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Betis vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction

A detailed Betis vs Bayer Leverkusen sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this International Clubs, UEFA Europa League match on 21-Oct-2021

Betis

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DATE:

21 October 2021 at 19:45:00

Bayer Leverkusen

COUNTRY:

International Clubs

LEAGUE

UEFA Europa League

TIME:

7:45 PM

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1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

38%

AVR. ODDS:

2.43

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

DRAW:

22%

AVR. ODDS:

3.67

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

39%

AVR. ODDS:

2.66

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

Historical data, H2H matches and results from similar and related past matches, Surebet GG prediction systems have all agreed that both teams will be able to score in this match. Both Betis and Bayer Leverkusen have good striking and have equally vulnerable defenses. 



I do not forsee a NG outcome for this game. The GG rediction for this game is both teams to score at leat one goal in this game. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a gg in this Betis vs Bayer Leverkusen match. 



The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 73.66% probability for a GG outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 68.10% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 61.10% chance for a gg outcome. 



This Betis vs Bayer Leverkusen match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Gg bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied GG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. 


The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.53 with an implied bookmaker probability of 65.36%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Gg outcome for this Betis vs Bayer Leverkusen match is 67.62%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 2.26%Expected Value, EV(GG), for a GG result for this Betis vs Bayer Leverkusen match is calculated as follows: Let P(GG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. 



Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(GG) * 100* 1.53 where 1.53 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a GG for Betis vs Bayer Leverkusen, EV(GG) to be 67.62% * 100 * 1.53, which translates to 71.07. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.

Betis vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

68%

AVR. ODDS:

1.53

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

NO GOAL:

AVR. ODDS:

32%

2.34

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.05

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

14%

AVR. ODDS:

3.96

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

67%

AVR. ODDS:

1.61

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

AVR. ODDS:

VALUEBET?

32%

2.18

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

46%

AVR. ODDS:

2.82

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

53%

AVR. ODDS:

1.63

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

BETIS VS BAYER LEVERKUSEN LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Currently no head to head

BETIS LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Betis's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Alaves lost to Real Betis (0-1) on 18/10/21
Then Villarreal won against Real Betis (2-0) on 10-Mar-2021
Ferencvarosi lost to Real Betis (1-3) on 30/09/21
Not surprisingly Real Betis won against Getafe (2-0) on 26/09/21
Osasuna lost to Real Betis (1-3) on 23/09/21
Real Betis drew with Espanyol (2-2) on 19/09/21
Then Real Betis won against Celtic (4-3) on 16/09/21
Granada lost to Real Betis (1-2) on 13/09/21
Real Betis lost to Real Madrid (0-1) on 28/08/21
In the earliest match listed here Real Betis drew with Cadiz (1-1) on 20/08/21

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Bayer Leverkusen's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Leverkusen lost to B. Munich (1-5) on 17/10/21
Bielefeld lost to Leverkusen (0-4) on 10-Mar-2021
Then Celtic lost to Leverkusen (0-4) on 30/09/21
Leverkusen won against Mainz (1-0) on 25/09/21
Stuttgart lost to Leverkusen (1-3) on 19/09/21
Then Leverkusen won against Ferencvarosi (2-1) on 16/09/21
Leverkusen lost to Dortmund (3-4) on 09-Nov-2021
Augsburg lost to Leverkusen (1-4) on 28/08/21
Once more Leverkusen won against Mgladbach (4-0) on 21/08/21
Union Berlin drew with Leverkusen (1-1) on 14/08/21

BETIS'S POSITION

Currently no position listed

BAYER LEVERKUSEN'S POSITION

Currently no position listed

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