BRUGGE vs CERCLE BRUGGE SURE PREDICTION
A detailed Brugge vs Cercle Brugge sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Belgium, Pro League match on 06-Aug-2021
Brugge
DATE:
6 August 2021 at 21:45:00
Cercle Brugge
COUNTRY:
Belgium
LEAGUE
Pro League
TIME:
9:45 PM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
60%
AVR. ODDS:
1.33
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
DRAW:
22%
AVR. ODDS:
5.39
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
18%
AVR. ODDS:
7.98
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
To find if the Home Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Home Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.33 with an implied bookmaker probability of 75.19%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Brugge vs Cercle Brugge match is 60.03%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -15.16%Expected Value, EV(Home Win), for a Home Win result for this Brugge vs Cercle Brugge match is calculated as follows: Let P(Home Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(Home Win) * 100* 1.33 where 1.33 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Home Win for Brugge vs Cercle Brugge, EV(Home Win) to be 60.03% * 100 * 1.33, which translates to 39.87. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a home win in this Brugge vs Cercle Brugge match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 74.72% probability for a Home Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 60.51% probability for the same outccome.
The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 44.87% chance for a home win outcome. This Brugge vs Cercle Brugge match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. After analysing all the data and compiling and comparing expert opinions on this Brugge vs Cercle Brugge match, we are well convinced that Brugge is in better form, better motivated and has proven in the past their ability to dominate this game against Cercle Brugge. The surebet prediction for this game is therefore a home win. Note that there might be even better tips you can bet on today if you can be bold enough to subscribe for VIP tips.
Besides, you might want to check out the GG/NG tips given their ability to increase betting profits for many punters.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
44%
AVR. ODDS:
1.79
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
56%
1.92
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
0.97
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
27%
AVR. ODDS:
4.51
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
48%
AVR. ODDS:
1.48
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
52%
2.48
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
26%
AVR. ODDS:
2.6
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
74%
AVR. ODDS:
1.85
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
BRUGGE VS CERCLE BRUGGE LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Cercle Brugge and Brugge have met 6 times recently since 29/09/18. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Cercle Brugge vs Brugge prediction.
28/01/21 - Cercle Brugge [1 : 2] Brugge
27/09/20 - Brugge [2 : 1] Cercle Brugge
03-Jul-2020 - Brugge [2 : 1] Cercle Brugge
14/09/19 - Cercle Brugge [0 : 2] Brugge
02-Oct-2019 - Cercle Brugge [2 : 2] Brugge
29/09/18 - Brugge [4 : 0] Cercle Brugge
BRUGGE LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Brugge's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Union Gilloise lost to Brugge (0-1) on 08-Jan-2021
Then Brugge drew with Eupen (2-2) on 25/07/21
Brugge won against Lierse Kempenzonen (3-0) on 18/07/21
Not surprisingly Brugge won against Genk (3-2) on 17/07/21
Brugge lost to Utrecht (2-4) on 13/07/21
Brugge won against AEK Athens (2-1) on 07-Sep-2021
Then Brugge won against Zulte (2-1) on 07-Jul-2021
Brugge lost to Kortrijk (0-1) on 07-Mar-2021
Brugge won against Lokomotiva (2-1) on 30/06/21
In the earliest match listed here Brugge drew with Beerschot (1-1) on 26/06/21
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Below are Cercle Brugge's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Cercle Brugge drew with Oud-Heverlee (1-1) on 31/07/21
Beerschot lost to Cercle Brugge (0-1) on 24/07/21
Then Standard won against Cercle Brugge (3-2) on 07-Mar-2021
Zulte lost to Cercle Brugge (1-2) on 07-Feb-2021
Oostende drew with Cercle Brugge (1-1) on 18/04/21
Then Cercle Brugge won against Oud-Heverlee (3-0) on 04-Oct-2021
Cercle Brugge won against Beerschot (2-1) on 04-Apr-2021
Gent won against Cercle Brugge (1-0) on 21/03/21
Once more Genk won against Cercle Brugge (2-0) on 03-Jul-2021
Anderlecht won against Cercle Brugge (1-0) on 03-Mar-2021
BRUGGE'S POSITION
Brugge is in position 3 with 4 points from 2 matches. They are below Charleroi who have 4 points and above Standard who have 4 points.
have scored 3 goals and conceded 2 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 1 goals this season.
CERCLE BRUGGE'S POSITION
Cercle Brugge is in position 5 with 4 points from 2 matches. They are below who have points and above St. Truidense who have 4 points.
Cercle Brugge have scored 2 goals and conceded 1 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 1 goals this season.
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