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HONDURAS vs COSTA RICA OVER 1.5 SUREBET PREDICTION

A detailed Honduras vs Costa Rica OVER 1.5 sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this International, World Cup Qualification, CONCACAFmatch on 08-Oct-2021

Honduras

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DATE:

8 October 2021 at 03:05:00

Costa Rica

COUNTRY:

International

LEAGUE

World Cup Qualification, CONCACAF

TIME:

3:05 AM

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1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

65%

AVR. ODDS:

3.12

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

DRAW:

20%

AVR. ODDS:

2.87

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

15%

AVR. ODDS:

2.62

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

The odds for Over 1.5 outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 1.83006535947712 with an implied bookmaker probability of 54.64%. Considering that the surebet probability for the OVER 1.5 outcome for this Honduras vs Costa Rica match is 74.74%, then this bet is a value bet. 




If you play this bet then you you gain expected value by 20.10%The expected value for a OVER 1.5 prediction is denoted as EV(OVER 1.5) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing. 



By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 in this Honduras vs Costa Rica match is 111.53 which is positive and therefore a good bet.Given the historical matches of these teams, it is almost clear that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. 




Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Honduras vs Costa Rica. The over/under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals. All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible over 1.5 in this Honduras vs Costa Rica match. Poisson prediction model shows there is a 81.64% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 75.37% chance for the same. 




Finally, 67.22% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in over 1.5. This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a over 1.5 in this game.

HONDURAS vs COSTA RICA OVER 1.5 SUREBET PREDICTION

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

44%

AVR. ODDS:

2.24

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

AVR. ODDS:

56%

1.58

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.83

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

25%

AVR. ODDS:

2.53

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

51%

AVR. ODDS:

2.8

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

AVR. ODDS:

VALUEBET?

49%

1.39

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

29%

AVR. ODDS:

4.91

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

71%

AVR. ODDS:

1.04

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

HONDURAS VS COSTA RICA LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Honduras and Costa Rica have met 6 times recently since 10-Dec-2013. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Honduras vs Costa Rica prediction.
06-Jul-2021 - Honduras [5 : 4] Costa Rica
10-Aug-2017 - Costa Rica [1 : 1] Honduras
07-Aug-2017 - Honduras [0 : 1] Costa Rica
29/03/17 - Honduras [1 : 1] Costa Rica
21/01/17 - Honduras [1 : 1] Costa Rica
10-Dec-2013 - Honduras [1 : 0] Costa Rica

HONDURAS LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Honduras's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Honduras lost to USA (1-4) on 09-Sep-2021
Then El Salvador drew with Honduras (0-0) on 09-Jun-2021
Canada drew with Honduras (1-1) on 09-Mar-2021
Not surprisingly Mexico won against Honduras (3-0) on 25/07/21
Honduras lost to Qatar (0-2) on 21/07/21
Panama lost to Honduras (2-3) on 18/07/21
Then Honduras won against Grenada (4-0) on 14/07/21
Mexico drew with Honduras (0-0) on 13/06/21
Honduras won against Costa Rica (5-4) on 06-Jul-2021
In the earliest match listed here Honduras lost to USA (0-1) on 06-Apr-2021

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Costa Rica's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Costa Rica drew with Jamaica (1-1) on 09-Sep-2021
Costa Rica lost to Mexico (0-1) on 09-Jun-2021
Then Panama drew with Costa Rica (0-0) on 09-Mar-2021
El Salvador drew with Costa Rica (0-0) on 22/08/21
Costa Rica lost to Canada (0-2) on 26/07/21
Then Costa Rica won against Jamaica (1-0) on 21/07/21
Suriname lost to Costa Rica (1-2) on 17/07/21
Costa Rica won against Guadeloupe (3-1) on 13/07/21
Once more USA won against Costa Rica (4-0) on 06-Oct-2021
Honduras won against Costa Rica (5-4) on 06-Jul-2021

HONDURAS'S POSITION

Honduras is in position 6 with 2 points from 3 matches. They are below who have points and above El Salvador who have 2 points.
have scored 2 goals and conceded 5 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -3 goals this season.

COSTA RICA'S POSITION

Costa Rica is in position 5 with 2 points from 3 matches. They are below Panama who have 5 points and above who have points.
Costa Rica have scored 1 goals and conceded 2 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -1 goals this season.

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