ATLETICO MINEIRO VS FLAMENGO 1X2 SUREBET PREDICTION
A detailed Atletico Mineiro vs Flamengo 1X2 sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Brazil Serie Amatch on 08-Jul-2021
Atletico Mineiro
DATE:
7 July 2021 at 01:00:00
Flamengo
COUNTRY:
Brazil
LEAGUE
Serie A
TIME:
1:00 AM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
38%
AVR. ODDS:
2.59
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
DRAW:
29%
AVR. ODDS:
3.24
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
33%
AVR. ODDS:
2.69
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
Strong recent and past performances that Atletico Mineiro have demonstrated lead us to conclude that the prospects for a home win are quite high for this match. Expert football prediction sites have also supported this prediction by far and large. Flamengo might not be able to record either a win or a draw in this match.
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It is however prudent to compare diffrent predictions to find the ones with the highest probabilities. True profits come from predictions with over 90% chance of coming true. Some of our tips are 100% sure and guaranteed but can only be accessed by VIP members.
You can also become a VIP member once you subscribe. Note also that you do not always have to use the win-draw-win market. It might be popular but not necessarily the best or least risky. See all predictions today to see tips from other betting markets.
All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible home win in this Atletico Mineiro vs Flamengo match.
Poisson prediction model shows there is a 41.59% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 38.22% chance for the same. Finally, 34.57% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in home win.
This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a home win in this game.
The odds for Home Win outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 2.59 with an implied bookmaker probability of 38.61%.
Considering that the surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Atletico Mineiro vs Flamengo match is 38.12%, then this bet is not a value bet.If you play this bet then you lose expected value by -0.49%.
The expected value for a Home Win prediction is denoted as EV(Home Win) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing.
By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a Home Win in this Atletico Mineiro vs Flamengo match is 36.86 which is positive and therefore a good bet.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
44%
AVR. ODDS:
1.84
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
56%
1.87
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.36
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
36%
AVR. ODDS:
3.04
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
37%
AVR. ODDS:
2.08
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
62%
1.67
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
18%
AVR. ODDS:
3.65
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
82%
AVR. ODDS:
1.25
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
ATLETICO MINEIRO VS FLAMENGO LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Atletico Mineiro and Flamengo have met 6 times recently since 27/05/18. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Atletico Mineiro vs Flamengo prediction.
11-Sep-2020 - Atletico Mineiro [4 : 0] Flamengo
08-Sep-2020 - Flamengo [0 : 1] Atletico Mineiro
10-Nov-2019 - Flamengo [3 : 1] Atletico Mineiro
19/05/19 - Atletico Mineiro [2 : 1] Flamengo
23/09/18 - Flamengo [2 : 1] Atletico Mineiro
27/05/18 - Atletico Mineiro [0 : 1] Flamengo
ATLETICO MINEIRO LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Atletico Mineiro's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Cuiaba lost to Atletico Mineiro (0-1) on 07-May-2021
Then Atletico Mineiro won against Goianiense GO (4-1) on 07-Feb-2021
Santos won against Atletico Mineiro (2-0) on 28/06/21
Not surprisingly Ceara won against Atletico Mineiro (2-1) on 25/06/21
Atletico Mineiro drew with Chapecoense (1-1) on 22/06/21
Internacional lost to Atletico Mineiro (0-1) on 17/06/21
Then Atletico Mineiro won against Sao Paulo (1-0) on 13/06/21
Atletico Mineiro won against Clube Do Remo (2-1) on 06-Nov-2021
Recife lost to Atletico Mineiro (0-1) on 06-Jul-2021
In the earliest match listed here Clube Do Remo lost to Atletico Mineiro (0-2) on 06-Mar-2021
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Below are Flamengo's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Flamengo lost to Fluminense (0-1) on 07-Apr-2021
Fluminense lost to Paranaense (1-4) on 30/06/21
Then Fluminense drew with Corinthians (1-1) on 27/06/21
Goianiense GO won against Fluminense (1-0) on 24/06/21
Fortaleza drew with Fluminense (1-1) on 21/06/21
Then Fluminense won against Santos (1-0) on 18/06/21
Bragantino drew with Fluminense (2-2) on 14/06/21
Bragantino won against Fluminense (2-1) on 06-Oct-2021
Once more Fluminense won against Cuiaba (1-0) on 06-Jun-2021
Fluminense won against Bragantino (2-0) on 06-Mar-2021
ATLETICO MINEIRO'S POSITION
No position listed
FLAMENGO'S POSITION
No position Listed for this team.
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