UNDER 2.5 PREDICTION All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible under 2.5 in this Az Picerno vs Campobasso Calcio match. Poisson prediction model shows there is a 51.84% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 67.67% chance for the same. Finally, 83.35% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in under 2.5. This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a under 2.5 in this game. The odds for Under 2.5 outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 1.76 with an implied bookmaker probability of 56.82%. Considering that the surebet probability for the Under 2.5 outcome for this Az Picerno vs Campobasso Calcio match is 67.62%, then this bet is a value bet. If you play this bet then you you gain expected value by 10.80%. The expected value for a UNDER 2.5 prediction is denoted as EV(UNDER 2.5) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing. Using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a UNDER 2.5 in this Az Picerno vs Campobasso Calcio match is 86.63 which is positive and therefore a good bet. All signs indicate that not many goals might be scored in this game. 2 goals might even be on the higher side. An under 2.5 goals prediction is what you should really go with. UNDER 3.5 PREDICTION All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible under 3.5 in this Az Picerno vs Campobasso Calcio match. Poisson prediction model shows there is a 73.60% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 85.71% chance for the same. Finally, 94.63% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in under 3.5. This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a under 3.5 in this game. The odds for Under 3.5 outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 1.3134328358209 with an implied bookmaker probability of 76.14%. Considering that the surebet probability for the Under 3.5 outcome for this Az Picerno vs Campobasso Calcio match is 84.65%, then this bet is a value bet. If you play this bet then you you gain expected value by 8.51%. The expected value for a UNDER 3.5 prediction is denoted as EV(UNDER 3.5) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing. By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a UNDER 3.5 in this Az Picerno vs Campobasso Calcio match is 95.82 which is positive and therefore a good bet. In as much as Az Picerno and Campobasso Calcio are expected to score some goals in this match, I do not see a situation where they can score more than 3 goals. They have proved in the past that they lack the capacity to stage consistent attacks with shots on target against each other. An under 3.5 prediction for this match is just fine.