Columbus Crew vs Chicago Fire Prediction
This is a detailed Columbus Crew vs Chicago Fire Prediction, match analysis, betting tips, H2H matches and sure bet tips.
Columbus Crew
DATE:
19 June 2021 at 02:30:00
Chicago Fire
COUNTRY:
USA
LEAGUE
Major League Soccer
TIME:
2:30 AM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
55%
AVR. ODDS:
1.56
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
DRAW:
22%
AVR. ODDS:
3.88
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
22%
AVR. ODDS:
5.97
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
Surebet's experience has made us see ahead and recognize matches which will have quite some goals scored. This match between Columbus Crew and Chicago Fire is one of those. The odds for over 2.5 are also relatively good at 2 Take advantage.
All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible over 2.5 in this Columbus Crew vs Chicago Fire match.
Poisson prediction model shows there is a 65.06% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 72.41% chance for the same. Finally, 76.98% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in over 2.5.
This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a over 2.5 in this game.
The odds for Over 2.5 outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 2 with an implied bookmaker probability of 50.00%.
Considering that the surebet probability for the Over 2.5 outcome for this Columbus Crew vs Chicago Fire match is 71.48%, then this bet is a value bet. If you play this bet then you you gain expected value by 21.48%.
The expected value for a OVER 2.5 prediction is denoted as EV(OVER 2.5) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing.
By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a OVER 2.5 in this Columbus Crew vs Chicago Fire match is 114.44 which is positive and therefore a good bet.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
56%
AVR. ODDS:
2.08
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
44%
1.67
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.31
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
20%
AVR. ODDS:
3.15
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
57%
AVR. ODDS:
2
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
43%
1.73
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
34%
AVR. ODDS:
3.51
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
65%
AVR. ODDS:
1.29
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
COLUMBUS CREW VS CHICAGO FIRE LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Chicago and Columbus have met 6 times recently since 24/08/18. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Chicago vs Columbus prediction.
09-Dec-2020 - Chicago [2 : 2] Columbus
21/08/20 - Columbus [3 : 0] Chicago
09-Jan-2019 - Columbus [1 : 1] Chicago
18/07/19 - Chicago [2 : 2] Columbus
17/02/19 - Columbus [1 : 1] Chicago
24/08/18 - Chicago [1 : 1] Columbus
COLUMBUS CREW LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Columbus Crew's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Columbus won against Toronto (2-1) on 29/05/21
Then New York City lost to Columbus (1-2) on 23/05/21
New England won against Columbus (1-0) on 17/05/21
Not surprisingly Toronto won against Columbus (2-0) on 13/05/21
Columbus won against DC United (3-1) on 05-Aug-2021
Monterrey won against Columbus (3-0) on 05-Jun-2021
Then Montreal drew with Columbus (0-0) on 05-Jan-2021
Columbus drew with Monterrey (2-2) on 29/04/21
Columbus drew with Philadelphia (0-0) on 19/04/21
In the earliest match listed here Columbus won against Esteli (1-0) on 16/04/21
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Below are Chicago Fire's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Chicago lost to Montreal (0-1) on 29/05/21
Chicago won against Miami (1-0) on 23/05/21
Then DC United won against Chicago (1-0) on 14/05/21
Chicago lost to Philadelphia (0-2) on 05-Aug-2021
New York won against Chicago (2-0) on 05-Jan-2021
Then Atlanta won against Chicago (3-1) on 25/04/21
Chicago drew with New England (2-2) on 18/04/21
Chicago lost to New York City (3-4) on 11-Aug-2020
Once more Minnesota drew with Chicago (2-2) on 11-May-2020
Nashville drew with Chicago (1-1) on 11-Jan-2020
COLUMBUS CREW'S POSITION
7 is in position 6 with points from 3 matches. They are below 8 who have points and above 7 who have points.
have scored 6 goals and conceded 1 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 11 goals this season.
CHICAGO FIRE'S POSITION
7 is in position 13 with points from 1 matches. They are below 7 who have points and above 6 who have points.
Chicago Fire have scored 11 goals and conceded -7 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 4 goals this season.
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