Bolton is expected to outperform Burton in this match. Home advantage may not help Burton in this game. With odds of 1.98 you stand to win a fairly good amount from this tip. This is the best sure bet prediction for this match. Note that you should also consider other betting markets other than 1X2 predictions or bets. Asian handicaps and European handicaps, for instance, can make you better profits from a match like this. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a away win in this Burton vs Bolton match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 55.20% probability for a Away Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 54.30% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 52.52% chance for a away win outcome. This Burton vs Bolton match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Away Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Away Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.98 with an implied bookmaker probability of 50.51%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Away Win outcome for this Burton vs Bolton match is 54.01%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 3.51%. Expected Value, EV(Away Win), for a Away Win result for this Burton vs Bolton match is calculated as follows: Let P(Away Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(Away Win) * 100* 1.98 where 1.98 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Away Win for Burton vs Bolton, EV(Away Win) to be 54.01% * 100 * 1.98, which translates to 60.95. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically. Historical data, H2H matches and results from similar and related past matches, Surebet GG prediction systems have all agreed that both teams will be able to score in this match. Both Burton and Bolton have good striking and have equally vulnerable defenses. I do not forsee a NG outcome for this game. The GG rediction for this game is both teams to score at leat one goal in this game. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a gg in this Burton vs Bolton match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 74.91% probability for a GG outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 70.94% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 65.11% chance for a gg outcome. This Burton vs Bolton match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Gg bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied GG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.6 with an implied bookmaker probability of 62.50%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Gg outcome for this Burton vs Bolton match is 70.32%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 7.82%. Expected Value, EV(GG), for a GG result for this Burton vs Bolton match is calculated as follows: Let P(GG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(GG) * 100* 1.6 where 1.6 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a GG for Burton vs Bolton, EV(GG) to be 70.32% * 100 * 1.6, which translates to 82.83. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically. Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Burton vs Bolton. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this Burton vs Bolton match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 90.47% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 88.95% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 85.26% chance for a over 1.5 outcome. This Burton vs Bolton match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.11333333333333 with an implied bookmaker probability of 89.82%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Burton vs Bolton match is 88.23%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -1.60%. Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Burton vs Bolton match is calculated as follows: Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.11333333333333 where 1.11333333333333 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Burton vs Bolton, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 88.23% * 100 * 1.11, which translates to 86.44. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.