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Fram Reykjavik vs Valur Prediction

Fram Reykjavik vs Valur Predictionwith match analysis, statistics and betting tips. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Fram Reykjavik vs Valur are playing on �Iceland

Fram Reykjavik

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DATE:

29 May 2022 at 19:00:00

Valur

COUNTRY:

Iceland

LEAGUE

Urvalsdeild

TIME:

7:00 PM

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1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

63%

AVR. ODDS:

4.84

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

DRAW:

18%

AVR. ODDS:

4.25

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

17%

AVR. ODDS:

1.59

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

1X2 TIPS

After analysing all the data and compiling and comparing expert opinions on this Fram Reykjavik vs Valur match, we are well convinced that Fram Reykjavik is in better form, better motivated and has proven in the past their ability to dominate this game against Valur.


The surebet prediction for this game is therefore a home win. Note that there might be even better tips you can bet on today if you can be bold enough to subscribe for VIP tips. Besides, you might want to check out the GG/NG tips given their ability to increase betting profits for many punters.


We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a home win in this Fram Reykjavik vs Valur match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 42.59% probability for a Home Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 53.85% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 61.82% chance for a home win outcome.


This Fram Reykjavik vs Valur match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Home Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Home Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same.


The odds for this outcome are averagely 2.26 with an implied bookmaker probability of 44.25%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Fram Reykjavik vs Valur match is 52.75%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 8.51%.


Expected Value, EV(Home Win), for a Home Win result for this Fram Reykjavik vs Valur match is calculated as follows: Let P(Home Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;


P(Home Win) * 100* 2.26 where 2.26 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Home Win for Fram Reykjavik vs Valur, EV(Home Win) to be 52.75% * 100 * 2.26, which translates to 71.97. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.


GG TIPS

Historical data, H2H matches and results from similar and related past matches, Surebet GG prediction systems have all agreed that both teams will be able to score in this match. Both Fram Reykjavik and Valur have good striking and have equally vulnerable defenses.


I do not forsee a NG outcome for this game. The GG rediction for this game is both teams to score at leat one goal in this game. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a gg in this Fram Reykjavik vs Valur match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 69.04% probability for a GG outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 73.65% probability for the same outccome.


The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 74.62% chance for a gg outcome. This Fram Reykjavik vs Valur match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Gg bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied GG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same.


The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.43 with an implied bookmaker probability of 69.93%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Gg outcome for this Fram Reykjavik vs Valur match is 72.43%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 2.50%.


Expected Value, EV(GG), for a GG result for this Fram Reykjavik vs Valur match is calculated as follows: Let P(GG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the 


Expected value is; P(GG) * 100* 1.43 where 1.43 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a GG for Fram Reykjavik vs Valur, EV(GG) to be 72.43% * 100 * 1.43, which translates to 76.01. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.


OVER 1.5 TIPS

Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Fram Reykjavik vs Valur.


The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this Fram Reykjavik vs Valur match.


The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 86.81% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 90.50% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 91.08% chance for a over 1.5 outcome.


This Fram Reykjavik vs Valur match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same.


The odds for this outcome are averagely 0.98 with an implied bookmaker probability of 101.35%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Fram Reykjavik vs Valur match is 89.46%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -11.89%.


Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Fram Reykjavik vs Valur match is calculated as follows: Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;


P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 0.98 where 0.98 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Fram Reykjavik vs Valur, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 89.46% * 100 * 0.98, which translates to 77.73. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.

Fram Reykjavik vs Valur Prediction

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

62%

AVR. ODDS:

1.54

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

AVR. ODDS:

36%

2.32

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

0.98

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

14%

AVR. ODDS:

2.67

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

68%

AVR. ODDS:

1.47

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

AVR. ODDS:

VALUEBET?

30%

1.76

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

48%

AVR. ODDS:

2.58

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

50%

AVR. ODDS:

1.31

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

FRAM REYKJAVIK VS VALUR PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

CHINDIA TARGOVISTE VS CONCORDIA CHIAJNA LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Concordia Chiajna and Chindia Targoviste have met 6 times recently since 00-Jan-1900. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Concordia Chiajna vs Chindia Targoviste prediction.
21/05/22 - Concordia Chiajna [2 : 1] Chindia Targoviste
20/08/15 - Concordia Chiajna [1 : 0] Chindia Targoviste
00-Jan-1900 - [ : ]
00-Jan-1900 - [ : ]
00-Jan-1900 - [ : ]
00-Jan-1900 - [ : ]

FRAM REYKJAVIK'S LAST 10 MATCHES

CHINDIA TARGOVISTE LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Chindia Targoviste's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Concordia Chiajna won against Chindia Targoviste (2-1) on 21/05/22
Then Chindia Targoviste won against Gaz Metan (3-0) on 13/05/22
Sepsi OSK won against Chindia Targoviste (2-1) on 05-Aug-2022
Not surprisingly Chindia Targoviste drew with Rapid Bucuresti (0-0) on 29/04/22
Uta Arad won against Chindia Targoviste (1-0) on 23/04/22
Chindia Targoviste lost to Botosani (1-2) on 15/04/22
Then Academica Clinceni lost to Chindia Targoviste (0-3) on 04-Aug-2022
Chindia Targoviste lost to Dinamo Bucuresti (0-2) on 04-Jan-2022
Mioveni won against Chindia Targoviste (1-0) on 21/03/22
In the earliest match listed here Chindia Targoviste drew with U Craiova (0-0) on 03-Dec-2022

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

CHINDIA TARGOVISTE LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Chindia Targoviste's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Concordia Chiajna won against Chindia Targoviste (2-1) on 21/05/22
Then Concordia Chiajna won against U. Cluj (1-0) on 15/05/22
Petrolul P. won against Concordia Chiajna (2-0) on 05-Sep-2022
Not surprisingly Unirea Slobozia drew with Concordia Chiajna (1-1) on 05-Apr-2022
Concordia Chiajna lost to Hermannstadt (1-3) on 28/04/22
Csa Steaua Bucuresti won against Concordia Chiajna (3-0) on 23/04/22
Then U. Cluj won against Concordia Chiajna (3-1) on 18/04/22
Concordia Chiajna lost to Petrolul P. (0-1) on 04-Sep-2022
Concordia Chiajna won against Unirea Slobozia (1-0) on 04-Jun-2022
In the earliest match listed here Hermannstadt won against Concordia Chiajna (2-1) on 31/03/22

FRAM REYKJAVIK POSITION

TBA

VALUR POSITION

TBA

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