FUENLABRADA vs AMOREBIETA AWAY WINS SUREBET PREDICTION
A detailed Fuenlabrada vs Amorebieta AWAY WINS sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Spain, Segunda Divisionmatch on 20-Oct-2021
Fuenlabrada
DATE:
20 October 2021 at 20:00:00
Amorebieta
COUNTRY:
Spain
LEAGUE
Segunda Division
TIME:
8:00 PM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
30%
AVR. ODDS:
1.61
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
DRAW:
23%
AVR. ODDS:
3.68
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
46%
AVR. ODDS:
5.77
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
Amorebieta is clearly too strong for Fuenlabrada. An away win prediction for this game may not be far-fetched after all. It seems like you might want to avoid a prediction for Fuenlabrada's win in this game. I also advise you not to always stick to the 1X2 predictions or bets.
Popularity does not always make something the best. Explore other betting options such as the GG/NG predictions, Asian handicaps predictions and half time predictions, all of which carry better odds and less risk. All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible away win in this Fuenlabrada vs Amorebieta match. Poisson prediction model shows there is a 44.01% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 46.31% chance for the same.
Finally, 48.68% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in away win. This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a away win in this game. The odds for Away Win outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 5.77 with an implied bookmaker probability of 17.33%.
Considering that the surebet probability for the Away Win outcome for this Fuenlabrada vs Amorebieta match is 46.33%, then this bet is a value bet. If you play this bet then you you gain expected value by 29.00%The expected value for a Away Win prediction is denoted as EV(Away Win) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing. By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a Away Win in this Fuenlabrada vs Amorebieta match is 213.68 which is positive and therefore a good bet.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
60%
AVR. ODDS:
2.19
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
39%
1.6
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.42
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
19%
AVR. ODDS:
2.93
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
59%
AVR. ODDS:
2.18
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
41%
1.61
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
36%
AVR. ODDS:
3.82
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
63%
AVR. ODDS:
1.2
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
FUENLABRADA VS AMOREBIETA LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Fuenlabrada and Amorebieta have met 6 times recently since 20/12/14. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Fuenlabrada vs Amorebieta prediction.
03-May-2017 - Fuenlabrada [1 : 0] Amorebieta
16/10/16 - Amorebieta [2 : 1] Fuenlabrada
16/04/16 - Amorebieta [1 : 1] Fuenlabrada
29/11/15 - Fuenlabrada [2 : 1] Amorebieta
05-Sep-2015 - Amorebieta [6 : 1] Fuenlabrada
20/12/14 - Fuenlabrada [3 : 0] Amorebieta
FUENLABRADA LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Valladolid's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Leganes lost to Valladolid (0-2) on 17/10/21
Then Valladolid drew with Malaga (1-1) on 10-Aug-2021
Ponferradina drew with Valladolid (2-2) on 10-Jan-2021
Not surprisingly Valladolid won against Alcorcon (2-0) on 26/09/21
Girona won against Valladolid (1-0) on 18/09/21
Valladolid lost to Tenerife (0-2) on 09-Dec-2021
Then Burgos won against Valladolid (3-0) on 09-May-2021
Lugo lost to Valladolid (0-2) on 29/08/21
Valladolid won against Zaragoza (2-0) on 20/08/21
In the earliest match listed here Las Palmas drew with Valladolid (1-1) on 15/08/21
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Below are Amorebieta's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Amorebieta lost to Cartagena (2-3) on 16/10/21
Tenerife won against Amorebieta (2-1) on 10-Oct-2021
Then Amorebieta drew with Gijon (1-1) on 10-Feb-2021
Amorebieta drew with Eibar (1-1) on 25/09/21
Leganes won against Amorebieta (1-0) on 18/09/21
Then Amorebieta drew with Burgos (2-2) on 09-Nov-2021
Ibiza drew with Amorebieta (1-1) on 09-May-2021
Amorebieta won against Almeria (2-1) on 29/08/21
Once more Mirandes won against Amorebieta (2-0) on 23/08/21
Girona won against Amorebieta (2-0) on 14/08/21
FUENLABRADA'S POSITION
Fuenlabrada is in position 11 with 14 points from 10 matches. They are below Mirandes who have 14 points and above Oviedo who have 13 points.
have scored 9 goals and conceded 7 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 2 goals this season.
AMOREBIETA'S POSITION
Amorebieta is in position 21 with 7 points from 10 matches. They are below Girona who have 8 points and above Alcorcon who have 6 points.
Amorebieta have scored 10 goals and conceded 16 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -6 goals this season.
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