:
International Clubs
LEAGUE
Copa Sudamericana
TIME:
1:15 AM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
32%
AVR. ODDS:
2.29
VALUEBET?
No
DRAW:
25%
AVR. ODDS:
3.4
VALUEBET?
No
AWAY WIN:
43%
AVR. ODDS:
3.05
VALUEBET?
Yes
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
The odds for Over 1.5 outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 1.25490196078431 with an implied bookmaker probability of 79.69%. Considering that the surebet probability for the OVER 1.5 outcome for this Libertad Asuncion vs Bragantino Sp match is 74.04%, then this bet is not a value bet.
If you play this bet then you lose expected value by -5.65%The expected value for a OVER 1.5 prediction is denoted as EV(OVER 1.5) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing.
By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 in this Libertad Asuncion vs Bragantino Sp match is 66.95 which is positive and therefore a good bet.Given the historical matches of these teams, it is almost clear that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match.
Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Libertad Asuncion vs Bragantino Sp.
The over/under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals. All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible over 1.5 in this Libertad Asuncion vs Bragantino Sp match.
Poisson prediction model shows there is a 68.35% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 74.60% chance for the same. Finally, 79.18% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in over 1.5.
This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a over 1.5 in this game.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
52%
AVR. ODDS:
1.75
VALUEBET?
No
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
48%
1.97
VALUEBET?
No
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.25
VALUEBET?
No
UNDER 1.5:
26%
AVR. ODDS:
3.25
VALUEBET?
No
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
50%
AVR. ODDS:
1.92
VALUEBET?
No
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
50%
1.79
No
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
28%
AVR. ODDS:
3.37
VALUEBET?
No
UNDER 3.5:
72%
AVR. ODDS:
1.34
VALUEBET?
No
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
LIBERTAD ASUNCION VS BRAGANTINO SP LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Currently no head to head
LIBERTAD ASUNCION LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Libertad Asuncion's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Guairena won against Libertad (2-1) on 27/09/21
Then Bragantino won against Libertad (2-0) on 23/09/21
River Plate lost to Libertad (0-1) on 18/09/21
Not surprisingly Libertad lost to Olimpia (0-3) on 13/09/21
CA Juventud lost to Libertad (0-2) on 09-Feb-2021
Libertad won against Luqueno (5-0) on 30/08/21
Then Club Guarani drew with Libertad (2-2) on 24/08/21
Libertad won against Santos (1-0) on 20/08/21
Libertad drew with 12 de Octubre (3-3) on 16/08/21
In the earliest match listed here Santos won against Libertad (2-1) on 13/08/21
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Below are Bragantino Sp's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Fluminense won against Bragantino (2-1) on 26/09/21
Bragantino won against Libertad (2-0) on 23/09/21
Then Bahia drew with Bragantino (1-1) on 19/09/21
Bragantino lost to Chapecoense (1-2) on 09-Dec-2021
Bragantino drew with Atletico Mineiro (1-1) on 30/08/21
Then America FC MG lost to Bragantino (0-2) on 24/08/21
Bragantino won against Rosario Central (1-0) on 18/08/21
Bragantino lost to Juventude RS (1-2) on 14/08/21
Once more Rosario Central lost to Bragantino (3-4) on 08-Nov-2021
Recife drew with Bragantino (0-0) on 08-Jul-2021
LIBERTAD ASUNCION'S POSITION
Currently no position listed
BRAGANTINO SP'S POSITION
Currently no position listed
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